Sometimes -- most of the time, actually -- the battle against climate change seems hopeless. The human family's addiction to cheap coal and oil only gets worse as hundreds of millions of people in India, China and elsewhere emerge from poverty into lifestyles that affluent countries take for granted, with lights, heat, air conditioning, cars and the freeways to drive them on. China is now the world's second-largest car market, its air so polluted that Olympic athletes are wondering if they'll be able to breathe in Beijing this summer. Behind the scenes, battles large and small are being waged by scientists, environmentalists, little guys, big companies and politicians. Here are recent publications that capture these conflicts -- and offer some hope. Take time as Earth Day (Tuesday) approaches to read and reflect. EARTH: THE SEQUEL
by Fred Krupp and Miriam Horn Norton, 256 pages, $24.95
An admirably pragmatic organization on the green side is the Environmental Defense Fund, a nonprofit run for more than two decades by Fred Krupp. The fund has distinguished itself by developing least-cost public-policy solutions to such complex environmental problems as acid rain. So one would expect Krupp's book, written with journalist Miriam Horn, to offer practical solutions to global warming, and it delivers.
Krupp and Horn introduce us to the next generation of energy sources -- gee-whiz technologies certain to be common knowledge in coming decades -- and the people who invent and finance them. The authors convincingly document a "new industrial revolution," eagerly bubbling away in laboratories and start-up companies in Palo Alto and Minneapolis, demonstration projects in Phoenix and Seattle, and venture capital firms, mostly in Silicon Valley, that are betting big. We learn of magical new approaches to harnessing the sun, wind, algae, ocean energy, the Earth's core heat and even plentiful coal -- if the complex problem of sequestering waste carbon dioxide can be accomplished safely, a dubious proposition. Instead, how about genetically engineered "bugs" that make oil the way spiders make silk and termites convert wood to energy, potentially producing gasoline for $2 per gallon by 2010!
The creativity of the capitalist marketplace will turn these start-ups into future Apples and Intels in enough time to control climate change, Krupp and Horn argue, if lawmakers make the one right policy choice: a "cap and trade" law that would reduce carbon waste while businesses pick and profit from their solutions. Some of us remember when rivers and lakes were used as free sewers; capping the use of the atmosphere as a free sewer is the fastest, cheapest way to bring clean energy to the electrical outlet nearest you.
One big quibble: Krupp and Horn include only a few sentences on nuclear power. Love it or hate it, fission is a proven energy source that is carbon-free and deserves an honest, not cursory, look.
THE GREAT WARMING
by Brian Fagan Bloomsbury, 304 pages, $26.95
Fagan's many "we don't knows" nevertheless do not prevent him from making a host of suppositions in this book. That it is meandering and repetitious is too bad, because he has something important to say about the "possible" effects of a previous warming period in about 1100-1300 AD and what that history might mean for us as we face the "Great Warming" underway.
Fagan, the author of popular histories including "The Little Ice Age," a climatological thriller from the 14th to 19th centuries when the Thames in London froze, gamely attempts a similar task for the Great Warming. Taking advantage of an explosion in paleoclimatological data (from cores in glaciers, ancient lake beds and coral reefs, plus advances in tree-ring dating) he describes what happened to civilizations around the world as a result -- maybe. As the massive "water mountains" of the Maya and the extensive reservoir system of Cambodia's Khmer empires failed, so did their civilizations. Others adapted, such as the Mongols, whose horse armies rode from the drought-plagued steppes to conquer much of the world. Climate as a force in history certainly needs to be better understood. Many civilizations thought they were smart enough to rule over their corner of the planet forever. Some of them are in ruins.