With three weeks to go in the regular season and 23 days remaining until Selection Sunday for the College Football Playoff, the bowl picture is starting to come into focus, though it's still blurry around the edges and changing every Saturday. So don't book your flights quite yet.
For the Big Ten, the three beasts of the East this year – No. 4 Ohio State, No. 6 Michigan and No. 7 Michigan State – remain in the hunt for the playoff, and each has a great shot at a New Year's Six bowl should they not make the final four. In the West, four teams – the Gophers, Wisconsin, Iowa and Purdue – are tied for the division lead, and one will emerge to try to play spoiler in the conference championship game.
All three East contenders, plus Penn State, have earned bowl eligibility, as have the first-place quartet in the West. Maryland (5-4) is one win away, while Rutgers (4-5) and Illinois (4-6) need two wins. There is one fewer bowl option for the Big Ten this year, with the Redbox Bowl in Santa Clara, Calif., canceled for the 2021 season.
Here are my projections for the College Football Playoff, New Year's Six and Big Ten:
College Football Playoff
Orange Bowl (Dec. 31, Miami Gardens, Fla.): Georgia vs. Oregon
Cotton Bowl (Dec. 31, Arlington, Texas): Ohio State vs. Alabama
Comment: Picking the Buckeyes is contingent on them sweeping Purdue, Michigan State and Michigan and winning the Big Ten Championship Game. … Georgia looks like a lock, even if it loses in the SEC title game. … Oregon is in line for a spot if it doesn't lose, though Oklahoma has a shot. … A win, or possibly even a close loss, vs. Georgia in the SEC title game will get Alabama in. Sorry, Cincinnati.
New Year's Six
Peach (Dec. 30, Atlanta): Cincinnati vs. Wake Forest