THE LOCKS

Randy Johnson: Greatest lefthander of modern times owns 300 victories, five Cy Young Awards.

Pedro Martinez: Seven consecutive years of ERAs below 3.00, and he might have possessed greatest changeup ever. 

THE PROBABLES

Craig Biggio: Missed by two votes last year; his 3,060 career hits figure to carry him over the top this time.

John Smoltz: Third member of Braves’ “Big Three” joins Greg Maddux, Tom Glavine on combo of 213 wins, 154 saves.

THE CLOSE CALLS

Mike Piazza: Greatest hitting catcher of all-time, he and his 427 homers hit 62 percent on second ballot.

Jeff Bagwell: Perhaps best-hitting Astro ever, he’s been on more than 50 percent of ballots for three years in a row.

Curt Schilling: Got nearly 40 percent in 2014, though chances hurt again by the crowd of great pitchers.

Lee Smith: Once baseball’s all-time save leader (478), his support plunged to 30 percent last year, his 12th on ballot.

Tim Raines: He’s been around 50 percent for three years, but has only two more years on ballot under new rules. 

SIDETRACKED BY SUSPICIONS

Barry Bonds: Baseball’s home run king and seven-time MVP got 36 and 35 percent in first two years.

Roger Clemens: Seven-time Cy Young winner has nearly identical totals as Bonds.

Sammy Sosa: With just 7.2 percent last year, he could fall off ballot.

Mark McGwire: New rules mean next year will be his final appearance on BBWAA ballot.

MID-BALLOT LIMBO

Mike Mussina: Statistical case growing to suggest he’s underrated, but he received only 20 percent in first year on ballot.

Edgar Martinez: At 25 percent, it’s going to be tough to overcome voters’ hesitation about designated hitters.

Alan Trammell: His 14th year on ballot, the great Tigers shortstop has never cleared 37 percent.

Larry Walker: Support dropped to 10 percent last year; Coors Field effect seems to devalue his statistics.

Fred McGriff: His 493 homers haven’t been able to lure more than 24 percent in his five years.