Both the American (GFS) and European (ECMWF) weather models suggest light snow accumulations across the southern part of the state with light amounts possible even in the metro. Stay tuned for further updates.
Fall Color Update
Saturday Weather Outlook for Minneapolis
Saturday Meteograms for Minneapolis
Here's the forecast for Saturday, which shows exceptionally cold weather in place for this time of the year. In fact, we'll likely stay below freezing on Saturday, which will be record levels of cold for us at this time of the year.
Saturday Weather Outlook
Take a look at the images below. All the numbers circled are forecast record cold high temps for the days. Note that these temps will be nearly -25F below average for the end of October.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
What the? The extended forecast looks more like December. Temps will continue to run nearly -20F below average and near record old lows. I hope this isn't a harbinger of times to come this winter.
Extended Temperature Outlook For Minneapolis
The extended outlook through the end of October shows some pretty chilly temps, but there may be some modest warming by Halloween and into early November. Stay tuned.
Average First 1" Snowfall at MSP
The first 1" of snow typically happens around the 3rd or 4th week is November. The lastest first 1" of snow didn't fall in the metro until January 1st, back in 2005!
Snowiest October on Record. More Snow Sunday
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas.
BREAKING NEWS: 8.9 inches of snow has fallen at the MSP Airport this month, making it the snowiest October in recorded history!
Incredibly, we eclipsed the previous record of 8.2 inches that fell during the historic Halloween Blizzard of 1991. Keep in mind that much of the snow from that famed storm fell the following day, when 18.5 inches was recorded on November 1st. Unreal!
Believe it or not, more accumulating snow is in the forecast on Sunday with the heaviest tallies likely falling across southern Minnesota. By the way, St. Cloud and Eau Claire, WI have also had a record amount of snow this month, 7.2 inches!
This December-like weather continues through early next week with record cold temps likely. Highs will struggle to warm above the freezing mark over the next several days with lows dipping into the single digits on Tuesday morning, a week before the November 3rd Election Day.
Looking ahead, a modest warmup appears to be developing just in time for Trick-or-Treaters. Thankfully, too warm for any Halloween Blizzards!
SATURDAY: Cloudy and cold. Winds: NNE 5. High: 30.
SATURDAY NIGHT: Light snow develops. Winds: N 5. Low: 24.
SUNDAY: More snow. Light accumulations southern MN. Winds: N 5-10. High: 32.
MONDAY: Icy sunshine. Record cold temps. Winds: WSW 5-10. Wake-up: 17. High: 27.
TUESDAY: December-like. Average high: 53F. Winds: SW 7-12. Wake-up: 13. High: 30.
WEDNESDAY: Light rain/snow mix possible. Winds: WNW 5-10. Wake-up: 24. High: 38.
THURSDAY: A few flakes or flurries. Winds: NW 5-10. Wake-up: 27. High: 37.
FRIDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. Not as chilly. Winds: SSE 5-10. Wake-up: 31. High: 42.
This Day in Weather History
1922: A powerful low pressure system over Minnesota brings 55 mph winds to Collegeville.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 54F (Record: 80F set in 1989)
Average Low: 37F (Record: 15F set in 1887)
Record Rainfall: 1.00" set in 1899
Record Snowfall: 0.9" set in 1981
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~10 hours & 31 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 55 seconds
Daylight LOST since Summer Solstice (June 20th): ~ 5 hour & 6 minutes
Moon Phase for October 24th at Midnight
1.7 Days Since First Quarter Moon
What's in the Night Sky?
"These next several evenings – October 21, 22 and 23, 2020 – watch for the waxing moon to sweep by the gas giant planets, Jupiter and Saturn. Jupiter, which is the brighter of the two, beams some 13 times brighter than Saturn and brighter than all the stars. The only starlike object to outshine it in the evening sky right now is the red planet Mars, which you’ll find to the east of Jupiter and Saturn, low in the eastern sky at evening dusk and nightfall. The moon will pass Mars, too, later this month. Plus Saturn and Jupiter are very noticeable for their nearness to each other in 2020. They’re gearing up for their great conjunction before this year ends. It’ll be the closest Jupiter-Saturn conjunction in 397 years! Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions happen every 20 years. The last one took place on May 28, 2000. The next one after 2020 will come on October 31, 2040. Why are Jupiter and Mars so bright now? Jupiter is always bright by virtue of its large size; it’s the biggest planet in our solar system. Mars is tiny, smaller than Earth, but it’s bright now because Earth passed between Mars and the sun on October 13. Saturn, the sixth planet outward from the sun, is respectably bright but fainter than either Jupiter or Mars. It’s the farthest world that you can easily see with the unaided eye. The farther away that a planet resides from the sun, the more slowly it travels and the longer its orbit. Mars takes 687 Earth-days to travel around the sun once. Jupiter takes about 12 Earth-years to orbit once. Saturn takes nearly 30 Earth-years to orbit the sun."
(Image Credit: EarthSky.org)
National Forecast Map For Saturday
Areas of showers and storms will continue across the Southeastern U.S., while a fairly potent storm will slide south along the Rockies and dump heavy snowfall amounts there.
National Weather Outlook
Here's the national weather outlook into the weekend, which shows a fairly decent winter storm unfolding across Rockies and High Plains. Hopefully this snowfall will help to put an end to the major wildfire concern across northern Colorado.
Delta Rains Move Northeast; Heavy Precipitation in the Northwest.
Here's the 7-day preciptation outlook across the nation, which shows heavy precipitation potential from the Southern US to the Mid-Atlantic States. Interestingly, there even appears to be some rainfall across the Southwestern US.
National Snowfall Potential
The national snow forecast over the next several days shows snow potential as far south as Texas as our next potent storm moves through the region through early next week.
Ongoing Wildfires in the Western US
"Critical fire weather remains in effect across much of Northern California, with firefighters on high alert for the possibility of new fast moving wildfires. Over 5,500 firefighters contain to work towards full containment on 19 wildfires in California, 12 of which remain major incidents. Yesterday, firefighters responded to 24 new initial attack wildfires across the State, and despite Red Flag Warning conditions in Northern California all of the new fires were contained. Several Red Flag Warnings issued by the National Weather Service remain in effect across Northern California due to critical fire weather. Strong winds are likely to continue through this evening across portions of interior northern California stretching from Redding down to Vacaville, as well as through the parts of the Bay Area, the Sierra Foothills, and Northwest California. These areas could experience wind gusts of up to 45mph. Learn more about these warnings in this short video: https://youtu.be/ImAGkPaiPM8. Firefighters are monitoring weather conditions very closely as a stronger wind event if forecast starting Sunday and lasting through Tuesday. The National Weather Service has issued a Fire Weather Watch for much of Northern California due to these strong winds and low humidity. This event could bring the strongest winds seen this year, with peak wind gusts 40-50mph and up to 70+ mph in some canyons and ridgetops."
The tropics aren't dead yet. According to NOAA's NHC, hurricane Epsilon will move quickly into the northcentral Atlantic this weekend, while an area of disturbed weather in the Western Caribbean has a high probability of tropical formation within the next 2 days. Stay tuned.
Bye Bye Epsilon...
No More Regular Alphabet Names
It has been an active season so far as we've used up all 21 names that NOAA's NHC set for the year. Interestingly, Tropical Storm Arthur developed back in mid May, more than 4 months ago! Since then, we've had a total of 9 huricanes!
We're Into the Greek Alphabet - First Time Since 2005
Not only did we use up all 21 names in the list above, but we've entered the Greek Alphabet, which is only the 2nd time in recorded history that we've done that and the first time since 2005. Delta became the 25th named storm and the 9th hurricane of the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season.