How old is too old to lead?
The retirement of Pope Benedict, the first such abdication in almost six centuries, may force aging lions from politics, academia and business to confront that painful question. For the legions of leaders well into their 80s and beyond, the evidence isn't encouraging.
Benedict said he will step down two months before his 86th birthday because he no longer has the strength to lead the world's 1.2 billion Catholics. His decision may prove emblematic of an older generation that is perhaps healthier than earlier generations, yet may harbor unrealistic expectations about what's physically possible as the body ages.
"The pope is probably making a wise decision because his ability to totally manage the church is going to be more limited, on average, because he's 85," said Leo Cooney, 69, chief of geriatrics at Yale School of Medicine.
Many of the world's most influential business leaders are confronting the same decision as they continue to rule their empires in their 80s and even 90s. Leaders in their 80s include Berkshire Hathaway's Warren Buffett, 82; News Corp.'s Rupert Murdoch, 81; BP Capital's T. Boone Pickens Jr., 84; and Tracinda's Kirk Kerkorian, 95. Viacom Chairman Sumner Redstone and Berkshire Hathaway Vice Chairman Charles Munger are 89. Li Ka-Shing, chairman of Hutchison Whampoa, is 84.
The scientific community's consensus on these long-reigning tycoons is clear enough: All good things come to an end. Some lucky ones are vigorous into old age; many others aren't.
"The prevalence of significant cognitive and functional problems does increase dramatically in the mid-80s," said Cooney. "It's probably a good idea to reassess one's ability to be in positions of power at that time."
Life expectancy in the United States is now 76 years for men and 81 for women. It is about 78 years in developed countries and 68 years in developing regions, the United Nations said in a report last year. By 2050, newborns can expect to live to 83 years in developed regions and 74 years in developing regions, it said. Those fortunate to live beyond their ninth decade will face many difficult hurdles.