Weather Outlook Midday Thursday to Midday Saturday
Here's a look at weather conditions through the end of the week and into Saturday. Note that we will stay mainly dry across much of the Upper Midwest, which is just what the doctor order. Enjoy it because weather conditions could be a little more active as we head into next week.
Twin Cities 7 Day
According to the MN DNR, peak color typically arrives across the far northern part of the state in mid/late September, while folks in the Twin Cities see peak color around mid October. It's hard to believe, but the fall color is almost gone.
How Does Weather Effect the Leaves?
Did you know that weather has a big impact on the fall color? Weather conditions that are either too wet or too dry can lead to premature displays or even dull, muted color displays. The best weather would be a warm, wet summer that gives way to sunny, cool fall days. Read more below:
Minnesota Crop Progress & Condition - October 21st
Looking back at the last 30 years of data at the MSP Airport, the average first frost (32F or colder) is October 12th. The Twin Cities got close on the 12th, but only dropped to 33F. The earliest frost was on September 20th back in 1991, but the latest was November 18th in 2016. Last year, our first frost was on October 11th.
Frosty Thursday & Friday Morning??
Points of Tropical Origin: October 21st - 31st
According to NOAA's CPC, the temperature outlook by the end of the month and into the first week of November looks pretty chilly across much of the Central US, including the Upper Midwest. Halloween could be a bit chilly this year! Stay tuned.
Here's the temperature outlook for the MSP Airport through the end of October and into early November, which looks pretty chilly through the end of the week. However, we warm up a bit on Saturday before another, even bigger cool down that will settle in next week, just in time for Halloween! However, the GFS is suggesting another mild spell by the 2nd weekend of November. Stay tuned...
Winter: Not a Threat - An Opportunity
By Paul Douglas
Some in our midst liken a Minnesota winter to a cold, snowy, near-death experience. I see it as an opportunity to try on more clothes. Some dread slushy commutes. I look forward to a break from bugs, weeding and wheezing allergies.
I gently remind next of kin that we don't experience earthquakes, massive wildfires or Texas-size storms with names. Cold fronts? Yeah, but at least our homes are stillstanding. Then again, I may be rationalizing.
After a fairly pleasant Saturday a wintry swipe arrives next week, preceded by what may be some accumulating snow Tuesday into Wednesday. It's still much too early to toss around amounts, but depending on the final storm track, a few inches of slush can't be ruled out, especially south and east of MSP.
For the record, I'm putting in my driveway stakes, and we've already put up our Christmas tree. When in Rome...
Halloween temperatures hold in the 30s with a scary windchill, but NOAA's GFS model brings a few 60s back into town in 2 weeks. Be still my heart.
THURSDAY: Peeks of sun. A dry sky. Winds: NW 8-13. High: 44.
THURSDAY NIGHT: Clear and chilly. Frost/Freeze like by morning. Winds: Calm. Low: 30.
FRIDAY: More sun. Feels like October again. Winds: SW 8-13. High: 51.
SATURDAY: Mix of clouds and sun. Not bad. Winds: S 10-15. Wake-up: 40. High: 56.
SUNDAY: Cloudy with a cooler breeze. Winds: NW 8-13. Wake-up: 39. High: 45.
MONDAY: Intervals of cool sunshine. Winds: W 7-12. Low: 29. High: 41.
TUESDAY: Mix turns to wet snow. Winds: NE 10-15. Low: 31. High: 36.
WEDNESDAY: Early slush. Flurries taper by PM? Winds: NW 10-20. Wake-up: 27. High: 33.
This Day in Weather History
1922: A powerful low pressure system over Minnesota brings 55 mph winds to Collegeville.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 54F (Record: 80F set in 1989)
Average Low: 37F (Record: 15F set in 1887)
Record Rainfall: 1.00" set in 1899
Record Snowfall: 0.9" set in 1981
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~10 hours & 33 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 56 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): ~ 5 hours & 04 minutes
Moon Phase for October 24th at Midnight
2.9 Days Before New Moon
What's in the Night Sky?
"This evening, check out one of the flashiest stars in the sky. It’s so bright that every year in northern autumn, we get questions from people in the Northern Hemisphere who see a bright star twinkling with red and green flashes. It’s found low in the northeastern sky at nightfall as seen from Northern Hemisphere locations. That star is likely Capella, which is actually a golden star. In fact, if you could travel to it in space, you’d find that Capella is really two golden stars, both with roughly the same surface temperature as our local star, the sun … but both larger and brighter than our sun. Capella is in the constellation Auriga the Charioteer, but since antiquity it has carried the name Goat Star. You might pick it out just by gazing northeastward from a Northern Hemisphere latitude during the evening hours in October. Capella climbs upward through the night, and, this month, soars high overhead in the wee hours before dawn."
2019 Preliminary Tornado Count