Weather Outlook AM Tuesday to Midday Wednesday
The weather outlook from AM Tuesday to midday Wednesday looks fairly active across the region as a strong storm system swirls northeast. Strong winds and lingering showers will continue Tuesday, while winds subside a bit on Wednesday. It could be cold enough late Tuesday into Wednesday for a few wet snow flakes to mix in across parts of the region, but there won't be any major accumulations anywhere.
Forecast Storm Total From Monday to Tuesday
Monday was a very wet day across the region, but the storm isn't over just yet. Lingering showers will continue on Tuesday with rainfall totals approaching 1.5" to 2" across the region.
Twin Cities 7 Day
According to the MN DNR, peak color typically arrives across the far northern part of the state in mid/late September, while folks in the Twin Cities see peak color around mid October. It's hard to believe, but the fall color is almost gone.
How Does Weather Effect the Leaves?
Did you know that weather has a big impact on the fall color? Weather conditions that are either too wet or too dry can lead to premature displays or even dull, muted color displays. The best weather would be a warm, wet summer that gives way to sunny, cool fall days. Read more below:
Minnesota Crop Progress & Condition - October 21st
Looking back at the last 30 years of data at the MSP Airport, the average first frost (32F or colder) is October 12th. The Twin Cities got close on the 12th, but only dropped to 33F. The earliest frost was on September 20th back in 1991, but the latest was November 18th in 2016. Last year, our first frost was on October 11th.
Points of Tropical Origin: October 21st - 31st
According to NOAA's CPC, the temperature outlook through the end of the month looks quite chilly across much of the nation, especially across the Upper Midwest. Meanwhile, folks in Alaska and in Florida looks warmer than average.
Here's the temperature outlook for the MSP Airport through the end of October and into early November. Note that readings will take a bit of a hit this week with highs only warming into the 40s. If the current forecast holds, it could be even colder by Halloween.
Warmest October Temps on Record at MSP
Here are the warmest temps on record at MSP for the month of October, which shows only (2) 90F days on record. The most recent warmest day was 88 degrees back in 2011.
Welcome to the Land of Lakes, Ponds & Puddles
By Paul Douglas
You know what's worse than raining cats and dogs? Hailing taxis. Sorry, my sense of humor has rusted shut. Moss is growing on my northern side. My car seat is now a flotation device.
Some 1-2 inch rainfall amounts soaked Minnesota yesterday, and we should easily log the wettest year in recorded Minnesota history. And the wettest decade too, according to Mark Seeley.
Will this pervasive and persistent wet signal spill into winter? Probably, but we may see more ice than usual; more storms with mixed precipitation.
Windblown showers taper today with a welcome shortage of annoying storms from Wednesday into Sunday. The first official sub-freezing temperature of the season at MSP may comes Thursday or Friday; about 3 weeks later than average. Whatever that average is. Late week feels like October again, with 50s on tap this weekend, even a shot at 60F by Saturday.
Models bring a sloppy mix of rain and snow into Minnesota next Tuesday, followed by a cold slap. Expect 30s on Halloween. Scary indeed!
TUESDAY: Showers taper. Blustery. Winds: NW 20-45. High: 46.
TUESDAY NIGHT: Mostly cloudy and breezy. Winds: WNW 15-30. Low: 34.
WEDNESDAY: Mostly cloudy. Less wind. Winds: NW 5-10. High: 48.
THURSDAY: First metro frost/freeze. Some sun. Winds: NW 7-12. Wake-up: 30. High: 47.
FRIDAY: More sun. Feels like October again. Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 30. High: 52.
SATURDAY: Sunny, breezy and milder. Winds: S 10-20. Wake-up: 40. High: 59.
SUNDAY: Clouds increase. Turning colder. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 46. High: 15.
MONDAY: Dry start. cold rain arrives late. Winds: N 5-10. Low: 35. High: 45.
This Day in Weather History
1938: Sleet and wind cause damage along the Minnesota/Wisconsin border.
1913: Long Prairie receives a record low of 8 degrees F.
Average High/Low for Minneapolis
Average High: 55F (Record: 81F set in 1992)
Average Low: 38F (Record: 20F set in 1936)
Record Rainfall: 0.69" set in 1957
Record Snowfall: 1.0" set in 1925
Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
Hours of Daylight: ~10 hours & 39 minutes
Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~ 2 minutes & 57 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): ~ 4 hours & 58 minutes
Moon Phase for October 22nd at Midnight
1.8 Days After Last Quarter Moon
What's in the Night Sky?
"Before dawn on October 23 and 24, 2019, watch as the moon slides in front of the constellation Leo the Lion. Then, as the morning darkness begins to give way to dawn, watch for the planet Mars to climb above the sunrise point on the horizon. Leo’s starlit figurine will be found in the eastern (sunrise) direction, in the predawn sky, at which time Mars will still be beneath the eastern horizon. Mars will only come into view as dawn’s light begins to increase. See the chart at the bottom of this post. Leo is identifiable for the prominent backwards question mark pattern within it; this pattern is a well-known asterism, called The Sickle. Although the chart at top is especially designed for North America, you’ll see the moon in the vicinity of Regulus from around the world. Before dawn on these same dates in the world’s Eastern Hemisphere, you’ll see the moon offset farther westward (upward) relative to the backdrop stars of the zodiac than we do in North America. For your specific view, at your location on the globe, try Stellarium."
2019 Preliminary Tornado Count
"Some of the Best Shooting Stars of 2019 Are Coming — Here’s How to See Them"
"Thanks to Halley's Comet, it’s the annual peak of the Orionid meteor shower, one of the best times to see shooting stars in 2019. Space dust left in the solar system by Halley's Comet will slam into Earth’s atmosphere in the early hours of Tuesday morning as October’s second meteor shower peaks. What is the Orionid meteor shower? Happening from October 2 through November 7, but peaking late Monday, October 21 in the early hours of Tuesday, October 22, the Orionid meteor shower is an annual event that brings between 20 and 40 visible shooting stars every hour."
"What do we really need the Moon for?"
"The Moon is such a familiar presence in the sky that most of us take it for granted. But what if it wasn't where it is now? How would that affect life on Earth? Space scientist Dr Maggie Aderin-Pocock, an expert on the Moon, explores our intimate relationship with our planet’s rocky satellite. Besides orchestrating the tides, the Moon dictates the length of a day, the rhythm of the seasons and the very stability of Earth. Yet the Moon doesn’t stay still. In the past it was closer to the Earth and in the future it will be further away. It’s lucky that it is now perfectly placed to help sustain life. Using computer graphics to summon up great tides and set the Earth spinning on its side, Aderin-Pocock implores us to look at the Moon afresh: to see it not as an inert rock, but as a key player in the story of our planet’s past, present and future."
"The Potential of Green Urban Planning for Mental Health"
"There is no single solution to the world-wide epidemic of poor mental health; addressing its root causes—like poverty-triggered stress and social isolation—and choosing effective treatment for sufferers remains paramount. One way to potentially partly buffer against the effects of poor mental health is through contact with nature, including the green spaces within metropolises. This is an emerging area of research with plenty of unanswered questions attached, but there is a not-insignificant number of studies pointing to this being a measurable, important effect. “Green space is an agent of public health, one that can build and sustain mental wellbeing,” Jenny Roe, an environmental psychologist at the University of Virginia, told Earther. That’s why she’s part of a team that wants to not just quantify the effect that natural spaces have on mental health, but to also frame it in a way that forms part of designs for cities."
"Trees That Survived California Drought May Hold Clue To Climate Resilience"
"When California's historic five-year drought finally relented a few years ago the tally of dead trees in the Sierra Nevada was higher than almost anyone expected: 129 million. Most are still standing, the dry patches dotting the mountainsides. But some trees did survive the test of heat and drought. Now, scientists are racing to collect them, and other species around the globe, in the hope that these "climate survivors" have a natural advantage that will allow them to better cope with a warming world. On the north shore of Lake Tahoe, Patricia Maloney, a UC Davis forest and conservation biologist, hunts for these survivors. Most people focus on the dead trees, their brown pine needles obvious against the glittering blue of the lake. But Maloney tends not to notice them. "I look for the good," she says. "Like in people, you look for the good, not the bad. I do the same in forest systems."
"Scientists suggest creating a detailed 3D map of Earth before we mess everything up even more"
"Humans are affecting Earth’s climate, and there’s a wealth of scientific evidence to support that fact. We’ve already begun to see some seriously troubling trends that may be associated with our altering of the climate, including mass die-offs of ocean coral, widespread drought, and increasingly powerful and unpredictable storm systems. With all that in mind, scientists from Colorado State University are doing what they can to preserve a record of Earth before things too out of hand. It’s called The Earth Archive, and there’s a good reason why it should be a high priority. Researchers across all scientific fields have provided mankind with insights into the history of our planet, as well as the animals, plants, and civilizations that call it home. We’ve come a long way, but there’s still so much we don’t know about our planet’s history, and various climate-related factors put us at ever-greater risk of losing those discoveries forever."
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