Lakeville, Minn.
Lakeville, MN - Chris has had a life-long interest in weather. He was the one in school with the weather forecast, and the one always looking up at the sky and clouds. He realized his dream of studying weather by getting a degree in atmospheric sciences at the University of Wisconsin, Madison. After that, he worked as a computer programmer and hydrologist for the National Weather Service's West Gulf River Forecast Center in Fort Worth, Texas. After a brief break, he resumed his career in weather at the NWS's National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center in Chanhassen, MN. There, he does meteorology and snow hydrology, along with some system administration and computer programming. Chris is also the president of the Twin Cities Chapter of the American Meteorological Society, a group of weather professionals and enthusiasts in and around the Twin Cities.
Early morning thunderstorms wake up people. Film at 11. More…
Conditions: 69°, Dreary, Wind speed/direction calm, Precipitation 0.59", Dew point 67°, Barometer 1013.6 mb
So, despite SPC's having a moderate risk of severe weather for us yesterday and previous predictions of rain for today, we got squat. When storms started firing in west-central Minnesota, I knew it was over for us. Too capped. Dammit. More…
Conditions: 68°, Partly Cloudy, Wind speed/direction none, Wind chill none°, Precipitation none :-(", Dew point 61°, Barometer 1005.5, UV Index zip
Nearly an inch of rain so far today. Whoever ordered this, my lawn, my water bill, and I thank you. More…
Conditions: 63°, Rain, Wind speed/direction calm, Precipitation 0.91", Dew point 61°, Barometer 1013.5 mb
It's probably normal, but it seems we've had some wild weather swings recently, except for rainfall. It's just been dry. More…
Conditions: 50°, Showers, Wind speed/direction N 13, Wind chill almost°, Precipitation 0.01", Dew point 46°, Barometer 1011.7, UV Index really? today?
Mom always said bring a jacket when you go to Duluth More…
Conditions: 84°, clear, Wind speed/direction S 16 G 25, Wind chill kidding, right?°, Precipitation 0", Dew point 46°, Barometer 1008.8, UV Index What about the infrared index?
A little about the hot, and a little about the lilacs. More…
Conditions: 67°, clear, Wind speed/direction S 15 G 25, Wind chill ha!°, Precipitation 0", Dew point 51°, Barometer 1013.7
My family and I were at my mom's house near Chisholm this weekend. After I had thawed out, I noticed the trees were just budding up there - no full leaves. More…
Conditions: 55°, clear, Wind speed/direction light S, Dew point 37°, Barometer 1022.4 mb, UV Index 0 - it's dark
The low-level clouds are screaming from the south-southeast, and the rain, according to radar, is moving smartly from the west-southwest. That's some pretty good turning of the wind with height. Unfortunately, we lack the thermodynamics (although the dewpoint has risen from 37 at midnight to 52 now), and the winds are probably too strong for anything but weak to moderate tipped-over storms. More…
Conditions: 61°, Windy , Wind speed/direction S 23 G 29, Precipitation trace", Dew point 52°, Barometer 1008.6 mb
Add to the list of items which can be tracked on radar: lake flies. More…
Conditions: 59°, clear, Wind speed/direction SW 3, Dew point 33°, Barometer 1023.0 mb
Here: it started sunny, but now it's cloudy. More…
Conditions: 48°, Cloudy, Wind speed/direction NW 8, Precipitation 0", Dew point 37°, Barometer 1019.0 mb
Low to mid 30s in the next few days with mid 40s this weekend and flurries possible Sunday, Chris Shaffer reports (1:00).
Chance of flurries until tonight and temperatures will stay chilly until Friday and Saturday, Chris Shaffer reports (1:00).
Scattered show showers are expected for parts of Minnesota Wednesday, Ron Trenda reports (1:01).
Mind the scattered snow showers Wednesday as you make your way to grandmother's house, Ron Trenda reports (1:00).
Chance of snow headed our way Wednesday afternoon with temperatures ranging in the 30s and 40s, Chris Shaffer reports (1:00).
It will be cloudy with a chance of showers Tuesday night, Chris Shaffer Reports (1:02).
There should be some scattered showers and a more merky and damp night Tuesday, Mike Augustyniak reports (1:03).
The travel forecast for Wednesday calls for the possibility of snow, Mike Augustyniak reports (1:00).
A frontal boundaray west of the Twin Cities is keeping temperatures mild Monday night, Chris Shaffer reports (1:00).
A chance for rain in the Twin Cities Monday night, Chris Shaffer reports (1:00).
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Thanks for the explanation of the wind shear. What does "mixing down" mean? Is it that conditions move further away from the dew point as … read more one comes closer to the the surface? Well, it's correlated, but not caused by that. A well-mixed portion of an upper-level sounding has an "inverted-v" shape to it. This is a result of the mixing, mainly mixing down. As unsaturated air descends, it warms at a specific rate, about 10 Celsius degrees per kilometer. Conversely, rising air cools at that same rate. A parcel (blob) of unsaturated air will keep the same amount of moisture within it. Graphically, the unsaturated parcel's temperature increases (decreases) with height, its potential temperature stays the same. (The potential temperature is the temperature the parcel would have if it were brought to 1000 mb). The amount of moisture in that parcel stays the same, and there are many ways of measuring it, but the moist convenient is the dewpoint (the temperature to which you must cool a parcel with no change in pressure to reach saturation). One can convert this dewpoint into a mixing ratio (the derivation of which I seem to have forgotten). But this mixing ratio stays constant as you raise (lower) an unsaturated parcel. Why all this emphasis on an unsaturated parcel? It's because heat released (captured) by the condensing (evaporating) moisture changes the heat balance in the parcel. The equations still work, but it's not as simple. Anyway, if you can imagine a saturated parcel (temperature = dewpoint) descending (ascending), it's temperature increases (decreases) at a rate of 10 deg C per kilometer, and its mixing ratio stays the same. So you get this "spreading" ("converging") of the temperature and moisture lines from that level to a lower (higher) level. By the way, the rate at which temperature decreases with height is called the "lapse rate." It's almost always a positive number, indicating a decreasing with height. If the temperature increases with height, the lapse rate is negative, and that condition is known as an inversion. Anyway, along with this mixing of blobs of temperature is a mixing of blobs of wind speed. For example, the winds a couple of kilometers off the ground are moving at, say 50 mi/hr. The wind speed is often faster at higher elevations because there's little friction (with the ground) to slow it. A parcel of that air is mixed downward (because air is being mixed upward - we need some kind of compensation or we'd run out of air down here!), and you have some fast air near the surface. It's not 50 mi/hr because as it mixes down, it mixes with slower air , so you might end up with 20 to 30 mi/hr. Conversely, 10 to 20 mi/hr air at the surface is brought upward with parcels and mixes with the 50 mi/hr air and gives you about, say, 40 mi/hr (again, taking into account friction at the ground). This mixing is made more likely when the air is more "unstable", at term which means that air is more likely to move vertically. We had very unstable conditions, so air was pretty free to move up (and down), thus mixing higher wind speeds at higher altitudes to the surface, and giving a well-mixed temperature/dewpoint profile.
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