Snowfall Potential Overnight. Here is a 15-hour (HopWRF) high-resolution, 3 km model showing a fairly sharp north-south gradient and cut-off to the significant snow tonight; the best chance of a few inches north and west of a line from Windom to St. Cloud, some 4-7" amounts over west central Minnesota.
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June is peak severe storm season for much of Minnesota, and Mother Nature drove that point home yesterday, with a few touchdowns from near Rochester into western Wisconsin. Today should be quieter, but rain returns Friday. Don't panic. We begin to dry out Saturday and much of the holiday weekend looks pretty nice. A little on the cool side (highs mostly in the 70s) but the 4th of July may be the best lake-day with highs nudging 80F. Real heat is brewing late next week into mid-July. The Dog Days are coming...
Mark my words: many of us will soon look back fondly on this spell of relatively cool, crisp, comfortable weather. Long-range models are still printing out sustained heat for much of July; more lake-worthy temperatures are less than a week away, and I suspect another run of 90s by mid-July. In the meantime take something waterproof today because showers and T-storms are likely, some heavy, but the best chance of severe weather passes just south and east of the MSP metro.
Soaking rains arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some lawns and gardens could get a healthy drink as models are suggesting nearly 1 inch of rain in a few spots. A few sputtery rain showers will be possible on Friday and Saturday, but it won't be a washout. Hot and sweaty weather looks to return by July 4th.
Yes, I know. It's too cool for the lake. I feel your pain - there were whitecaps on my lake too, and only the brave and foolish were in the water. This cool spell isn't sustainable. The sun is too high in the sky - there is too much overheated air over the southern USA. At some point it will warm up. Probably overnight. Like turning on a light switch. Might I recommend that you embrace the comfortable readings, because within 1-2 weeks young and old alike will be muttering about the heat and humidity. Wait for it.
Saturday was interesting, more early October than late June. Instability showers and T-storms dropped small hail, sparking wind gusts over 40 mph. Today should be a notch better with more sun and fewer showers popping by afternoon. Temperatures mellow a bit this week, but I don't see 80s until the latter half of next week. A lot of people are whining about the lack of lake-worthy heat, but I don't mind the free A/C one bit.