Update: On Track for Record May Snow (3-5" by Thursday morning; more for some suburbs)
May 1, 2013 — 10:31am
2.42" precipitation by Saturday night. Rain/snow mix changes to all snow tonight, but the atmosphere should be warm enough for rain Friday into Saturday.
3": most snow from a May storm in the Twin Cities (1946). There is now a 60-70% probability we will break that record.
12z RPM Model. Expect a mix of rain and wet snow during the day today, but with surface (and ground) temperatures above freezing I don't expect anything to stick until late afternoon or evening. The best chance of accumulation is between 8 pm and 3 am tomorrow; I'm still thinking 3-5" for much of the metro - as much as 5-8" in a few suburban locations. Expect a slow and slushy morning commute, roads mainly wet by late morning - a much easier drive home. No, I can't quite believe I'm writing this on May 1 either.
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Mild temps and lingering light rain showers continue through the weekend. The mercury may dip just enough to coax a few wet flakes out the clouds on Sunday, but nothing will stick. We'll have a better chance of snow sticking early next week as a Pacific storm system moves into the Upper Midwest. Temps look fairly mild initially, which could make for sloppy event. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Closer to home, we settle into a somewhat soggy weather pattern with scattered light rain showers over the next few days. There may be a few wet snowflakes mixing in, but with highs flirting with 40 degrees through the weekend, streets remain mainly wet. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
The next several days will be running nearly 50 degrees warmer than the sub-zero lows that we had less than 1 week ago. Daytime highs in the 40s with lows above freezing will continue to cut into the meager snow pack through the weekend. Scattered light rain chances Friday through Sunday will help to speed up the melting process, which means we're in for lots of puddles. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Weather maps look more March-like heading into the second half of January as the mercury tops 40 degrees later this week. Stillwater is host to Hockey Day in Minnesota this Saturday. The current forecast calls for a high temperature in the low/mid 40s with light rain. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson