Update: On Track for Record May Snow (3-5" by Thursday morning; more for some suburbs)
May 1, 2013 — 10:31am
2.42" precipitation by Saturday night. Rain/snow mix changes to all snow tonight, but the atmosphere should be warm enough for rain Friday into Saturday.
3": most snow from a May storm in the Twin Cities (1946). There is now a 60-70% probability we will break that record.
12z RPM Model. Expect a mix of rain and wet snow during the day today, but with surface (and ground) temperatures above freezing I don't expect anything to stick until late afternoon or evening. The best chance of accumulation is between 8 pm and 3 am tomorrow; I'm still thinking 3-5" for much of the metro - as much as 5-8" in a few suburban locations. Expect a slow and slushy morning commute, roads mainly wet by late morning - a much easier drive home. No, I can't quite believe I'm writing this on May 1 either.
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February is the bleakest month for many of us - March can't come fast enough. Sure it snows in March, but snow usually melts within a day or 2, and temperatures reach the 30s and 40s - almost a bargain compared to January. Then again, the Twin Cities has cold weather boasting rights for the USA - 5th coldest (big) city in the world? Bold North indeed.
Snow falls north of the MSP metro area Sunday, but we're still on track for a couple inches of slush Monday. By the time the system really gets going, fueled with moisture from the Gulf of Mexico, it'll be too far east for heavy amounts here. Another coating of flakes Tuesday gives way to blue sky by midweek. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
A little snow and ice is possible this morning, but most of the significant snow on Sunday will fall over central and northern Minnesota. There's another chance of snow Monday, when an inch or two may fall on the metro, but this may wind up being more of a nuisance event for the immediate Twin Cities, but plowable over parts of central and northern Minnesota.
Admit it, 30s feel pretty good. Imagine what 50F or 60F will feel like. Today will feel more like late January, although blue sky and a higher sun angle will help to remove some of the sting. A clipper may spark a coating of snow Saturday, a warmer front dropping some accumulating snow on northern Minnesota Sunday. Monday's snow event looks less impressive, but a little slush is possible as we start the work week.