Update: On Track for Record May Snow (3-5" by Thursday morning; more for some suburbs)
May 1, 2013 — 10:31am
2.42" precipitation by Saturday night. Rain/snow mix changes to all snow tonight, but the atmosphere should be warm enough for rain Friday into Saturday.
3": most snow from a May storm in the Twin Cities (1946). There is now a 60-70% probability we will break that record.
12z RPM Model. Expect a mix of rain and wet snow during the day today, but with surface (and ground) temperatures above freezing I don't expect anything to stick until late afternoon or evening. The best chance of accumulation is between 8 pm and 3 am tomorrow; I'm still thinking 3-5" for much of the metro - as much as 5-8" in a few suburban locations. Expect a slow and slushy morning commute, roads mainly wet by late morning - a much easier drive home. No, I can't quite believe I'm writing this on May 1 either.
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A nagging pool of unusually cold air aloft may spark a few passing showers today and Friday; the best chance of a little rain across Wisconsin. The weekend looks sunny and dry with a warming trend; Monday may feature a long overdue preview of summer to come.
Those chin-deep drifts are finally shrinking, the birds are chirping, and spring may stick around this time. A higher sun angle is finally thawing out the atmosphere, and 60s will be the rule into next week, with 70s by Sunday - an outside shot at 80F next Monday. Relatively dry weather lingers into Monday, but a front forecast to stall just south of Minnesota may increase the chance of showers and even a few heavier T-storms next week.
Monday was a sight for sore eyes alright; 71F has never felt better...without the bugs and obligatory humidity of summer. Spring will actually stick around into next week; no hot spikes (yet), although 80F is possible next Monday with a rumble of thunder. Looks like we've turned a corner....
Spring has finally sprung here across the region, and Monday is going to be a picture perfect day with highs in the 60s and 70s. In fact, we're pulling out a term not used recently: above average! We do have some rain chances this week - when? Click for details! - D.J. Kayser
I predict that many grills will be smoking this afternoon and possibly again for dinner tomorrow as a few optimistic thermometers tickle 70 degrees late in the afternoon! We still need more warmth to knock out that lake ice. The Fishing Opener is only 3 weekends away and some lakes still have feet of ice up north! Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson