Update: 1-2" Icy Slush Much of Metro, 3-6" Expected Northern/Western Suburbs (up to a foot parts of central Minnesota)
April 16, 2014 — 6:48pm
Amazing Snowfall Gradient Across Metro Area. Otsego reports 9" of snow on the ground, with 7" at Ham Lake, 5" Forest Lake, 4" Maple Plain and 5" at Delano. Expect a burst of moderate to heavy snow this evening, capable of a couple inches of slushy accumulation across most of the metro, but as much as 3-6" for portions of the northern and western suburbs before snow tapers around 10-11 PM.
Latest Snowfall Reports, Updated 6:30 PM. 10.5" of snow has already piled up near Big Lake with 10" at Annandale and 9" at St. Francis, in northern Anoka County. An icy mix of snow, freezing rain and sleet changes to mostly snow this evening with 1-2" for the immediate downtowns, less south of the airport, more north and west of Minneapolis. The far northern and northwestern suburbs will see a plowable snowfall; most of it cutting off after midnight. Latest snow reports from NOAA are here.
Latest WRF Model. The 18z HopWRF (3 km resolution - it's done a pretty good job this winter isolated snowfall amounts) shows a band of 5-8" from near Willmar and St. Cloud, as much as 10-12" from Sandstone and Hinkley to near Duluth and Superior by Thursday morning. Expect some 3-6" amounts for the far northern and western suburbs. The farther north and west you drive up I-94 or I-35 the more treacherous travel conditions will be overnight. Pretend it's still February.
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Storms rumble across the state Tuesday, and a few may turn severe. Dew points in the mid-70s will make it feel like mid-90s by late afternoon. Dew points drop into the 50s tomorrow, taking the edge off the heat. Highs reach 85 to 90F the next 5 days before a stronger puff of Canadian air arrives next week. Hottest days behind us? Probably. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Sunday was a remarkable day: bright sun, reasonable humidity levels, no wild storms, no running and screaming - I could temporarily disconnect the Doppler. Today looks dry but a round of storms may rumble overhead early Tuesday as dew points surge into the 70s. No extended Dog Days - some Canadian relief is likely by midweek.
It's July. It gets hot in July on a fairly consistent basis. Highs near 90 and a noteworthy heat index probably shouldn't come as a shock to anyone. The next 3-4 days will be uncomfortable but I do see a dip in dew point the latter half of the week. A closer look at the 7-Day, weather-related disaster declarations, and how weather radar was discovered - quite by accident.
After a thundery start Friday mellowed into a pretty nice day - beastly humid, but the biggest PM storms flared up to our east. We should enjoy a dry Saturday, an isolated thunder risk late Sunday, again Monday, but many of us will go 3 days without checking the Doppler. Some would call this the Dog Days; by early next week it will feel like 95-100F. Not exactly Dallas-hot or Atlanta-humid, but the next few days will be some of the warmest of the summer.
The strongest T-storms should track off north of MSP this morning, maybe brushing the metro, but a better chance of atmospheric rocking and rolling from Brainerd to Mille Lacs to Duluth. We dry out a bit tomorrow with more 80s; the latest NAM model run prints out nearly 3" of rain from T-storms Sunday. I'm skeptical - let's see if this is a fluke or a real trend.