Update: 1-2" Icy Slush Much of Metro, 3-6" Expected Northern/Western Suburbs (up to a foot parts of central Minnesota)
April 16, 2014 — 6:48pm
Amazing Snowfall Gradient Across Metro Area. Otsego reports 9" of snow on the ground, with 7" at Ham Lake, 5" Forest Lake, 4" Maple Plain and 5" at Delano. Expect a burst of moderate to heavy snow this evening, capable of a couple inches of slushy accumulation across most of the metro, but as much as 3-6" for portions of the northern and western suburbs before snow tapers around 10-11 PM.
Latest Snowfall Reports, Updated 6:30 PM. 10.5" of snow has already piled up near Big Lake with 10" at Annandale and 9" at St. Francis, in northern Anoka County. An icy mix of snow, freezing rain and sleet changes to mostly snow this evening with 1-2" for the immediate downtowns, less south of the airport, more north and west of Minneapolis. The far northern and northwestern suburbs will see a plowable snowfall; most of it cutting off after midnight. Latest snow reports from NOAA are here.
Latest WRF Model. The 18z HopWRF (3 km resolution - it's done a pretty good job this winter isolated snowfall amounts) shows a band of 5-8" from near Willmar and St. Cloud, as much as 10-12" from Sandstone and Hinkley to near Duluth and Superior by Thursday morning. Expect some 3-6" amounts for the far northern and western suburbs. The farther north and west you drive up I-94 or I-35 the more treacherous travel conditions will be overnight. Pretend it's still February.
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Only in Minnesota can you be knee-deep in flood waters with dust blowing in your face. Weather has always been extreme at this latitude, but there's growing evidence the swings are becoming even bigger. Which brings up the challenge (and opportunity) of managing water: too much water, or not enough water. More showers sprout today but generally dry weather is likely Friday into Sunday as temperatures moderate. The first week of August may feel more like mid-July.
Another free lawn-watering today (showers and T-storms, probably not severe) gives way to a clearing trend and a drop in humidity Thursday. The upcoming weekend looks lake-friendly, warm, but not obnoxiously so. Next week may see a few more 90s with a couple days of dew points in the oh-zone.
Monday was a fine summer day; a touch of heat and humidity, but not as swamp-like as late last week. We may brush 90F today before cooling off later this week - a good chance of heavy showers and T-storms Wednesday and Thursday. Long-range models hint at another hot front as early as next week.
Both Sunday and Monday will be excellent days to get outside, with highs in the mid to upper 80s. At least the heat we've had recently isn't like what they've seen in the Middle East. Click through for more details. - D.J. Kayser