Update: 1-2" Icy Slush Much of Metro, 3-6" Expected Northern/Western Suburbs (up to a foot parts of central Minnesota)
April 16, 2014 — 6:48pm
Amazing Snowfall Gradient Across Metro Area. Otsego reports 9" of snow on the ground, with 7" at Ham Lake, 5" Forest Lake, 4" Maple Plain and 5" at Delano. Expect a burst of moderate to heavy snow this evening, capable of a couple inches of slushy accumulation across most of the metro, but as much as 3-6" for portions of the northern and western suburbs before snow tapers around 10-11 PM.
Latest Snowfall Reports, Updated 6:30 PM. 10.5" of snow has already piled up near Big Lake with 10" at Annandale and 9" at St. Francis, in northern Anoka County. An icy mix of snow, freezing rain and sleet changes to mostly snow this evening with 1-2" for the immediate downtowns, less south of the airport, more north and west of Minneapolis. The far northern and northwestern suburbs will see a plowable snowfall; most of it cutting off after midnight. Latest snow reports from NOAA are here.
Latest WRF Model. The 18z HopWRF (3 km resolution - it's done a pretty good job this winter isolated snowfall amounts) shows a band of 5-8" from near Willmar and St. Cloud, as much as 10-12" from Sandstone and Hinkley to near Duluth and Superior by Thursday morning. Expect some 3-6" amounts for the far northern and western suburbs. The farther north and west you drive up I-94 or I-35 the more treacherous travel conditions will be overnight. Pretend it's still February.
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What a Thanksgiving Day: blue sky, pleasant temperatures, light winds, turkey...another Vikings win...more turkey...more football. Nap. About as good as it gets. Ever. We should see 50s today before an afternoon rain shower. A cooler Saturday gives way to another shot at 50F Sunday, again Monday before cooling off again next week. Nothing Nanook brewing just yet...
It's pretty quiet out there, all things considered. We could easily be knee-deep in snow and ice by now, so 40s and 50s? Personally, I can live with that. Winds ease up today with flurries, maybe a coating up north by afternoon. Temperatures moderate Thanksgiving into Friday; relative warmth spilling into early next week. A strong west flow should insulate us from the coldest winds of winter through the first week of December. After that all bets are off.
November got off to a numbing start, and it looks like we'll finish the month with a slight mild bias; more 40s, even a couple more 50s possible before we skate into December. The weather looks miraculously quiet this week - 40s return by Thanksgiving with a shot at 50F on Friday. Considering snow could be thigh-high by now I'm not about to complain.
Highs will climb into the 50s under sunny skies Monday across southern Minnesota, while a few snow showers will be possible by the evening in northern Minnesota. There aren't too many weather concerns this week locally though for any Turkey Day travels. More in the blog! - D.J. Kayser