Todd's StarTribune Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
MONDAY: More clouds, T-storm late? Breezy. High: 76
MONDAY NIGHT: Isolated shower or storm. Low: 59
TUESDAY: Humid, more numerous T-storms. High: 75
WEDNESDAY: Front stalls, scattered storms. Low: 60. High: 76
THURSDAY: A bit drier, still warm. Low: 61. High: 79
FRIDAY: Clouds increase, late rain - few T-storms possible. Low: 61. High: 81
SATURDAY: Hazy sun, a few PM storms. Low: 64. High: 81
SUNDAY: Still warm and unsettled, chance of an isolated afternoon shower or storm. Low: 64. High: 82.
Photo Courtesy Rich Koivisto From Duluth, MN
Raging Wildfires in Arizona vaulted plumes of smoke high into the atmosphere last week as far north as the Great Lakes. Brilliant orange and reddish sunsets were seen near sunset here.Although the Arizona wildfires continue, the strong upper level winds have switched from southwest to more of a "Zonal Flow" - this is keeping the heaviest 'smoke' well south of us.
Unsettled Week of Weather
The strong upper level winds are coming in from more of a westerly direction, more "Zonal" which will keep our weather this week active. Storm systems will ride the upper level winds eastwards towards the Great Lakes Region. These systems will drag fronts through Minnesota and Wisconsin with scattered showers and storms popping up in the afternoon and evening hours.
Monday Rain Chance
Our first rain chance will slide in later Monday and stall out over the area through the middle part of the week.
Rain/Thunder Chances Continue Through Mid-Week
Keep in mind that none of the days this week look to be rain outs, but there will be areas of showers/T-storms that crop up in the day that could chase you indoors if you have any plans. Below is the forecast map for Wednesday as the front looks to stall overhead and keep things a little more unsettled than Tuesday.
5 Day Rain Forecast - Through Friday
The 5 day rain forecast from the HPC shows some spots across parts of the state getting up to 2" of rain through Friday. Convective activity has a unique way of concentrating all the moisture in the atmosphere in a condensed column that can produce heavy rain. If you happen to get under one or two of these convective showers this week, don't be surprised if you get up around that 2" mark in the rain bucket by the end of the week.
Convective Outlook For Monday - Severe Thunderstorm Risk
The severe risk for Monday looks more 'risky' well to our south.
Another Picture From Rich Koivisto - Neat shot here Rich! Looks like the antler velvet is coming in nicely up there in Duluth!
Thanks for checking in...
Meteorologist Todd Nelson
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. | Send Paul a question.
Yes, it's been a bit on the cool side, but the bug count is down, Gladys down the street isn't nagging about the humidity, wild storms aren't waking up up at 3 AM, and the TV weather dude is having a tough time finding things to talk about on the air. All good problems to have. The chance of bumping into a T-storm will increase late tonight into Thursday; temperatures only a couple degrees above average into much of next week. Not a hot front in sight. I'm OK with that - let's hope it hangs on a few extra weeks.
May ended on a cool note (frost just north and east of the MSP metro, less than a month before the Summer Solstice? Yes, that's odd). Temperatures mellow a bit this week, back up to average with a few midweek showers and T-storms. GFS guidance is hinting at real heat 2-3 weeks out. That, plus an update on the incredible May rains over the southern Plains and why if you're getting hitched outside this month you will absolutely want to RENT THE TENT!
Yes, this is chilly for the last day of May, and no, it won't hang on much longer. Summer returns later this week, along with sticky humidity levels and a few scattered heavy T-storms. No weather drama in sight - yet.
It may be a few degrees too cool for the lake, but the sun will be out most of the weekend with a welcome dip in humidity levels. Showers and storms return next week as a warm front edges closer to Minnesota. No debilitating heat in sight for us just yet, although long-range models hint at a heat wave brewing for much of the central and southern USA within a week or two. The big news: the drought is fading fast...
A sloppy cool front limps across the state today, squeezing out a few hours of showers and possible thunder - nothing severe is expected. Saturday may look and feel like something out of late September or early October with low humidity, bright sun, a cool breeze and unlimited visibility. Clouds increase Sunday PM but I still think we'll salvage a pretty good day. The stickies return next week, nothing oppressive yet, just a taste of what's probably coming later in June and July. I'm amazed by how fast the drought is fizzling. The trends are encouraging...