Todd's StarTribune Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
MONDAY: More clouds, T-storm late? Breezy. High: 76
MONDAY NIGHT: Isolated shower or storm. Low: 59
TUESDAY: Humid, more numerous T-storms. High: 75
WEDNESDAY: Front stalls, scattered storms. Low: 60. High: 76
THURSDAY: A bit drier, still warm. Low: 61. High: 79
FRIDAY: Clouds increase, late rain - few T-storms possible. Low: 61. High: 81
SATURDAY: Hazy sun, a few PM storms. Low: 64. High: 81
SUNDAY: Still warm and unsettled, chance of an isolated afternoon shower or storm. Low: 64. High: 82.
Photo Courtesy Rich Koivisto From Duluth, MN
Raging Wildfires in Arizona vaulted plumes of smoke high into the atmosphere last week as far north as the Great Lakes. Brilliant orange and reddish sunsets were seen near sunset here.Although the Arizona wildfires continue, the strong upper level winds have switched from southwest to more of a "Zonal Flow" - this is keeping the heaviest 'smoke' well south of us.
Unsettled Week of Weather
The strong upper level winds are coming in from more of a westerly direction, more "Zonal" which will keep our weather this week active. Storm systems will ride the upper level winds eastwards towards the Great Lakes Region. These systems will drag fronts through Minnesota and Wisconsin with scattered showers and storms popping up in the afternoon and evening hours.
Monday Rain Chance
Our first rain chance will slide in later Monday and stall out over the area through the middle part of the week.
Rain/Thunder Chances Continue Through Mid-Week
Keep in mind that none of the days this week look to be rain outs, but there will be areas of showers/T-storms that crop up in the day that could chase you indoors if you have any plans. Below is the forecast map for Wednesday as the front looks to stall overhead and keep things a little more unsettled than Tuesday.
5 Day Rain Forecast - Through Friday
The 5 day rain forecast from the HPC shows some spots across parts of the state getting up to 2" of rain through Friday. Convective activity has a unique way of concentrating all the moisture in the atmosphere in a condensed column that can produce heavy rain. If you happen to get under one or two of these convective showers this week, don't be surprised if you get up around that 2" mark in the rain bucket by the end of the week.
Convective Outlook For Monday - Severe Thunderstorm Risk
The severe risk for Monday looks more 'risky' well to our south.
Another Picture From Rich Koivisto - Neat shot here Rich! Looks like the antler velvet is coming in nicely up there in Duluth!
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After a beautiful Saturday, a weak storm system will push through the region prompting a bit of a breeze Sunday. There will be a noticeable nip to the air. Clouds and a few showers will be found in far northern Minnesota, while most of us stay dry through Monday. A cool rain arrives late Tuesday with some 1 to nearly 2 inch rain amounts possible across southern Minnesota through midweek. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Here we go, fall the way we knew it could be. That means low to mid 60s with some sunshine streaming through today - a few more clouds and more wind tomorrow, but all in all fairly quiet for late October. A little rain is expected the middle of next week; warming up nicely 1 week from today before cooling off for Halloween. No blizzards brewing for October 31 this year...
Yes, La Nina correlates with colder, wetter (snowier) weather for northern tier states, and that could mean a better chance of happy snowmobilers and cross country skiers this winter. Average snow would be nice, about 54", give or take. Odds favor a tougher winter than last year, but I wouldn't assume worst-case (polar vortex) scenarios just yet...
It actually feels like October out there. Soak up the chill because a mild bias continues as far ahead as we can see, certainly into the first week or two of November. Snow? I don't see it - in fact many suburbs within 20 miles of the downtowns will remain frost-free for another week or two. As has been the trend in recent years we're getting another Super-Sized Autumn
Tuesday was extraordinary (nice not to be tracking red blobs on Doppler radar). Today looks a bit cooler, and you may even need a sweatshirt or light jacket by Thursday morning. If you can avoid a frost Friday morning odds are your yard will remain frost-free into next week, maybe Halloween at the rate we're going.