Todd's StarTribune Outlook for the Twin Cities and all of Minnesota:
MONDAY: More clouds, T-storm late? Breezy. High: 76
MONDAY NIGHT: Isolated shower or storm. Low: 59
TUESDAY: Humid, more numerous T-storms. High: 75
WEDNESDAY: Front stalls, scattered storms. Low: 60. High: 76
THURSDAY: A bit drier, still warm. Low: 61. High: 79
FRIDAY: Clouds increase, late rain - few T-storms possible. Low: 61. High: 81
SATURDAY: Hazy sun, a few PM storms. Low: 64. High: 81
SUNDAY: Still warm and unsettled, chance of an isolated afternoon shower or storm. Low: 64. High: 82.
Photo Courtesy Rich Koivisto From Duluth, MN
Raging Wildfires in Arizona vaulted plumes of smoke high into the atmosphere last week as far north as the Great Lakes. Brilliant orange and reddish sunsets were seen near sunset here.Although the Arizona wildfires continue, the strong upper level winds have switched from southwest to more of a "Zonal Flow" - this is keeping the heaviest 'smoke' well south of us.
Unsettled Week of Weather
The strong upper level winds are coming in from more of a westerly direction, more "Zonal" which will keep our weather this week active. Storm systems will ride the upper level winds eastwards towards the Great Lakes Region. These systems will drag fronts through Minnesota and Wisconsin with scattered showers and storms popping up in the afternoon and evening hours.
Monday Rain Chance
Our first rain chance will slide in later Monday and stall out over the area through the middle part of the week.
Rain/Thunder Chances Continue Through Mid-Week
Keep in mind that none of the days this week look to be rain outs, but there will be areas of showers/T-storms that crop up in the day that could chase you indoors if you have any plans. Below is the forecast map for Wednesday as the front looks to stall overhead and keep things a little more unsettled than Tuesday.
5 Day Rain Forecast - Through Friday
The 5 day rain forecast from the HPC shows some spots across parts of the state getting up to 2" of rain through Friday. Convective activity has a unique way of concentrating all the moisture in the atmosphere in a condensed column that can produce heavy rain. If you happen to get under one or two of these convective showers this week, don't be surprised if you get up around that 2" mark in the rain bucket by the end of the week.
Convective Outlook For Monday - Severe Thunderstorm Risk
The severe risk for Monday looks more 'risky' well to our south.
Another Picture From Rich Koivisto - Neat shot here Rich! Looks like the antler velvet is coming in nicely up there in Duluth!
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
An Octoberish wind develops over the next few days with high temps dipping into the 50s and 60s across the state. Clouds and a few spits of rain linger through Monday; Great Ryder Cup weather settles in Thursday. Dry and sunny! Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Saturday starts off dry; temperatures more reminiscent of August. A few strong storms develop in western Minnesota later today along a cool front that will push across the rest of the state through the evening hours. Heavy downpours will be possible. Go figure. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
The Twin Cities Weather Service reports that Minneapolis has seen 30.81" of rain from January 1st to September 21st, which is the wettest such period on record. Would it surprise you to know that there's more rain on the way for the weekend? Good grief. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Is it the first day of autumn....or summer? It's hard to tell. Waves of thunderstorms flaring up along a nearly stationary frontal boundary produced 1-2 month's worth of rain for many locations overnight with serious flash flooding. We'll see more rain today; hopefully not the volume that fell overnight - but we are locked into a wet pattern through next week. Yes, this is odd for late September.
Never a dull moment in Weather Land. How I long for a dull moment. Storms flaring up along a stalled frontal boundary squeeze out significant rains today, tonight and Thursday, with some 2-3" amounts for the metro - as much as 3-6" or more possible for some towns in southeastern Minnesota. A Flash Flood Watch is posted and if you've had a history of wet basements or flooded creeks you'll probably want to pay attention into Sunday.