Tornado Watch Until 9 PM (squall line intensifying - severe storms reach MSP metro by 6 PM)
August 6, 2013 — 4:19pm
Squall Line. The 4 pm visible loop shows a few bands of strong/severe storms forming over central Minnesota - a few may spawn large hail, even an isolated tornado, into the late evening hours. The best chance of severe storms in the Twin Cities metro is 6-8 PM.
Dinner Hour Severe Risk In The Twin Cities. The HRRR model shows a squall line with potentially severe storms arriving around 6 pm.
Supercells. The cluster of storms near Morris and Glenwood is capable of tennis ball size hail and an isolated tornado - NWS Doppler shows rotation with this cell. Details:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
359 PM CDT TUE AUG 6 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL STEVENS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 430 PM CDT
* AT 358 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF MORRIS...AND MOVING EAST AT 40
HAZARD...TORNADO AND TENNIS BALL SIZE HAIL.
SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. FLYING DEBRIS
WILL BE DEADLY TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. TREE DAMAGE IS
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I had an aunt who was utterly convinced that I worked in Indianapolis.I think she honestly believed all the "apolis" towns were really one. OK. Not a brain surgeon but she meant well. After a numbing start the long climb begins, a streak of 30s next week, even a couple days in the 40s late next week. More like March than February. We could still squeeze out a couple inches of snow on Sunday, but right now I can't get too excited about amounts; maybe 1-2" for the metro, more closer to the Iowa line.
The next 36 hours will be a blunt reminder that Minnesota still gets cold from time to time. But this winter has been milder than average, not even close to a couple years ago. Despite a subzero Saturday morning the forecast calls for a thaw next week; 40 degrees possible one week from today. El Nino is still hanging on. Will spring of 2016 be as severe as the last big (fading) El Nino in '98? I think we should probably be prepared for a more active spring severe season.
It's February in Minnesota. And you're annoyed that it's cold? That's a little like a sushi lover turning up his nose at the smell of fresh fish. This is hardly atypical for midwinter, and yes, it's going to get colder by Saturday morning. But (all) long range models show a warming trend next week with a shot at 40s in 8 days. Won't that be a relief...
No, we won't be cleaning up the yard or barbecuing anytime soon, but after a run of colder than average weather 30s will feel like a meteorological bargain next week - some guidance even hinting at 40s by the end of next week. Snow? A little here and there, but no headline-grabbing storms are brewing just yet.
I may be grasping at straws (or icicles) but there are numerous advantages to the chill. As annoying as it can be, there are benefits. Repeat that like a well-worn mantra in the coming days because we enjoy a dearth of warmth into Saturday - not as cold as mid-January, but cold enough for most of us. No big snows, no drama, just a noticeable lack of kinetic energy.