Thunder Risk Shifts South/East of Metro (low 90s again Monday)
July 7, 2013 — 9:29pm
Storm Risk Diminishes For The Metro Area. NWS Doppler at 9:28 shows a band of heavy T-storms from St. James to Mankato and Faribault, lighter showers east metro pushing into western Wisconsin. A Severe Storm Watch remains in effect far southwestern MN until 1 am.
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At this point the Twin Cities metro is running an 11 inch snowfall deficit, to date. And I don't see a major shift in the pattern anytime soon, at least through the end of December - no big snow events as long as prevailing jet stream winds are howling from the northwest. Temperatures run 5-10F warmer than average into Thursday of next week, then a numbing smack just in time for Christmas.
Tuesday was colder than average, but the latest in a series of clippers pulls slightly milder air into town today, a mix of very light snow or freezing drizzle possible - and a few roads may ice up. Relatively mild weather spills over into the first half of next week. And then a punch of Canadian air arrives - just in time for Christmas. Still no big storms of any flavor in sight.
Considering the Winter Solstice is now a little more than a week away, I can't say I'm surprised that we may see a true arctic slap around Christmas. Details are hazy, but both NOAA and ECMWF models hint at a precipitous drop in temperature by the end of next week. Until then a few clippers, nuisance amounts of snow, and temperatures trending above average.
A clipper will move through the state Monday, bringing 1-2" of snow with it along with colder air for Tuesday. The cold air won't last long, and we'll see a few more 30s later this week. Meanwhile, today marks seven years since the snowstorm that busted the Metrodome roof. Click for more! - D.J. Kayser
While the south and east digs out we enjoy occasional dribs and drabs of snow. An Alberta Clipper may drop a quick inch Sunday night and early Monday. Tuesday and Wednesday will feel like January, but temperatures mellow by late week; ECMWF guidance hinting at 30s and 40s a week from today. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson