Strongest T-storms Rumble South of MSP - Tornado Watch Southeast MN until 1 AM
June 16, 2014 — 6:05pm
Most Dangerous T-storms over Southern Minnesota. A (Doppler-indicated) Tornado Warning remains in effect for Mankato - the storm most likely to spin up tornadoes either side of I-90. Heavy rain is likely in the Twin Cities metro, a developing MCS system may brush southern suburbs with small hail and torrential rains capable of flash flooding. These storms closer to the Iowa border have a history of ping pong size hail and wind gusts to 85 mph. NWS Doppler radar at 6 PM.
New Tornado Watch Southeastern Minnesota. This new watch, valid until 1 AM Tuesday, includes Rochester, Austin, Winona and La Crosse, WI, but it does not include the Twin Cities metro.
Developing MCS? Although heaviest rains may pass just south of MSP early tonight it still looks ripe for extreme rains over southern Minnesota and southwestern Wisconsin, where some 2-4" amounts are possible.
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A faint puff of Canadian air drops temperatures and humidity levels Sunday and Monday. Better sleeping weather. We warm up later in the week but dangerous heat, extended days or weeks above 90 or 100F, stays south of Minnesota into early August. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Friday was volatile, waking up to heavy showers and T-storms passing just south of the MSP metro. After a few hours of warm sunshine another band of severe storms mushroomed up north. The pattern is still ripe for a few more T-storms today, but Sunday should be drier with more clouds than sun and temperatures holding in the 70s across much of the state. We warm up a little next week, but the worst of the blast-furnace heat stays south of Minnesota.
Yes, today is going to be pockmarked with puddles, a few storms may turn severe and flash flooding can't be ruled out. I'll still take that over days or weeks in a row with a heat index above 100F. Dangerous heat will spread from the central USA to the east coast by the weekend; it may feel like 110F in Washington D.C. No wonder politicians want to get out of town...
Yesterday seemed to confirm my theory that most of Minnesota probably won't have to worry about drought this summer (in stark contrast to severe drought gripping much of the Dakotas). We've seen our fair share of hot days, but our heat spikes pale in comparison to what is on tap from the Midwest to the Mid Atlantic, where the heat index may exceed 110F this weekend. It's muggy out there, but at least we see a few dribbles of Canadian air in the coming days...
Low 80s felt pretty good yesterday, about 10F cooler than Monday as a weak frontal boundary pushed just south of Minnesota, allowing slightly cooler, drier air to dribble south. Much of today looks dry, but watch for a squall line of strong to severe T-storms reaching the metro by the dinner hour. A few more waves of storms push across Minnesota into Saturday, when a cooler front of Canadian ancestry rides to the rescue. The rest of the USA should be so lucky...