6 PM Today - Strong to Severe Storms Pushing Through Twin Cities? This is from NOAA's 3 km HRRR model, which updates hourly and (consistently) shows a cluster or possible squall line of storms moving through by late afternoon and evening. Although dew points have dropped into the low and mid 60s behind yesterday's gusty cool front, there is still enough low-level moisture, instability and wind shear available for strong to severe storms. Although an isolated tornado can't be ruled out the primary risk is straight-line winds and large hail.
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Soaking rains arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some lawns and gardens could get a healthy drink as models are suggesting nearly 1 inch of rain in a few spots. A few sputtery rain showers will be possible on Friday and Saturday, but it won't be a washout. Hot and sweaty weather looks to return by July 4th.
Yes, I know. It's too cool for the lake. I feel your pain - there were whitecaps on my lake too, and only the brave and foolish were in the water. This cool spell isn't sustainable. The sun is too high in the sky - there is too much overheated air over the southern USA. At some point it will warm up. Probably overnight. Like turning on a light switch. Might I recommend that you embrace the comfortable readings, because within 1-2 weeks young and old alike will be muttering about the heat and humidity. Wait for it.
Saturday was interesting, more early October than late June. Instability showers and T-storms dropped small hail, sparking wind gusts over 40 mph. Today should be a notch better with more sun and fewer showers popping by afternoon. Temperatures mellow a bit this week, but I don't see 80s until the latter half of next week. A lot of people are whining about the lack of lake-worthy heat, but I don't mind the free A/C one bit.
Just think of all the cold cash you're going to save on cold pop, ice cream and A/C this weekend! I know - not funny. Minnesotans get indignant when their summer weekends don't match what they were daydreaming about a few months ago. The weather won't be lake-worthy, but at least we're not suffering through a dangerous heatwave, like much of the southwestern USA and southern Plains. Be careful what you wish for...
We've been hearing so much about the debilitating heat gripping much of the USA, the epicenter of pain over the southwestern states. There is no sign of that heat sweeping into Minnesota anytime soon. In fact I see a continued cool bias for the next 2 weeks, no prolonged warming trend (80s or hotter for days on end) until maybe the second week of July at the earliest. We're making up for a very warm start to June, it seems. Details on Cindy, which has weakened, but continues to threaten much of the Mid South and Ohio Valley with flooding rains.