Strong T-storms (warnings far southeast Minnesota)
May 29, 2013 — 3:00pm
Starting To Pop. I still think the greatest potential for severe storms will be over far southeastern Minnesota and western Wisconsin into the evening hours - dynamics aloft are most ripe for hail and damaging winds in this area. A few strong storms are pushing into the MSP metro area, capable of pea-size hail and downpours capable of urban and small stream flooding. NWS Doppler at 3 pm. Here's the latest warning:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LA CROSSE WI
250 PM CDT WED MAY 29 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LA CROSSE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN WINNESHIEK COUNTY IN NORTHEAST IOWA...
FILLMORE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
WESTERN HOUSTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 315 PM CDT
* AT 248 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM SPRING VALLEY TO LIME SPRINGS TO 6 MILES NORTH
OF JERICO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.
THESE ARE VERY DANGEROUS STORMS.
HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL.
IMPACT...MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. FLYING DEBRIS WILL
BE DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE AND ANIMALS. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXTENSIVE TREE
DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
RIDGEWAY AND WYKOFF AROUND 255 PM CDT.
PRESTON AND FOUNTAIN AROUND 305 PM CDT.
HARMONY AND CANTON AROUND 310 PM CDT.
LANESBORO AND MABEL AROUND 315 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE COUNTY ROADS 2 AND 38...
FORESTVILLE STATE PARK...WASHINGTON...GREENLEAFTON...BRISTOL...STATE
ROAD 9 AND 290TH STREET...COUNTY ROADS W 14 AND A 34...COUNTY ROADS 2
AND 101...GRANGER AND FILLMORE.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING SEVERE
WIND GUSTS. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY
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Mark my words: many of us will soon look back fondly on this spell of relatively cool, crisp, comfortable weather. Long-range models are still printing out sustained heat for much of July; more lake-worthy temperatures are less than a week away, and I suspect another run of 90s by mid-July. In the meantime take something waterproof today because showers and T-storms are likely, some heavy, but the best chance of severe weather passes just south and east of the MSP metro.
Soaking rains arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some lawns and gardens could get a healthy drink as models are suggesting nearly 1 inch of rain in a few spots. A few sputtery rain showers will be possible on Friday and Saturday, but it won't be a washout. Hot and sweaty weather looks to return by July 4th.
Yes, I know. It's too cool for the lake. I feel your pain - there were whitecaps on my lake too, and only the brave and foolish were in the water. This cool spell isn't sustainable. The sun is too high in the sky - there is too much overheated air over the southern USA. At some point it will warm up. Probably overnight. Like turning on a light switch. Might I recommend that you embrace the comfortable readings, because within 1-2 weeks young and old alike will be muttering about the heat and humidity. Wait for it.
Saturday was interesting, more early October than late June. Instability showers and T-storms dropped small hail, sparking wind gusts over 40 mph. Today should be a notch better with more sun and fewer showers popping by afternoon. Temperatures mellow a bit this week, but I don't see 80s until the latter half of next week. A lot of people are whining about the lack of lake-worthy heat, but I don't mind the free A/C one bit.
Just think of all the cold cash you're going to save on cold pop, ice cream and A/C this weekend! I know - not funny. Minnesotans get indignant when their summer weekends don't match what they were daydreaming about a few months ago. The weather won't be lake-worthy, but at least we're not suffering through a dangerous heatwave, like much of the southwestern USA and southern Plains. Be careful what you wish for...