Storm To Take Southerly Track - MSP Metro Advisory for Couple Inches - Blizzard Far Southern Minnesota
February 23, 2017 — 12:59pm
12z GFS Run. Both ECMWF and GFS have generally had the right idea with this (alleged) storm, keeping the heaviest snow bands south and east of the Twin Cities. Latest guidance is pushing the heavy snow even farther south, to the point where the immediate metro area may only pick up a couple inches of wet snow: coating - 1" far northern suburbs, maybe 3-4" far southern suburbs where a plowable accumulation is still possible. Over 10" may fall from Austin and Albert Lea to Rochester, Winona and La Crosse. So close...
Winter Storm Weather Advisory Now Posted for MSP Metro - Blizzard Warnings Southern Minnesota. The local NWS office has dialed back the watch to an advisory for the immediate metro area, but travel over southern Minnesota will still be very treacherous later tonight into Friday with heavy snow and high winds. MSP is on the northwestern edge of the snow shield - go a few hours south of St. Paul and it will look like prime time wintertime tomorrow.
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There is certainly not much to complain about in the weather this week as we'll have fairly quiet conditions. Highs are expected in the 20s and 30s and there are very few chances of precipitation. Click for details! - D.J. Kayser
There's another risk/threat of seeing the sun today; highs in the 20s giving way to a late-week warming trend. A puff of Pacific air could boost the mercury into the upper 30s next weekend. The pattern isn't ripe for heavy snow anytime soon, although models are hinting at a more formidable potential for flakes 2 days before Christmas. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
At least the sun finally came out for a time on Friday, and temperatures were milder than predicted. There's a risk of sunlight over the weekend with temperatures a few degrees below average, but milder 30s are still on tap for next week. Nothing resembling a storm looking out at least 7-10 days.
Slap on an extra layer or two of clothing today. This Arctic-Lite airmass will stick around today, the coldest day in sight, but a fairly quick rebound is setting up for the weekend with a string of days above 32F next week. Hardly a warm front, but more tolerable. No storms are brewing anytime soon, but I see (early) evidence of a possible El Nino signal kicking in, with more of a Pacific flow looking out 1-2 weeks. That should mean moderating temperatures and a series of storms, with temperatures potentially "mild" enough for wet snow or even a mix as we approach Christmas.
Hey, at least the sun will be shining. Our coldest days tend to be sunny, if that's any consolation. Cold comfort indeed. But at least your commute won't be snarled by snow and ice through early next week. This surge of January-like air has pushed the storm track too far south for any significant snow anytime soon (with the exception of lake effect snows downwind of the Great Lakes). Where are the trouble spots? Texas to the Carolinas.