Storm To Take Southerly Track - MSP Metro Advisory for Couple Inches - Blizzard Far Southern Minnesota
February 23, 2017 — 12:59pm
12z GFS Run. Both ECMWF and GFS have generally had the right idea with this (alleged) storm, keeping the heaviest snow bands south and east of the Twin Cities. Latest guidance is pushing the heavy snow even farther south, to the point where the immediate metro area may only pick up a couple inches of wet snow: coating - 1" far northern suburbs, maybe 3-4" far southern suburbs where a plowable accumulation is still possible. Over 10" may fall from Austin and Albert Lea to Rochester, Winona and La Crosse. So close...
Winter Storm Weather Advisory Now Posted for MSP Metro - Blizzard Warnings Southern Minnesota. The local NWS office has dialed back the watch to an advisory for the immediate metro area, but travel over southern Minnesota will still be very treacherous later tonight into Friday with heavy snow and high winds. MSP is on the northwestern edge of the snow shield - go a few hours south of St. Paul and it will look like prime time wintertime tomorrow.
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This is just Mother Nature's way of keeping things interesting. The odds of a Tournament Storm are increasing for late Friday into Saturday morning, especially south/west of the Twin Cities. Whatever falls will pretty much melt within a day or two, and it won't be as much as the snowy clobbering in the northeastern USA, but it's a reminder that spring in Minnesota is only a theory...
A forecast of "6 more weeks of winter" on February 2 - at our latitude - has a very high probability of verifying. No great surprise, but we'll just have to be content with (mostly) 40s in the coming days. A few 50s sprinkled in to keep us moderately sane, but nothing remotely resembling a warm front. I'm relieved, no mosquitoes, wicked thunderstorms or mulching duties anytime soon...whew.
We're down to a trace of snow (officially at MSP International) but I still have 3-4 foot piles of snow in my yard, and they won't be going anywhere anytime soon, it seems. Our slow meltdown drags on - no 50s or 60s imminent, but rain late in the week may accelerate melting. Today the atmosphere is cold enough for a coating of slush by tonight; maybe a couple inches west and southwest of MSP
A round of light snow is expected Monday Night into Tuesday, with the highest amounts (up to 3") across western Minnesota. Highs in the 30s and 40s are expected this week, and we're keeping an eye on a late week/early weekend storm. Click for details! - D.J. Kayser
Clouds increase today and a light mix is possible Tuesday into Wednesday. A more significant period of rain coupled with mid-40s will accelerate snow melt later this week, and models hint that a cold rain may end as wet snow next weekend. Keep a shovel handy just in case. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson