Storm Risk Increases This Afternoon - Flash Flood Risk Central Minnesota
May 31, 2014 — 3:21pm
Growing Shower and Thunderstorm Risk. The line of showers and storms that has hovered over southwest, central and northeastern Minnesoeta much of the day continues to creep east, pushing a ripe environment for pop-up showers and heavier T-stoms into the metro area. The risk of hit-or-miss storms increases as the afternoon goes on, the best chance of a few downpours western and northern suburbs. After peaking in the mid-80s today I suspect Sunday will be cloudier with more numerous showers/storms as the front passes overhead. NWS Doppler radar at 12:26 PM.
* the area outlined in green from Olivia and St. Cloud to Mora and Duluth is under a mesoscale precipitation discussion - conditions are ripe for thunderstorms with rain falling at the rate of 1-2"/hour, capable of street and small stream flooding.
A Troubled Front. 1 km visible imagery at 12:30 PM shows cells mushrooming in the warm sector (with dew points in the mid and upper 60s providing plenty of fresh fuel). Winds aloft are light - the risk of severe storms is small, but there's a greater threat of repeated ("training") thunderstorms dropping some 2-5" rainfall amounts, especially over central Minnesota.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix. Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, imagery and API’s via Aeris Weather. He is co-host of a radio program, weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on WCCO Radio. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
Tuesday was a sight for sore eyes. If only the blue sky would last. Unusually cool air leaking out of Canada will spark more clouds and showers than usual for late August with temperatures running cooler than average. Careful about complaining too loudly - with a possible hurricane forecast to spin up for Texas and Louisiana by the weekend. It can always be worse.
I almost drowned trying to take in yesterday's eclipse. As I suspected, Mother Nature was not in a cooperative mood, with a sloppy line of showers and T-showers entering the metro area just as the moon was passing in front of the sun. Oh well, better luck in 2023 or 2024. Skies clear today with a dip in humidity - a rare spell of dry weather into Friday. The weekend? Why showers, of course!
Your eclipse viewing Monday may be hampered by a few clouds across the region, but the chances of rain here in the Twin Cities should mainly hold off until the evening hours. After we get past Monday, however, the rest of the work week looks nice weatherwise! Click for more details. - D.J. Kayser
Latest weather models are a tad more optimistic about the weather on Monday. The best chance of seeing the (so-called) eclipse will come over central & northern Minnesota. Clouds and showers may overspread southern counties by afternoon. Fingers crossed. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Friday was delightful (what a shock - more rain) but today will be a step in the right direction. Fog and low stratus should burn off, with enough PM sun for highs near 80F. Sunday looks warmer with an isolated thundershower. I'm paranoid about Monday's eclipse - NOAA and ECMWF models continue to bring clouds and showers into the area Monday. If we do see the eclipse it'll be a minor meteorological miracle.