Storm Risk Increases This Afternoon - Flash Flood Risk Central Minnesota
May 31, 2014 — 3:21pm
Growing Shower and Thunderstorm Risk. The line of showers and storms that has hovered over southwest, central and northeastern Minnesoeta much of the day continues to creep east, pushing a ripe environment for pop-up showers and heavier T-stoms into the metro area. The risk of hit-or-miss storms increases as the afternoon goes on, the best chance of a few downpours western and northern suburbs. After peaking in the mid-80s today I suspect Sunday will be cloudier with more numerous showers/storms as the front passes overhead. NWS Doppler radar at 12:26 PM.
* the area outlined in green from Olivia and St. Cloud to Mora and Duluth is under a mesoscale precipitation discussion - conditions are ripe for thunderstorms with rain falling at the rate of 1-2"/hour, capable of street and small stream flooding.
A Troubled Front. 1 km visible imagery at 12:30 PM shows cells mushrooming in the warm sector (with dew points in the mid and upper 60s providing plenty of fresh fuel). Winds aloft are light - the risk of severe storms is small, but there's a greater threat of repeated ("training") thunderstorms dropping some 2-5" rainfall amounts, especially over central Minnesota.
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Sunday will be another sweltering day in the Twin Cities, with the fourth consecutive 90+ day expected. In the afternoon it'll feel more like 95-100F in the heart of the metro, therefore a Heat Advisory has been issued. How long will the heat last? Click for more details! - D.J. Kayser
A month ago I had no idea we'd be sweating it out by late May. No record heat is brewing, but 90s are likely into Memorial Day, which correlates with a better chance of a hotter-than-average summer season. Yep, I was surprised by this too. Although at this point nothing should surprise us much. Think cool thoughts, check in the vulnerable and be careful out there the next few days.
Well, we got our wish. Many of us wanted to feel warm again, after a February-like April. Mother Nature heard your plaintive cries and turned up the volume a few notches. We should hit or exceed 90F today, Saturday, Sunday and Monday - the hottest Memorial Day since 2006. In fact steamy weather lingers into much of next week; no real relief until a Canadian cool front the first weekend of June. Until then, various degrees of hot and sweaty...
26.1" of snow last month, an early spell of 90s this month. Minnesota's weather is still manic - probably always will be. Time to dig out your summer wardrobe because sweaty weather is here to stay into much of next week with a streak of low 90s possible. In fact today may bring the first 90F of 2018, and severe storms into western Minnesota by afternoon and evening.
Looking back many of us will consider this the good 'ol days - back when temperatures were comfortable - back when neighbors weren't whining about the dew point. A July-like spell of heat and humidity is coming, and by the weekend heat indices may be well into the 90s. You wanted summer? You earned a real summer. And it's coming.