Rand: No sure thing for Vikings in draft

  • Updated: May 1, 2014 - 1:58 AM
hide

Then-coach Leslie Frazier introduced quarterback Christian Ponder as the Vikings’ first-round draft pick on draft day in 2011. The question is, will they be introducing another quarterback when they announce their first pick this year?

Photo: JEFF WHEELER • jeff.wheeler@startribune.com,

CameraStar Tribune photo galleries

Cameraview larger

The NFL draft is one week away. In previous years, it would have been over already, sparing us more updated mock drafts. Instead, in a year with big questions facing so many teams at the top of a very scrambled draft board, we’re left going back and forth on this thing … over and over again.

As such, we have constructed the perfect circular argument when it comes to the Vikings’ pick at No. 8, endlessly answering and unanswering the question of whether they should draft a quarterback or find a player at another position, only to arrive right back where we started.

Step 1: The Vikings have many positions of need, up to and including quarterback, linebacker, defensive back and offensive line. So they really can’t go wrong as long as they get good value. It’s just impossible to know for sure who offers the best value without the benefit of hindsight.

Step 2: Still, not all positions are created equal. If quarterback is a position of need (which it is) and there is a chance to get good value with a quarterback (which there very well could be), then the Vikings should draft a quarterback.

Step 3: Ah, but it’s not that easy. Even when you think you’re getting good value with a first-round quarterback — which the Vikings surely thought they were getting in 2011 when they took Christian Ponder No. 12 overall — there are few guarantees. In fact, there are fewer guarantees at that position than perhaps any other. Looking back at that 2011 draft, 11 of the first 12 non-QBs chosen have made at least one Pro Bowl. Three of the four QBs (Ponder, Jake Locker and Blaine Gabbert) have not.

Step 4: So the Vikings should draft a position player and get someone closer to a sure thing. Here are the Vikings’ past eight first-round picks who were not quarterbacks: Chad Greenway (2006), Adrian Peterson (2007), Percy Harvin (2009), Matt Kalil (2012), Harrison Smith (2012), Sharrif Floyd (2013), Xavier Rhodes (2103) and Cordarrelle Patterson (2013). Minus Harvin, that’s a big part of the nucleus of the current roster.

Step 5: Whoa, but it’s not that simple. As good as those position players have been, this is still a quarterback league. If you decide to go the safe route and end up passing on someone who proves to be a franchise quarterback, that can be just as damaging as swinging and missing on a failed QB.

Step 6: So the Vikings just need to make sure they get maximum value, weighing the pros and cons of a QB vs. a player at another position. It’s just that being sure of that is impossible.

Step 7: Repeat, wait and hope.

Michael Rand

  • get related content delivered to your inbox

  • manage my email subscriptions

ADVERTISEMENT

New England 2/1/15 5:30 PM
Seattle
Portland 0 Postponed
Brooklyn 0
Sacramento 0 Postponed
New York 0
Philadelphia 74 FINAL
New Orleans 99
Minnesota 84 FINAL
Oklahoma City 92
Orlando 94 FINAL
Memphis 103
Boston 99 FINAL
Utah 90
Denver 98 FINAL
LA Clippers 102
Army 68 FINAL
American Univ 66
Wright State 64 FINAL
Detroit 53
Syracuse 83 FINAL
North Carolina 93
Cleveland State 56 FINAL
Oakland 59
Delaware State 54 FINAL
NC Central 55
High Point 63 FINAL
Presbyterian 54
Howard 45 FINAL
Bethune-Cookman 42
Coppin State 84 FINAL
NC A&T 71
Nicholls 51 FINAL
Northwestern St 80
Hampton 56 FINAL
SC State 65
Gardner-Webb 59 FINAL
Campbell 78
MD-Eastern Shore 72 FINAL
Florida A&M 65
Stephen F Austin 82 FINAL
Lamar 65
Central Arkansas 67 FINAL
New Orleans 87
Norfolk State 70 FINAL
Savannah State 54
TX A&M-CC 70 FINAL
SE Louisiana 61
Sam Houston St 80 FINAL
Abilene Christian 63
McNeese State 84 FINAL
Incarnate Word 86
Milwaukee 48 FINAL
Valparaiso 73
Alcorn State 66 FINAL
Alabama A&M 78
Southern U 59 FINAL
Alabama State 63
Prairie View 68 FINAL
Ark-Pine Bluff 105
Texas 86 FINAL
Iowa State 89
Texas Southern 85 FINAL
Miss Valley St 84
Long Island 85 FINAL
Bryant 88
Central Conn St 51 FINAL
St Francis-NY 49
Fairleigh Dickinson 0 Postponed
Sacred Heart 0
St Francis-PA 87 FINAL
Wagner 74
Delaware State 59 FINAL
NC Central 66
Howard 53 FINAL
Bethune-Cookman 61
Coppin State 49 FINAL
NC A&T 67
Hampton 88 FINAL
SC State 53
Norfolk State 54 FINAL
Savannah State 56
MD-Eastern Shore 54 FINAL
Florida A&M 64
Angelo State 55 FINAL
Abilene Christian 70
Samford 32 FINAL
(25) Chattanooga 49
Prairie View 83 FINAL
Ark-Pine Bluff 66
Alcorn State 58 FINAL
Alabama A&M 55
Southern U 53 FINAL
Alabama State 49
Texas Southern 63 FINAL
Miss Valley St 52
(12) Texas A&M 61 FINAL
(1) South Carolina 79
Robert Morris 68 FINAL
Mount St Marys 44
East Tenn St 72 FINAL
Mercer 70
Wofford 56 FINAL
Furman 58
Morehead St 64 FINAL
Tenn Tech 54
Illinois 57 FINAL
Michigan 70
Quinnipiac 0 Postponed
Manhattan 0
Saint Peters 0 Postponed
Rider 0
(18) Miss State 59 FINAL
Auburn 48
(15) Nebraska 72 FINAL
(20) Iowa 78
Connect with twitterConnect with facebookConnect with Google+Connect with PinterestConnect with PinterestConnect with RssfeedConnect with email newsletters

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

Date/Opponent Time W L Score
2014 preseason     
Aug 8 - vs. Oakland 7 pmX10-6
Aug 16 - vs. Arizona 7:30 pmX30-28
Aug 23 - at Kansas City 7 pmX30-12
Aug 28 - at Tennessee 7 pmX19-3
2014 regular season     
Sep 7 - at St. Louis NoonX34-6
Sep 14 - vs. New England NoonX30-7
Sep 21 - at New Orleans NoonX20-9
Sep 28 - vs. Atlanta 3:25 pmX41-28
Oct 2 - at Green Bay 7:25 pmX42-10
Oct 12 - vs. Detroit NoonX17-3
Oct 19 - at. Buffalo NoonX17-16
Oct 26 - at Tampa Bay NoonX19-13 ot
Nov 2 - vs. Washington NoonX29-26
Nov 9 - Bye
Nov 16 - at Chicago NoonX21-13
Nov. 23 - vs. Green Bay NoonX24-21
Nov. 30 - vs. Carolina NoonX31-13
Dec 7 - vs. NY Jets NoonX30-24 ot
Dec 14 - at Detroit 3:25 pmX16-14
Dec 21 - at Miami NoonX37-35
Dec 28 - vs. Chicago NoonX13-9

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

question of the day

Poll: Who will win the Super Bowl?

Weekly Question

ADVERTISEMENT

 
Close