Matt Vensel is in his first year at the Star Tribune after covering the Ravens for the Baltimore Sun for six years. He is a Pittsburgh native and a Penn State grad. Follow him at @mattvensel.


Mark Craig has covered the NFL for 23 years, and the Vikings since 2003 for the Star Tribune. He is one of 44 Pro Football Hall of Fame selectors. Follow him at @markcraignfl.


Master Tesfatsion is the Star Tribune’s digital Vikings writer. He is a 2013 graduate of Arizona State and worked for mlb.com before arriving in Minneapolis. Follow him at @masterstrib.


2014 NFL draft order (week 12): Vikings fall two spots with tie

Posted by: Master Tesfatsion under NFL draft Updated: November 26, 2013 - 9:57 AM

Every Tuesday morning, we take a look at where the Vikings would pick in the 2014 NFL Draft if the season ended today.

If you were confused about how to react to a Vikings’ 26-26 tie against the Packers on Sunday, it’s likely the same feeling you’ll get when looking at how it impacts the NFL Draft order.

Technically, the tie counts as half a win in the standings, so the Vikings win percentage went up. As a result, they’re behind a few more teams this week.

Last week, the Vikings’ would’ve picked second if the season ended today (more on tiebreakers in a bit). This week, they jumped up two spots to fourth. Here’s the current top five (records in parentheses):

1. Texans (2-9)

2. Jaguars (2-9)

3. Falcons (2-9)

4. Vikings (2-8-1)

5. Rams [via Redskins] (3-8)

So what if the Vikings would’ve lost to the Packers? First let’s explain the tiebreaker procedure.

The first tiebreaker is strength of schedule where the team with the worst strength of schedule percentage wins the tiebreaker and gets a better pick.

Strength of schedule is based off the win percentage of a team’s opponents, so there’s two ways to calculate it during the season. One would be to factor in a team’s entire 16-game schedule, or the other method would be to tally the records of games already played (the method used above). The Texans have a .545 SOS percentage based off the 11 opponents they’ve played, which is the lower than the Jaguars (.579) and the Falcons (.595) and gives Houston the top pick at the moment.

Just like in that math class, there’s no right or wrong way about it. Both methods will result in the same percentage at the end of the season. This method is just preferred here because it gives us the draft order if the season ended after Week 12.

So if the Vikings would’ve lost to the Packers, they’d be in a four-way tie for the top pick. Because the Packers would win, it also impacts the Vikings’ SOS percentage, which jumps from .521 to .529. So here’s how the hypothetical tiebreaker would play out (SOS in parentheses):

                1. Vikings (.529)

                2. Texans (.545)

                3. Jaguars (.579)

                4. Falcons (.595)

The Vikings would have the top pick in the draft at the moment if they lost Sunday with a strength of schedule edge over the other 2-9 teams.

With a tie now in the record, strength of schedule won’t matter unless another bottom feeder draws as well. Strength of schedule changes every week, so it’ll be interesting to see at the end of the year how much that “half win” either hurts, or possibly helps, the Vikings down the road.

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Buffalo 12/28/14 12:00 PM
New England
Cleveland 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Baltimore
Dallas 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Washington
Indianapolis 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Tennessee
Jacksonville 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Houston
San Diego 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Kansas City
NY Jets 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Miami
Chicago 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Minnesota
Philadelphia 12/28/14 12:00 PM
NY Giants
New Orleans 12/28/14 12:00 PM
Tampa Bay
Carolina 12/28/14 3:25 PM
Atlanta
Detroit 12/28/14 3:25 PM
Green Bay
Oakland 12/28/14 3:25 PM
Denver
Arizona 12/28/14 3:25 PM
San Francisco
St. Louis 12/28/14 3:25 PM
Seattle
Cincinnati 12/28/14 7:30 PM
Pittsburgh
TBA 1/3/15 2:00 AM
TBA
TBA 1/3/15 2:00 AM
TBA
Toronto 110 FINAL
LA Clippers 98
Boston 88 FINAL
Washington 101
Orlando 102 FINAL
Charlotte 94
Memphis 81 4th Qtr 7:53
Miami 80
Indiana 56 3rd Qtr 9:11
Brooklyn 53
New Orleans 60 3rd Qtr 5:45
Chicago 61
Atlanta 39 3rd Qtr
Milwaukee 37
Philadelphia 10 1st Qtr 1:17
Utah 23
New York 9:00 PM
Sacramento
Minnesota 9:30 PM
Golden State
NY Islanders 3 1st OT :20
Buffalo 3
Detroit 2 3rd Prd 1:13
Ottawa 2
Carolina 1 3rd Prd 2:00
Tampa Bay 2
New Jersey 1 FINAL
NY Rangers 3
Boston 2 3rd Prd 2:57
Columbus 6
Winnipeg 3 3rd Prd 7:51
Minnesota 2
Washington 1 3rd Prd 16:49
Pittsburgh 0
Dallas 3 2nd Prd 5:19
St. Louis 2
Philadelphia 1 2nd Prd 3:03
Nashville 3
Anaheim 1 2nd Prd :12
Arizona 1
Chicago 1 1st Prd 7:43
Colorado 2
Edmonton 9:00 PM
Calgary
San Jose 9:00 PM
Los Angeles
Indiana 87 FINAL
Georgetown 91
Maine 43 FINAL
Seton Hall 72
UNC-Wilmington 82 FINAL
Minnesota 108
Georgia State 61 FINAL
Green Bay 78
Jacksonville St 61 FINAL
Jacksonville 75
Kentucky 58 FINAL
Louisville 50
Northern Ky 55 FINAL
Northwestern 76
UAB 58 FINAL
North Carolina 89
IUPUI 55 FINAL
Pepperdine 53
Santa Clara 60 FINAL
St Marys-CA 73
Oakland 56 FINAL
Maryland 72
Gonzaga 87 FINAL
BYU 80
Mercer 77 FINAL
Georgia 86
San Francisco 77 FINAL
Pacific 71
Wright State 55 FINAL
Ohio State 100
Presbyterian 65 FINAL
Virginia Tech 87
Brescia 40 2nd Half 4:45
Western Ky 77
Tennessee St 29 2nd Half 17:42
Tennessee 32
Kennesaw St 15 1st Half 7:40
Illinois 31
Colorado State 10 1st Half 8:00
New Mexico St 14
Portland 20 1st Half 4:40
San Diego 19
Wayland Baptist 18 1st Half 5:19
Utah State 26
Bristol University 27 1st Half 6:23
Weber State 33
Sacramento St 24 1st Half 6:10
Utah Valley U 30
Southern Utah 9:00 PM
UNLV
SD Christian 9:00 PM
San Diego St
Illinois 18 FINAL
Louisiana Tech 35
Rutgers 40 FINAL
North Carolina 21
NC State 34 FINAL
UCF 27
Cincinnati 17 FINAL
Virginia Tech 33
(15) Arizona State 36 FINAL
Duke 31
Miami-Florida 21 FINAL
So Carolina 24
Boston College 30 FINAL
Penn State 31
(25) Nebraska 17 2nd Qtr 6:39
(24) USC 24
Texas A&M 12/29/14 1:00 PM
West Virginia
Oklahoma 12/29/14 4:30 PM
(18) Clemson
Arkansas 12/29/14 8:00 PM
Texas
Notre Dame 12/30/14 2:00 PM
(22) LSU
(13) Georgia 12/30/14 5:45 PM
(20) Louisville
Maryland 12/30/14 9:00 PM
Stanford
(9) Ole Miss 12/31/14 11:30 AM
(6) TCU
(21) Boise State 12/31/14 3:00 PM
(12) Arizona
(8) Miss State 12/31/14 7:00 PM
(10) Georgia Tech
(19) Auburn 1/1/15 11:00 AM
(17) Wisconsin
(7) Michigan State 1/1/15 11:30 AM
(4) Baylor
(16) Missouri 1/1/15 12:00 PM
Minnesota
(2) Florida State 1/1/15 4:00 PM
(3) Oregon
(5) Ohio State 1/1/15 7:30 PM
(1) Alabama
Houston 1/2/15 11:00 AM
Pittsburgh
Iowa 1/2/15 2:20 PM
Tennessee
(11) Kansas State 1/2/15 5:45 PM
(14) UCLA
Washington 1/2/15 9:15 PM
Oklahoma State
East Carolina 1/3/15 11:00 AM
Florida
SMU 45 FINAL
(2) Connecticut 96
UCF 64 FINAL
Houston 50
BYU 62 FINAL
Gonzaga 78
Pacific 92 FINAL
San Francisco 54
St Marys-CA 62 FINAL
Santa Clara 61
San Diego 69 2nd Half 9:15
Portland 44
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Date/Opponent Time W L Score
2014 preseason     
Aug 8 - vs. Oakland 7 pmX10-6
Aug 16 - vs. Arizona 7:30 pmX30-28
Aug 23 - at Kansas City 7 pmX30-12
Aug 28 - at Tennessee 7 pmX19-3
2014 regular season     
Sep 7 - at St. Louis NoonX34-6
Sep 14 - vs. New England NoonX30-7
Sep 21 - at New Orleans NoonX20-9
Sep 28 - vs. Atlanta 3:25 pmX41-28
Oct 2 - at Green Bay 7:25 pmX42-10
Oct 12 - vs. Detroit NoonX17-3
Oct 19 - at. Buffalo NoonX17-16
Oct 26 - at Tampa Bay NoonX19-13 ot
Nov 2 - vs. Washington NoonX29-26
Nov 9 - Bye
Nov 16 - at Chicago NoonX21-13
Nov. 23 - vs. Green Bay NoonX24-21
Nov. 30 - vs. Carolina NoonX31-13
Dec 7 - vs. NY Jets NoonX30-24 ot
Dec 14 - at Detroit 3:25 pmX16-14
Dec 21 - at Miami NoonX37-35
Dec 28 - vs. Chicago Noon

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