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Mid-day talker: The Vikings and the race to the bottom in the NFL

Posted by: Michael Rand under Vikings Updated: November 13, 2013 - 1:02 PM

In very Vikings fashion, the purple finally won a game last week ... right when a lot of fans wanted them to keep losing. As we've noted many times in the past, we do not like tanking when it comes to trying to secure draft position. But 2013 has the potential to be eerily similar to 2011 when it comes the draft and the race to the bottom in the NFL. Here is a look at how that race breaks down as of now:

The Bills, Steelers, Raiders, Giants and Redskins all have three wins, but for now we're going to focus on the five teams below them:

The Vikings, Falcons and Texans are 2-7.

The Jaguars and Bucs are 1-8.

And yes, that means the Jaguars and Bucs -- previously winless -- both won last week, and the Vikings would have been tied at the bottom if not for the win over Washington (remind you at all of 2011?).

Some interesting notes about those five teams:

The Texans and Jaguars play each other twice in the final seven games, so somebody is going to pick up wins (unless, of course, they tie ... but even then, they're gaining on the field). Both teams also have fairly winnable games outside of those head-to-head matchups. The Jaguars play the Cardinals, Browns, Bills and Titans before finishing with a tough one against the Colts. The Texans, who have lost four games by three or fewer points and were a playoff team last season, still get the Raiders and Titans in addition to the two against the Jaguars.

The Bucs and Falcons, meanwhile, play each other this week -- so again, one of those teams will almost certainly pick up a win (and move further away in the race to the bottom). The Bucs also play the Rams and Bills; otherwise, their schedule is very tough. The Falcons, like the Texans and Vikings a playoff team a year ago, have Buffalo and Washington left but otherwise face a tough slate.

The Vikings, of course, are at Seattle this weekend. The final six are: at Green Bay, home against Chicago, at Baltimore, home against Philly, at Cincy and home against Detroit. The Vikings will lose at Seattle. We could honestly imagine the Vikings having a chance in most of those final six games, especially if Aaron Rodgers misses the game in Green Bay. That said, we could easily see the Vikings losing all six.

Let's say they win twice more this season and finish 4-12. Where would that leave them? Well, our best guess is that the Texans will win at least four, and probably more. The Jaguars honestly could, too, based on their schedule -- but we wouldn't bet on it. If the Falcons beat Tampa Bay this week, we imagine they will reach four or more. If Tampa Bay wins, all bets are off.

Bottom line: It's not out of the question for the Vikings to wind up last in the NFL and get the No. 1 pick. But we'll say as of now their toughest competition is Tampa Bay, not Jacksonville. And we wouldn't be at all surprised to see them wind up third or fourth, just like 2011.

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San Diego 7:25 PM
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UAB 10/25/14 11:00 AM
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Rutgers 10/25/14 11:00 AM
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Maryland 10/25/14 11:00 AM
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North Carolina 10/25/14 11:30 AM
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San Jose St 10/25/14 12:00 PM
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Northern Ill 10/25/14 12:00 PM
Eastern Mich
(25) UCLA 10/25/14 1:00 PM
Colorado
Akron 10/25/14 1:00 PM
Ball State
Massachusetts 10/25/14 1:00 PM
Toledo
Ohio U 10/25/14 1:00 PM
Western Mich
Ga Southern 10/25/14 1:00 PM
Georgia State
Kent State 10/25/14 1:30 PM
Miami-Ohio
Oregon State 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Stanford
Fla Atlantic 10/25/14 2:30 PM
(23) Marshall
Louisiana Tech 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Southern Miss
(1) Miss State 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Kentucky
Georgia Tech 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Pittsburgh
(22) West Virginia 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Oklahoma State
Texas Tech 10/25/14 2:30 PM
(10) TCU
Michigan 10/25/14 2:30 PM
(8) Michigan State
Boston College 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Wake Forest
Central Mich 10/25/14 2:30 PM
Buffalo
Vanderbilt 10/25/14 3:00 PM
Missouri
Old Dominion 10/25/14 3:00 PM
Western Ky
UNLV 10/25/14 3:00 PM
Utah State
Temple 10/25/14 4:00 PM
UCF
(15) Arizona 10/25/14 5:00 PM
Washington St
Texas-El Paso 10/25/14 6:00 PM
TX-San Antonio
Wyoming 10/25/14 6:00 PM
Colorado State
Syracuse 10/25/14 6:00 PM
(21) Clemson
Texas State 10/25/14 6:00 PM
ULM
(3) Ole Miss 10/25/14 6:15 PM
(24) LSU
(4) Alabama 10/25/14 6:30 PM
Tennessee
So Carolina 10/25/14 6:30 PM
(5) Auburn
(13) Ohio State 10/25/14 7:00 PM
Penn State
(20) USC 10/25/14 9:00 PM
(19) Utah
(14) Arizona State 10/25/14 9:45 PM
Washington
Nevada 10/25/14 10:59 PM
Hawaii
(2) Florida State 10/30/14 6:30 PM
Louisville
Troy 10/30/14 6:30 PM
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Montreal 10/24/14 5:30 PM
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Saskatchewan 10/24/14 8:30 PM
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Hamilton 10/25/14 3:00 PM
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Brt Columbia 10/25/14 6:00 PM
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Hamilton 10/31/14 6:30 PM
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Calgary
Brt Columbia 11/1/14 6:00 PM
Edmonton
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Date/Opponent Time W L Score
2014 preseason     
Aug 8 - vs. Oakland 7 pmX10-6
Aug 16 - vs. Arizona 7:30 pmX30-28
Aug 23 - at Kansas City 7 pmX30-12
Aug 28 - at Tennessee 7 pmX19-3
2014 regular season     
Sep 7 - at St. Louis NoonX34-6
Sep 14 - vs. New England NoonX30-7
Sep 21 - at New Orleans NoonX20-9
Sep 28 - vs. Atlanta 3:25 pmX41-28
Oct 2 - at Green Bay 7:25 pmX42-10
Oct 12 - vs. Detroit NoonX17-3
Oct 19 - at. Buffalo NoonX17-16
Oct 26 - at Tampa Bay Noon
Nov 2 - vs. Washington Noon
Nov 9 - Bye
Nov 16 - at Chicago Noon
Nov. 23 - vs. Green Bay Noon
Nov. 30 - vs. Carolina Noon
Dec 7 - vs. NY Jets Noon
Dec 14 - at Detroit Noon
Dec 21 - at Miami Noon
Dec 28 - vs. Chicago Noon

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