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Mid-day talker: The Vikings and the race to the bottom in the NFL

Posted by: Michael Rand under Vikings Updated: November 13, 2013 - 1:02 PM

In very Vikings fashion, the purple finally won a game last week ... right when a lot of fans wanted them to keep losing. As we've noted many times in the past, we do not like tanking when it comes to trying to secure draft position. But 2013 has the potential to be eerily similar to 2011 when it comes the draft and the race to the bottom in the NFL. Here is a look at how that race breaks down as of now:

The Bills, Steelers, Raiders, Giants and Redskins all have three wins, but for now we're going to focus on the five teams below them:

The Vikings, Falcons and Texans are 2-7.

The Jaguars and Bucs are 1-8.

And yes, that means the Jaguars and Bucs -- previously winless -- both won last week, and the Vikings would have been tied at the bottom if not for the win over Washington (remind you at all of 2011?).

Some interesting notes about those five teams:

The Texans and Jaguars play each other twice in the final seven games, so somebody is going to pick up wins (unless, of course, they tie ... but even then, they're gaining on the field). Both teams also have fairly winnable games outside of those head-to-head matchups. The Jaguars play the Cardinals, Browns, Bills and Titans before finishing with a tough one against the Colts. The Texans, who have lost four games by three or fewer points and were a playoff team last season, still get the Raiders and Titans in addition to the two against the Jaguars.

The Bucs and Falcons, meanwhile, play each other this week -- so again, one of those teams will almost certainly pick up a win (and move further away in the race to the bottom). The Bucs also play the Rams and Bills; otherwise, their schedule is very tough. The Falcons, like the Texans and Vikings a playoff team a year ago, have Buffalo and Washington left but otherwise face a tough slate.

The Vikings, of course, are at Seattle this weekend. The final six are: at Green Bay, home against Chicago, at Baltimore, home against Philly, at Cincy and home against Detroit. The Vikings will lose at Seattle. We could honestly imagine the Vikings having a chance in most of those final six games, especially if Aaron Rodgers misses the game in Green Bay. That said, we could easily see the Vikings losing all six.

Let's say they win twice more this season and finish 4-12. Where would that leave them? Well, our best guess is that the Texans will win at least four, and probably more. The Jaguars honestly could, too, based on their schedule -- but we wouldn't bet on it. If the Falcons beat Tampa Bay this week, we imagine they will reach four or more. If Tampa Bay wins, all bets are off.

Bottom line: It's not out of the question for the Vikings to wind up last in the NFL and get the No. 1 pick. But we'll say as of now their toughest competition is Tampa Bay, not Jacksonville. And we wouldn't be at all surprised to see them wind up third or fourth, just like 2011.

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St. Louis - LP: A. Wainwright 1 FINAL
Pittsburgh - WP: J. Locke 3
Texas - WP: C. Lewis 12 FINAL
Seattle - LP: E. Ramirez 4
Washington 0 Delayed
Philadelphia 0
Tampa Bay 2 Bottom 1st Inning
Baltimore 0
Boston 0 Bottom 2nd Inning
Toronto 1
NY Yankees 0 Bottom 1st Inning
Detroit 0
Atlanta 1 Top 2nd Inning
NY Mets 0
Chicago Cubs 1 Top 2nd Inning
Cincinnati 0
Cleveland - C. Kluber 7:10 PM
Chicago WSox - H. Noesi
Minnesota - P. Hughes 7:10 PM
Kansas City - L. Hendriks
Oakland - D. Pomeranz 7:10 PM
Houston - B. Peacock
Milwaukee - Y. Gallardo 8:10 PM
San Diego - O. Despaigne
Los Angeles - C. Kershaw 8:40 PM
Arizona - W. Miley
Miami - H. Alvarez 9:05 PM
LA Angels - H. Santiago
Colorado - F. Morales 9:15 PM
San Francisco - T. Hudson
Atlanta 8/28/14 5:00 PM
Jacksonville
Detroit 8/28/14 6:00 PM
Buffalo
Indianapolis 8/28/14 6:00 PM
Cincinnati
Kansas City 8/28/14 6:00 PM
Green Bay
NY Jets 8/28/14 6:00 PM
Philadelphia
St. Louis 8/28/14 6:00 PM
Miami
Carolina 8/28/14 6:30 PM
Pittsburgh
New England 8/28/14 6:30 PM
NY Giants
Washington 8/28/14 6:30 PM
Tampa Bay
Baltimore 8/28/14 7:00 PM
New Orleans
Chicago 8/28/14 7:00 PM
Cleveland
Denver 8/28/14 7:00 PM
Dallas
Minnesota 8/28/14 7:00 PM
Tennessee
San Francisco 8/28/14 7:00 PM
Houston
Arizona 8/28/14 9:00 PM
San Diego
Seattle 8/28/14 9:00 PM
Oakland
(21) Texas A&M 8/28/14 5:00 PM
(9) So Carolina
Wake Forest 8/28/14 6:02 PM
ULM
Boise State 8/28/14 7:00 PM
(18) Ole Miss
Tulane 8/28/14 7:00 PM
Tulsa
Temple 8/28/14 8:15 PM
Vanderbilt
Rutgers 8/28/14 9:00 PM
Washington St
Weber State 8/28/14 9:30 PM
(19) Arizona State
BYU 8/29/14 6:00 PM
Connecticut
(6) Jacksonville St 8/29/14 6:30 PM
(8) Michigan State
Bowling Green 8/29/14 6:30 PM
Western Ky
TX-San Antonio 8/29/14 8:00 PM
Houston
Colorado State 8/29/14 8:00 PM
Colorado
UNLV 8/29/14 9:30 PM
Arizona
Penn State 8/30/14 7:30 AM
UCF
Troy 8/30/14 11:00 AM
UAB
(7) UCLA 8/30/14 11:00 AM
Virginia
Western Mich 8/30/14 11:00 AM
Purdue
(5) Ohio State 8/30/14 11:00 AM
Navy
Appalachian St 8/30/14 11:00 AM
Michigan
Ga Southern 8/30/14 11:30 AM
NC State
Boston College 8/30/14 2:00 PM
Massachusetts
West Virginia 8/30/14 2:30 PM
(2) Alabama
Rice 8/30/14 2:30 PM
(17) Notre Dame
(10) South Dakota St 8/30/14 2:30 PM
(24) Missouri
Fla Atlantic 8/30/14 2:30 PM
(22) Nebraska
California 8/30/14 2:30 PM
Northwestern
Marshall 8/30/14 2:30 PM
Miami-Ohio
UC Davis 8/30/14 3:00 PM
(11) Stanford
Arkansas 8/30/14 3:00 PM
(6) Auburn
(16) Clemson 8/30/14 4:30 PM
(12) Georgia
Liberty 8/30/14 5:00 PM
(23) North Carolina
Ohio U 8/30/14 5:00 PM
Kent State
Louisiana Tech 8/30/14 6:00 PM
(4) Oklahoma
Idaho 8/30/14 6:00 PM
Florida
Stephen F Austin 8/30/14 6:10 PM
(20) Kansas State
Fresno State 8/30/14 6:30 PM
(15) USC
Southern Miss 8/30/14 6:30 PM
Miss State
Texas-El Paso 8/30/14 7:00 PM
New Mexico
North Texas 8/30/14 7:00 PM
Texas
(1) Florida State 8/30/14 7:00 PM
Oklahoma State
(14) Wisconsin 8/30/14 8:00 PM
(13) LSU
South Dakota 8/30/14 9:30 PM
(3) Oregon
(25) Washington 8/30/14 9:30 PM
Hawaii
Utah State 8/31/14 6:00 PM
Tennessee
SMU 8/31/14 6:30 PM
(10) Baylor
Miami-Florida 9/1/14 7:00 PM
Louisville
D.C. 9:30 PM
Los Angeles
Ottawa 8/29/14 6:30 PM
Montreal
Winnipeg 8/31/14 3:00 PM
Saskatchewan
Toronto 9/1/14 12:00 PM
Hamilton
Edmonton 9/1/14 3:30 PM
Calgary
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Date/Opponent Time W L Score
2014 preseason     
Aug 8 - vs. Oakland 7 pmX10-6
Aug 16 - vs. Arizona 7:30 pmX30-28
Aug 23 - at Kansas City 7 pmX30-12
Aug 28 - at Tennessee 7 pm
2014 regular season     
Sep 7 - at St. Louis Noon
Sep 14 - vs. New England Noon
Sep 21 - at New Orleans Noon
Sep 28 - vs. Atlanta 3:25 pm
Oct 2 - at Green Bay 7:25 pm
Oct 12 - vs. Detroit Noon
Oct 19 - at. Buffalo Noon
Oct 26 - at Tampa Bay Noon
Nov 2 - vs. Washington Noon
Nov 9 - Bye
Nov 16 - at Chicago Noon
Nov. 23 - vs. Green Bay Noon
Nov. 30 - vs. Carolina Noon
Dec 7 - vs. NY Jets Noon
Dec 14 - at Detroit Noon
Dec 21 - at Miami Noon
Dec 28 - vs. Chicago Noon

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