VikesCentric is written by Twin Cities football writers Bo Mitchell and Patrick Donnelly of SportsData, and Ted Carlson of TST Media. They are Twin Cities-based Vikings and NFL experts who crunch numbers, watch video and tell you what's on their minds.

## VikesCentric: Putting 2,500 yards into context for Adrian

Posted by: Bo Mitchell Updated: September 5, 2013 - 2:14 PM

Adrian Peterson isn't backing down from the 2,500-yard prediction. It's probably too late now anyways. He's been asked about it so often that to back away from it now would be un-Adrian.

Heck, he even added a 20-touchdown forecast for the season in a sideline interview with Ben Leber during the Vikings' preseason finale last week. So 2,500 rushing yards and 20 touchdowns… that would be a pretty good encore for the NFL MVP, huh?

The 20 rushing touchdowns wouldn't be a record. It's been done 11 times before. Peterson's career best is 18 back in 2009 so it would represent a personal best for him. So there is that.

The 2,500 yards, of course, is a different matter.

Even the most casual football fan knows that Peterson fell nine yards short of breaking the single-season rushing record last year, finishing with 2,097 -- compared to the 2,105 that Eric Dickerson totaled in 1984.

Therefore, I thought it might be kind of interesting to put 2,500 rushing yards in a little perspective as compared to the other NFL counting stats records.

To obliterate 2,105 by 395 yards would be an 18.8 percent increase. Full disclosure: I used this online percentage increase calculator to double-check my math because I didn't trust my own arithmetic. It's pretty handy. Try it.

You can't top the single-season rushing touchdown record of 28 (set by LaDainian Tomlinson in 2006) by 18.8 percent because you can't score partial touchdowns. Scoring 33 would be a 17.8 percent increase, which is close enough. That would be impressive, but going from 28 to 33 doesn't really sound like much. It doesn't sound as awesome as going from 2,105 to 2,500.

We need bigger numbers and bigger stats to compare.

Instead, let's look at the single-season marks for receiving yards and passing yards.

You may remember that Calvin Johnson broke the record for receiving yards in a season just last year. I know the Vikings remember since they have to figure out a way to contain him in the season-opener on Sunday. Johnson recorded 1,964 yards receiving, breaking the old record of 1,848 by Jerry Rice. That was a "paltry" 6.3 percent increase. If Megatron or someone else wants to break the record of 1,964 receiving yards by 18.8 percent, they'd need a ridiculous 2,333 yards.

Drew Brees set the record for most passing yards in a season with 5,476 in 2011. For a quarterback to top that many passing yards by 18.8 percent he would need to throw for a whopping 6,505 yards. Absurd. Some might say impossible.

So that's the kind of record-smashing performance Adrian is shooting for this season. Think about that while you watch him sprinting down the sideline. Think about that while Paul Allen is screaming "And he's loose!" as Peterson busts into the open field. Just think about that.

A lot of NFL observers have thought about it. Few think it's possible. I'm one of those few.

Coming back from ACL surgery as fast as he did was thought impossible. Coming back from ACL surgery and actually being better than he was before the surgery had to be impossible. But Peterson made it possible.

I'm done doubting Adrian. If he says he's running for 2,500 yards, who are we to doubt him? He's earned the benefit of the non-doubt. This isn't a homer thing; if Calvin Johnson says he's shooting for 2,333 receiving yards, I'll probably believe in him too.

My calculator also tells me that in order to rush for that many yards in a season he will need to average 156.25 yards per game. In his last 10 games last season he averaged 159.8 yards per game.

The countdown to 2,500 yards starts Sunday.

Bo Mitchell is the Vice President of Content at SportsData

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### VikesCentric: Predictions for the Purple

• 6

 Minnesota 26 FINAL Baltimore 29
 Kansas City 45 FINAL Washington 10
 Buffalo 6 FINAL Tampa Bay 27
 Miami 34 FINAL Pittsburgh 28
 Indianapolis 28 FINAL Cincinnati 42
 Cleveland 26 FINAL New England 27
 Oakland 27 FINAL NY Jets 37
 Atlanta 21 FINAL Green Bay 22
 Tennessee 28 FINAL Denver 51
 St. Louis 10 FINAL Arizona 30
 Seattle 17 FINAL San Francisco 19
 NY Giants 14 FINAL San Diego 37
 Carolina 13 FINAL New Orleans 31
 Dallas 7:40 PM Chicago
 San Diego 12/12/13 7:25 PM Denver
 Boston 114 FINAL New York 73
 Miami 110 FINAL Detroit 95
 Indiana 94 FINAL Oklahoma City 118
 Orlando 88 FINAL Houston 98
 Toronto 106 FINAL LA Lakers 94
 San Jose 1 FINAL Minnesota 3
 Boston 5 FINAL Toronto 2
 Washington 4 FINAL NY Rangers 1
 Florida 2 FINAL Chicago 6
 Virginia Tech 61 FINAL Miami-Florida 60
 Oklahoma 81 FINAL George Mason 66
 Old Dominion 48 FINAL VA Commonwealth 69
 Iona 83 FINAL Fairfield 72
 Saint Peters 56 FINAL Niagara 61
 Siena 78 FINAL Canisius 93
 Mount Olive 75 FINAL East Carolina 77
 Quinnipiac 78 FINAL Rider 90
 Rhode Island 68 FINAL Detroit 70
 Monmouth 66 FINAL Manhattan 75
 Charlotte 77 FINAL Appalachian St 59
 SW Oklahoma St 55 FINAL Colorado State 109
 Illinois 81 FINAL Auburn 62
 Washington 63 FINAL San Diego St 70
 Maryland 75 FINAL George Washington 77
 Ark-Little Rock 0 Postponed Tulsa 0
 Ark-Pine Bluff 0 Postponed Oregon State 0
 Oregon 115 FINAL Ole Miss 105
 TX-Permian Basin 82 FINAL TX A&M-CC 77
 Jacksonville St 53 FINAL Florida State 77
 Dallas Christian 0 Cancelled Prairie View 0
 Boston College 62 FINAL USC 78
 Seton Hall 77 FINAL Rutgers 71
 Eastern Wash 65 FINAL St Marys-CA 93
 (15) UCF 17 FINAL SMU 13
 (11) Oklahoma 33 FINAL (13) Oklahoma State 24
 Marshall 24 FINAL Rice 41
 Memphis 10 FINAL Connecticut 45
 Texas 10 FINAL (6) Baylor 30
 (9) Missouri 42 FINAL (2) Auburn 59
 So Florida 6 FINAL Rutgers 31
 (5) Stanford 38 FINAL (16) Arizona State 14
 (22) Duke 7 FINAL (1) Florida State 45
 Louisiana 8 FINAL South Alabama 30
 (7) Ohio State 24 FINAL (4) Michigan State 34
 Utah State 17 FINAL (21) Fresno State 24
 Army 12/14/13 2:00 PM Navy
 (24) Gonzaga 59 FINAL Ohio State 58
 Georgia State 56 FINAL Kent State 55
 Hartford 45 FINAL Boston College 65
 Stetson 68 FINAL South Florida 72
 Texas 61 FINAL (3) Tennessee 75
 (10) Penn State 77 FINAL Georgetown 68
 Indiana 77 FINAL Morehead St 54
 Jacksonville 33 FINAL Florida State 71
 Elon 51 FINAL NC State 91
 Duquesne 86 FINAL St Francis-PA 66
 IUPU-Ft Wayne 70 FINAL (16) Purdue 91
 Stony Brook 71 FINAL Lafayette 61
 Central Conn St 82 FINAL Vermont 68
 Drexel 41 FINAL American Univ 47
 (12) South Carolina 76 FINAL Charlotte 61
 Milwaukee 64 FINAL Bowling Green 87
 Cincinnati 83 FINAL Youngstown St 62
 Fairfield 80 FINAL Maine 59
 Harvard 74 FINAL Sacred Heart 63
 Ark-Little Rock 0 Postponed Tulsa 0
 Tenn-Martin 0 Cancelled Illinois State 0
 Colorado State 86 FINAL Denver 78
 Evansville 86 FINAL Troy 94
 Houston 44 FINAL Alabama 51
 Cal State Fullerton 52 FINAL (20) Iowa State 79
 Texas Southern 0 Postponed Kansas 0
 TX-Pan American 54 FINAL TX A&M-CC 68
 Stephen F Austin 83 FINAL ULM 85
 North Dakota 44 FINAL Minnesota 46
 Utah State 75 FINAL (15) Nebraska 95
 Morgan State 53 FINAL Brown 63
 (2) Duke 94 FINAL (17) Oklahoma 85
 Long Beach St 67 FINAL Arizona State 74
 Seattle 56 FINAL San Diego 79
 Loyola-New Orleans 66 FINAL Tulane 82
 Abilene Christian 0 Postponed TX-San Antonio 0
 Santa Clara 49 FINAL Fresno State 69
 Boise State 71 FINAL Portland 85

 Date/Opponent Time W L Score 2013 preseason Aug 9 - vs. Houston 7 pm X 27-13 Aug 16 - at Buffalo 6 pm X 20-16 Aug 25 - at San Francisco 7 pm X 34-14 Aug 29 - vs. Tennessee 7 pm X 24-23 2013 regular season Sep 8 - at Detroit Noon X 34-24 Sep 15 - at Chicago Noon X 31-30 Sep 22 - vs. Cleveland Noon X 31-27 Sep 29 - vs. Pittsburgh (in London) Noon X 34-27 Oct 6 - Bye Oct 13 - vs. Carolina Noon X 35-10 Oct 21 - at. NY Giants 7:40 pm X 23-7 Oct 27 - vs. Green Bay 7:30 pm X 44-31 Nov 3 - at Dallas Noon X 27-23 Nov 7 - vs. Washington 7:25 pm X 34-27 Nov 17 - at Seattle 3:25 pm X 41-20 Nov. 24 - at Green Bay Noon 26-26 Dec 1 - vs. Chicago Noon X 23-20 Dec 8 - at Baltimore Noon X 29-26 Dec 15 - vs. Philadelphia Noon Dec 22 - at Cincinnati Noon Dec 29 - vs. Detroit Noon

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