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TwinsCentric: Powering up the bullpen

Posted by: Nick Nelson Updated: October 21, 2014 - 10:35 PM

There are only so many worthwhile takeaways to be gleaned from an examination of the Kansas City Royals' incredible postseason run up to this point. It's just been one of those miraculous stretches of baseball where everything has kept on clicking. (At least until Game 1 of the World Series.)

It is possible that the impact of Kansas City's speed, fundamentals, and maybe even defense, can be overstated.

The impact of a lights-out bullpen, however, cannot.

During the regular season, the Royals went 64-9 when ahead after the sixth inning, and 65-4 when ahead after the seventh. This relief corps that reliably protected leads during the summer has stepped it up here in October.

When Kansas City leads after five, or gains a lead at any point thereafter, the win has been automatic.

This was an overlooked calling card in the Twins' wonder years. During Minnesota's division championship seasons of 2002, 2003, 2004, 2006, 2009 and 2010, they ranked 4th, 5th, 5th, 1st, 4th and 4th among AL teams in bullpen ERA.

This year, they ranked 10th.

So when you look at areas that need to improve, this is a pretty blatant one. A truly great bullpen can be a key difference-maker; many of those division-winning clubs lacked elite lineups or rotations but won games because they consistently could finish the job.

Fortunately, the current Twins already have that all-important piece: a shutdown closer. Like Eddie Guardado and Joe Nathan before him, Glen Perkins is an All-Star, ranking among the game's best at slamming the door.

Concerns over Perkins' sore forearm and shaky September were quelled after an MRI revealed no UCL damage.

But what of the arms leading up to Perkins? Where are those dominant arms that bridge the gap, like Wade Davis and Kelvin Herrera have done for the Royals?

Casey Fien was far less dominant this year than in 2013, as his strikeouts declined and more hits fell in. Jared Burton struggled too often, and seems unlikely to have his option activated. When minor-leaguers like Michael Tonkin, A.J. Achter and Lester Oliveros got their chances, they delivered mixed results.

If the Twins want to be proactive in addressing the bullpen, they might want to seek alternatives to their present options. That could mean looking to free agency, where some intriguing names are covered in the Offseason Handbook.

But it also might mean getting creative and trying out some different things. One such idea is shifting Mike Pelfrey into a relief role, where I believe he could transform from a liability to an asset.

And here's another idea I'm starting to like: Alex Meyer in the bullpen to start the season.

He already has a full year at Triple-A under his belt and he'll turn 25 in January. He needs to be in the majors. But the Twins seem to have lingering doubts about his ability to pitch deep into games, and that's warranted. He completed six innings just once in his last seven starts at Rochester.

There might not be room for him in the rotation from the outset, if the Twins sign a pitcher or want to give Tommy Milone a look.

So why not let Meyer start out in a relief role, where he can gain confidence pitching in short stints while blowing big-league hitters away with his elite stuff?

The Twins brought Francisco Liriano along in this manner in 2006. He dominated pitching a couple innings at a time as a potent weapon out of the bullpen during the first six weeks, and was already rolling by the time he hit the rotation in mid-May.

Since Meyer only pitched 130 innings last year and ended on an injury scare, the Twins will want to manage his workload. Serving as a reliever those first few weeks or months will allow him to pitch deeper into the season without vastly exceeding his inning total from 2014.

Ideally, he'll pitch well in this role, refine his control, and be ready to stretch out and step in as a starter when help is inevitably needed. Or else the Twins could let him work as a reliever the entire season. The Cardinals did so with Adam Wainwright his rookie year, and he turned out alright.

Whichever route they choose to go, Minnesota must find a way to harness Meyer's overpowering arm. It makes little sense to send him back to the minors.


Interested in discovering more ideas for improving the club for 2015? The Twins Daily Offseason Handbook is now available for pre-order, and for a limited time you can lock up your copy for just $3.99. If you're a Twins fan, give it a try. I promise you'll enjoy.

TwinsCentric: Contemplating the Royals

Posted by: Seth Stohs Updated: October 16, 2014 - 7:02 AM

The Kansas City Royals are going to the World Series. The AL Central team that was seemingly in a perennial rebuild suddenly has put itself in a great position. They won the 1985 World Series and this was the first time they were back in the playoffs. They have now gone 8-0 this postseason and will represent the American League in the World Series.

The Twins have had a run of four-straight 90-loss seasons, so I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the Royals roster and see how their players were acquired. Are there similarities between the Twins and the Royals?


I always write and talk about how important it is for the Twins to develop their core and then supplement it with free agents or through trades to find final pieces. Both the 1987 and 1991 World Series championship Minnesota Twins teams had strong cores. Kirby Puckett, Kent Hrbek and Greg Gagne were part of both cores. The 1987 team included Tom Brunansky, Gary Gaetti and Frank Viola who were on the teams when they were losing a lot of games. Dan Gladden, Juan Berenguer and Jeff Reardon were added. Gladden became part of the core of the 1991 team.

The core of the Royals roster are four first-round picks.

Billy Butler was the 14th overall pick in the 2004 draft. Alex Gordon was the #2 overall pick in the 2005 draft. Mike Moustakas was the second overall pick in the 2007 draft, and Eric Hosmer was the #3 pick in the 2008 draft. All four of these players have certainly had their ups and downs in their big league career. Fans complain about the lack of power shown by Butler and Hosmer. Alex Gordon struggled early in his career and switched positions. Mike Moustakas has struggled with the bat, and in fact, he was sent down to AAA this year because he was playing so poorly.

Other guys that they have drafted and developed are around the roster. Closer Greg Holland was the team’s 10th round pick in 2007. Lefty Danny Duffy was their third round pick in 2008. Jarrod Dyson was the team’s 50th round pick in 2006. Yes, I meant to type 50th.

In addition, the Royals signed some of their new core as international free agents. Flamethrower Yordano Ventura was signed from the Dominican Republic in 2008. Fellow Triple-Digit tosser Kelvin Herrera signed in 2006. Salvador Perez, who is one of the best catchers in baseball offensively and defensively, signed out of Venezuela in 2006.

In addition, reliever Brandon Finnegan became the first person to play in the College World Series and the Major League World Series in the same year. The lefty pitched for TCU this spring, was selected with the 17th overall pick in June, and was up in September. He played a huge role in the Division Series.


The Royals then made a few trades that have had a huge effect on their roster, and on this year’s results. There were a couple of completely opposite trades.
When the Royals were struggling and had a terrific starting pitcher in Zach Greinke, they were able to trade him to Milwaukee. The Brewers sent Alcides Escobar, Jake Odorizzi, and the ALCS MVP Lorenzo Cain in that deal.

Odorizzi was on the other end of a trade with the Tampa Bay Rays two years ago. Instead of acquiring prospects, the Royals traded one of baseball’s top prospects, Wil Myers, along with Odorizzi and more in exchange for James Shields and Wade Davis. Shields had become an Ace for the Rays and pitched in the playoffs and the World Series. Davis was a soft-throwing starter who was being moved to the bullpen. The Royals gave him a shot to start last year, but he became arguably baseball’s most dominant reliever in 2014.

In addition, the Royals traded soft-tossing lefty reliever Will Smith to the Brewers last offseason for outfield Nori Aoki. They acquired reliever Jason Frasor at the Trade Deadline for a minor leaguer. They also got Josh Willingham from the Twins in mid-August.


With that core having gained some experience and the Royals starting to show signs of life, they supplemented their team with some free agent signings.
In July of 2012, the Royals traded left Jonathan Sanchez to the Rockies for Jeremy Guthrie. Both pitchers had struggled immensely and maybe a change of scenery would help/ Well, Guthrie pitched well down the stretch and turned it into a three year deal worth $25.2 million deal with the Royals. Though he has been about league average in those two seasons, he has worked a combined 214.1 innings for the team.

After letting Ervin Santana go elsewhere after the 2013 season, the Royals signed very soft-tossing left-hander Jason Vargas to a four-year, $32 million contract. The move was widely criticized at the time, but Vargas pitched well in the first year.

After trotting out guys like Johnny Giavotella and Chris Getz at second base in recent years, the Royals gave Omar Infante a four year, $30.25 million contract to be their second basement. Granted, the 32-year-old hit just .252/.295/.337 (.632), but he has 13 years of big league experience which likely helped the club in some way.

After getting released by the Angels in June, veteran Raul Ibanez signed with the Royals. He hit just .188 with six extra base hits in 90 plate appearances.

Consider this: Had the Twins gone out and signed free agents like Guthrie, Vargas and Infante, would those moves have excited the Twins fan base? Do they scream "OK, now, we're heading to the World Series?"


The Royals have a pretty young core of talent that should allow them to make a run for a few years. In their regular lineup, Omar Infante is the only hitter over the age of 30. Salvador Perez and Eric Hosmer are still under 25 while Billy Butler, Alcides Escobar, Lorenzo Cain and Mike Moustakus are all 28 or less.

Yordano Ventura is 23, and Danny Duffy is 25. Meanwhile, James Shields becomes a free agent at the end of the year and the 32-year-old could bolt for big money. Jeremy Guthrie is 35 and Jason Vargas is 32. They’ll need to develop a couple more pitchers and possibly sign one or two to replace Shields.

The bullpen is full of hard throwers, and they are quite young. The forgotten name might be 2009 first-round pick Aaron Crow who was very good the last couple of years before struggling a little bit in 2014.

A reminder of the Royals first round picks in the last decade:

· 2004 (14) – Billy Butler – High School
· 2005 (2) – Alex Gordon – College – Nebraska
· 2006 (1) – Luke Hochevar – College – Tennessee
· 2007 (2) – Mike Moustakas – High School
· 2008 (3) – Eric Hosmer – High School
· 2009 (12) – Aaron Crow – College – Missouri
· 2010 (4) – Christian Colon – College – Cal State Fullerton
· 2011 (5) – Bubba Starling – High School
· 2012 (5) – Kyle Zimmer – College – San Francisco
· 2013 (8) – Hunter Dozier – College – Stephen F. Austin
· 2013 (34) – Sean Manaea – College – Indiana State
· 2014 (18) – Brandon Finnegan – College – TCU

The Royals have had a boatload of very high draft picks and for the most part, they have made good on them. Hochevar was moved to the bullpen in 2013 and posted an ERA south of two. He had Tommy John surgery this spring. Colon made his MLB debut in 2014. Starling, Zimmer and Dozier are all participating in the Arizona Fall League.


Are the Twins doing any of the things that have made the Royals successful this year? Head on over to Twins Daily now to see how the Twins system compares to the Royals of previous years and where it could lead.

TwinsCentric: What will Twins' identity be going forward?

Posted by: Nick Nelson Updated: October 7, 2014 - 9:18 PM

On Friday, the Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals will kick off the American League Championship Series. Both teams had successful seasons and have had extremely successful postseasons thus far.

They've reached a stage that the Twins, obviously, would like to return to, so it makes sense to examine these two clubs for inspiration as the rebuild pushes onward.

You can draw some similarities between the Orioles and Royals, but in many ways they are polar opposites. 

Baltimore is built around power. They led the majors with 211 homers and ranked last with 44 steals. Not one player on the O's roster swiped more than eight bases this season. This is a plodding, station-to-station club whose strategy is very much built around producing runs with base-clearing hits and homers.

Conversely, the Royals are all speed and no power. They ranked last in the majors in home runs (95) but first in steals (153). They barely sneaked into the playoffs but were able to shockingly sweep a 98-win Angels team with a small-ball offensive attack characterized by aggressive base-running and lots (I mean LOTS) of sacrifice bunting.

I have little doubt that the Twins, at least under Ron Gardenhire, would have very much aspired to tailor themselves after the Royals. That's a brand of baseball that this organization has constantly held up as the golden standard over the years. However, when you look at the composition of this roster -- and the way it figures to evolve going forward -- there's no denying that the Twins are much more likely to assume Baltimore's profile.

By the end of next season, the middle of Minnesota's lineup will likely be anchored by Oswaldo Arcia, Kennys Vargas and Miguel Sano -- slow-footed sluggers. Elsewhere you've got guys like Joe Mauer, Kurt Suzuki and Trevor Plouffe, who also aren't threats with their legs.

Sure, there's Brian Dozier and Danny Santana, and eventually Byron Buxton. Maybe they'll add a speedster as a free agent. But barring a major shakeup or trade, the Twins aren't really going to have the personnel to execute the kind of speed-based, small-ball approach that they've so often striven for in the past. 

Maybe that's not such a bad thing.

On the pitching side, there's good news. Neither the Orioles nor Royals have particularly strikeout-heavy staffs. Baltimore ranked 10th in the AL in K/9 rate this year, and Kansas City ranked 12th. The Twins, of course, ranked last with a miserable 6.5 K/9 rate, but the ground they need to make up to reach that level is obviously much smaller than the top tier.

Therein lies the rub. The key that allowed these staffs to excel without tons of strikeouts is found in one one clear commonality between the two teams: outstanding defense. Baltimore has several high-end fielders and KC has been hailed by some as the best defensive unit to come along in years.

Here's where the Twins are far, far behind. The path to returning to defensive excellence -- a longtime philosophical foundation and clearly a critical component in succeeding as a team -- is murky. As I wrote a month ago, the presence of so many slow power-hitters within the offensive core makes it highly difficult to field a defense with great speed and range.

To me, this overarching paradox represents the greatest roadblock in a return to contention. The Twins have the offensive pieces to score runs -- albeit more in Baltimore's style than Kansas City's -- but can they create a dynamic with their pitching staff and defense that allows them to prevent scoring in the same way as the Orioles (third-fewest runs allowed in AL) and Royals (fourth-fewest)?

You've got to have power pitching or strong defense -- ideally both. But you can't have neither. This is where the identity crisis truly lies.

TwinsCentric: Minnesota Twins' Top 10 Moments of 2014

Posted by: Parker Hageman Updated: October 3, 2014 - 8:35 AM

Another year, another 90-loss season. Can you even remember what winning baseball smells like?

Brighter days are likely ahead but the recent history has been depressing. Still, even with all the losses there are moments that continue to remind you that baseball is beautiful -- even if the results are ugly.

Here are the Twins’ Top 10 moments from the 2014 season:

Honorable Mention

On Sunday, August 3, the Twins decimated the Chicago White Sox 16-3. Within the offensive binge, Chris Parmelee, Oswaldo Arcia and Eric Fryer went back-to-back-to-back -- the first time the team had done so since July 12, 2001 when Doug Mintkiewicz, Corey Koskie and Torii Hunter took Brewers’ pitcher Jimmy Haynes deep at Miller Park. It would be the first (and last apparently) time this would happen with Ron Gardenhire as the Twins’ manager.

While the feat is impressive it was the reaction of the fan that receives this mention. During Parmelee’s home runs, this guy -- who appears to have an onlooking lady companion with him -- hops the rail in the party porch in pursuit of the ball but fails to stick the landing.

Posted Image
(via Twins Daily)

Reminder: They’re baseballs, people. Yarn, wrapped with dead horse and held together with red stitches. Just baseballs.


10. Kurt Suzuki With A Ghostrider-Like Slider Around Salvador Perez

Yeah, slides are not normally warrant a mention but after this throw beat Kurt Suzuki to the plate, the Twins’ catcher performs some sleight-of-hand, somehow got around a diving Salvador Perez and slapped his hand on the dish for the run.

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I mean, compare that technique to Kendrys Morales who apparently went to the school for kids who can’t slide good and want to learn other things too:

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9. The Rookies Arrive

Both Danny Santana and Kennys Vargas made their major league debuts with the Twins in 2014 and both contributed offensively right away. Here are their first Major League hits:

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(via @cjzero)

8. Kennys Vargas Nearly Takes A Piece Off Josh Donaldson

Vargas has been very good since joining the Minnesota Twins, specifically at hitting baseballs hard. During the series in Oakland, Vargas hit a ball that was registered at 120 miles an hour off the bat. That, according to Trackman’s 100,000 batted ball database, was the hardest hit ball ever. EVER.

Because of this ability, it must be quite worrisome to have to play third base when he smashes pitches down the line. Oakland's Josh Donaldson narrowly avoided getting cut in half by a Vargas one-hopper and, once the ball clears, he double-checks to make sure he's "all there".

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"One, two...three...OK, good to go."


7. Oswaldo Arcia Destroys Lumber

The 23-year-old Arcia proved to be loaded with power -- as evidenced by his 20 home runs -- but he also had tendencies to be mired in slumps. He had been in the midst of a .173 stretch in July with a butt-load of strikeouts when he decided to take the frustration out on his bat.

Splinters ensue.

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But he can destroy baseballs too.

According to, a site that measures “true distance” of a player’s home run, said that he whalloped 10 No-Doubt bombs. No-Doubts are shots that clear the fence by 20 vertical feet and land at least 50 feet past the wall. Much like this one that ricochet off the flagpole at Target Field:

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(via @cjzero)

In general, 27% of a player’s home runs fall in that category. For Arcia, half of his home runs were No-Doubts. Big time power.

6. Glen Perkins Really Loves Red Bull

I don’t know. Closers have to stay up really late, I guess.

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(via @cjzero)



Over at, Nick Nelson discusses the merits of Mientkiewicz and Molitor as managers, Seth Stohs provides his Top 10 Twins Prospects and the forums as active as ever

Feel like venting about the Vikings' embarassing loss to the Packers? has you covered. 

TwinsCentric: Top 10 Twins prospects

Posted by: Seth Stohs Updated: October 2, 2014 - 10:58 AM

Over the last two weeks at Twins Daily, we've been counting down my choices for Minnesota Twins prospects 11 through 50. Today, I’ll post my choices for the Top 10 Twins Prospects. Obviously injury played an unfortunate role with many of these guys, but there is tremendous upside in this group. There may even be a couple of surprises.

Reminders: This list is preliminary. Following research for the Minnesota Twins Prospect Handbook 2015, as well as your feedback, I’ll provide my final Top 30 prospects list. Players eligible to be on this list include players who remain eligible for Rookie of the Year voting in 2015. That is to say, hitters with less than 130 at bats and pitchers with less than 50 innings.

Before we get to the Top 10 Twins prospects, you can review prospects 11-50 here:

Top Prospects 1-10

#10 – Nick Burdi – 21 – RH RP – Cedar Rapids Kernels/Ft. Myers Miracle

The Twins drafted Burdi in the 24th round of the 2011 draft out of high school. He chose to go to Louisville where he became the most dominant college reliever. A three-digit family with a 90+ mph slider creates a lot of strikeouts. The Twins drafted him again in the 2nd round this June after the College World Series. Upon signing, he was assigned to Cedar Rapids where, in 13 innings, he gave up eight hits, walked eight and struck out 26. He moved up to Ft. Myers where he pitched 7.1 innings in seven games. He gave up five hits, walked two and struck out 12. I would guess that he’ll be invited to big league spring training and start the season at Chattanooga. I also think he will be up with the Twins before June.

#9 – Taylor Rogers – 23 – LHP – New Britain Rock Cats 

Rogers was my choice in 2013 as the Twins minor league starting pitcher of the year when he went 11-6 with a 2.55 ERA. Drafted in the 11th round of the 2012 draft out of the University of Kentucky where he teamed with Logan Darnell and Alex Meyer. Roger’s 2014 got off to a slow start. Through his first five AA starts, he went 1-3 with an 8.14 ERA despite a 26/5 strikeout to walkout rate. Over his final 19 starts, he went 10-3 with a 2.31 ERA. In 120.2 innings, he walked 32 and struck out 87. The left-hander is blessed with a fastball that touches 95 mph and a sharp slider. He will pitch in the Arizona Fall League and could debut with the Twins in 2015.

#8 – Trevor May – 25 – RHP – Rochester Red Wings/Minnesota Twins

May came to the Twins in December of 2012 from the Phillies. He went back to the Eastern League in 2013 in New Britain. After two years of AA ball, he advanced to AAA this year and was terrific. He went 8-6 with a 2.84 ERA in 18 starts before being called up to the Twins. It likely would have happened a month or more earlier if not for a calf injury. His debut in Oakland on August 9th was a disaster. He walked seven in two innings. In his first three starts, he walked 13 and struck out three in nine innings. In his final seven starts, he walked nine and struck out 41 over 36.2 innings. That kind of improvement should have Twins very optimistic that May can be a solid mid-rotation guy.

#7 – Jorge Polanco – 21 – SS – Ft. Myers Miracle/New Britain Rock Cats/Minnesota Twins 

Polanco had a breakout season in 2013 in Cedar Rapids. He hit .308/.362/.452 (.813). He moved up to Ft. Myers to start this season. In 94 games, he hit .291/.364/.415 (.780) with 17 doubles, six triples and six home runs. In late June, the Twins surprised people by calling up Polanco from the Miracle. He returned to the Miracle. A month later, he was on his way up to AA New Britain, but instead he was called up to the Twins again for a short stint. In AA, he hit .281/.323/.342 (.665) with six doubles and a homer. With the Twins, he primarily just pinch hit, though he did make one start. He went 2-6 and walked twice. After splitting time between shortstop and second base in 2013, he made the move to shortstop in 2014. He spent 119 games at shortstop and just ten at second base in the minor leagues. He committed 35 errors at shortstop and three more at second base, but he does have decent range. His arm is best suited to second base. He should start 2015 in Chattanooga.

#6 – Nick Gordon – 18 – SS – Elizabethton Twins 

The Twins were thrilled when Nick Gordon was still available when they were on the clock with the 5th pick. He certainly fits a mold that the Twins have used in the past. Gordon is an athletic high school hitter with a lot of tools who plays in the middle of the diamond. The Twins believe he will be able to stay at shortstop as he develops. He can hit, field his position, has a very strong arm, and good speed. Though he isn’t the burner that his brother, Dodgers infielder Dee Gordon, is, he has well above average speed. Currently 6-0 and 180 pounds, the hope is that he will develop some power. He began his professional career with Elizabethton where he played in 57 games. He hit .294/.333/.366 (.699) with six doubles, four triples and a home run. In Elizabethton’s playoff series, he broke a bone in his finger. He will most likely spend the 2015 season with the Kernels in Cedar Rapids.

To see who grabbed the Top 5 places, continue to Twins Daily

The forums at Twins Daily have been pretty active this week. With the firing of Ron Gardenhire and questions of who will be the next manager, conversations were lively. There has been other discussion as well such as Parker's article on whether hitters can be afraid of some catchers

Of course, it's also Vikings Game Day today with a border battle against the Packers. Head on over to Vikings Journal for a preview of the Vikings/Packers rivalry game. I think it's fair to say the defense's ability to keep the Packers from converting on third downs will be a focus this week. Oh, and if you're looking for some help with your fantasy football decisions this week, click here for Bo Mitchell's rankings!

TwinsCentric: The Twins have a problem

Posted by: Nick Nelson Updated: September 24, 2014 - 12:05 AM

For the past several years, my parents have been part of a season ticket group, buying 10 games from a full 81-game package along with several other parties.

The couple running the group has been season ticket holders for a long, long time, and they had worked their way into some pretty prime seats on the lower deck, directly behind home plate and just beneath the overhang.

I enjoyed this arrangement because invariably I would be invited to use one or both tickets several times per year. But a couple weeks ago my dad called me with a message that didn't come as a total surprise: "They're not renewing the tickets."

When I heard that news, I immediately thought to myself, "This team is in trouble."

This season ticket group was a bunch of hardcore Twins fans, especially the actual seat-holders. But even they could no longer justify the cost, especially at a time where all games after July consistently carry no level of drama or intrigue. It's a drain.

The new ballpark honeymoon period has passed, and now there's going to be a newer stadium over in St. Paul. The All-Star Game has come and gone. The Twins now have to rely more than ever on the quality of their product on the field and, for yet another season, that product has been flat-out lousy.

It's not just that this team is bad. They're worse than bad. This is going to be their fourth straight finish with a bottom-five W/L record in the majors.

While you can point at several individual positive developments, and numerous unfortunate setbacks that weren't really controllable, the bottom line is that there have been no tangible signs of progress. The Twins will finish with fewer losses than last year, but barely.

We've already seen the attendance decline take effect. They're currently at about 2.2 million through the gate this year, so they're going to fall short of their last year at the Metrodome (2.4 million in 2009). If my parents' season ticket group, along with several others I've been hearing about, are any indication, that decline is only going to steepen.

The Twins need to do something to jolt the fan base and stir some kind of buzz. But a big roster shakeup doesn't seem to be in the plans; there just aren't many areas where it's realistic to expect major additions.

A change in leadership would at least signal a dissatisfaction with the stagnant results and a sense of urgency to get things going, but that also does not seem to be in the plans. Terry Ryan, based on everything I've heard, is entrenched in his position as long as he wants it. Ryan hinted that Ron Gardenhire will also be back next year, and while the team later backed off that statement a bit, it's probably accurate.

All the assistant coaches are on one-year deals, and thus facing renewal or removal, so I would guess we'll see some turnover there. It should probably start with Rick Anderson.

But the last staff shakeup was little more than a rearrangement. And is the shuffling of assistant coaches really going to strike any skeptical season ticket renewer as a sufficient overhaul?

I, personally, can see the light for the Twins. I follow closely enough to know that they were set back by a number of unfortunate events in the minors this year, and that a sizable wave of premium talent is heading this way (or already developing on the field). I do think this young core can succeed with the existing leadership in place, because I mostly trust Ryan and I don't think Gardy matters much one way or the other.

But the majority of fans don't follow as closely as I, or most readers of this blog. Most casual fans I talk to can barely identify with the team anymore, and have only faintly heard the names Byron Buxton and Miguel Sano.

And right or wrong, this organization's constant commitment to loyalty, promoting from within, and sticking with the guys they like in the face of historically awful results comes off to many as arrogant and insular. There's a reason that a recent rose-colored marketing survey has been nationally criticized as tone-deaf and absurd. The Twins say they get it, but do they?

"They're always one year away," my co-worker grumbled over lunch the other day while I was trying to emphasize the quality of the young players who are -- hopefully -- on the verge of arriving and changing this pitiful culture.

It's hard to disagree. And in fact "one year away" might seem generous with the complete lack of progress that we've seen in three straight. Until that magical turnaround season finally comes, how many more fans can the team afford to lose to disinterest while steadfastly staying the course? At what point do major changes become a business necessity rather than a strategic decision?

I don't know the answer, but what I can say is this: The dwindling crowds at the ballpark, the stagnating traffic and activity on sites like ours, and the increasingly ambivalent attitudes of local baseball fans that I encounter all clearly signify that the Twins are fading from the public sports consciousness to an alarming degree.



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