TwinsCentric was formed by Twins super-bloggers Seth Stohs, Nick Nelson, Parker Hageman and John Bonnes. Together they publish at TwinsDaily.com and have authored books, e-books and magazines that provide independent and in-depth coverage of the Minnesota Twins from a fan's perspective. You can contact them at TwinsCentric@gmail.com.
Look back a decade: Torii Hunter spent a couple of seasons making people wonder about his skills before becoming a star. Look back a generation: Frank Viola spent two seasons with a five-plus ERA before blossoming. Tell me why Casilla is utterly hopeless?
Howard Sinker in his A Fan's View blog yesterday made a tremendous point. It is important to remain patient. Of course, in Viola's third year, he posted a 3.21 ERA over 257.2 innings. I think Alexi Casilla will be fine. I think that Tsuyoshi Nishioka will be just fine. Will either post a .730 OPS? Probably not, but that doesn't mean that they won't fill their roles adequately. I just don't think that offense will be the biggest issue for the Twins in 2011. Pitching, both starting and bullpen, is where there are question marks, but the cupboard is not empty.
What I would like to see is if 29-year-old Scott Baker, in his seventh season with the Twins, can hit 200 innings (or post a sub-4.20 ERA) for just the second time, and earn his $5 million salary. I'd like to see Kevin Slowey, in his fifth big league season, be 100% healthy, and see what he can do. He threw 199 innings in 2007 between Rochester and Minnesota. I'd like to see Nick Blackburn get back to going 11-11 with an ERA between 4.03 and 4.05 like he did in 2008 and 2009. As bad as portions of their 2010 seasons were, none of this is unrealistic. They have done it before. Along with that, maybe Brian Duensing can prove a lot of us wrong and put together another strong season in 2011, hopefully the full season as a starter. And, Francisco Liriano put himself back in discussion for best pitchers in the league (which is also helped by Cliff Lee moving to the NL). If healthy, he can still continue to improve.
So, if Carl Pavano leaves for greener pastures in places like Washington, D.C., or Pittsburgh, it really is not the end of the world. What are the odds that he could post a 3.75 ERA again or throw another 221 innings in a season? Not terribly good.
The Twins have a history of building from within, or giving opportunities to players who have come up through their system, and to stand behind them through struggles. We have seen it time and again. And for the most part over the last decade, it has paid off. The Twins have used free agents to complement their core of home-grown players. Last year, there wasn't a solid internal option at second base, so they signed Orlando Hudson.
Last week, the Twins lost Jesse Crain and Matt Guerrier to free agency. It is likely that they will not bring back Brian Fuentes, Jon Rauch or Ron Mahay either. Fans, understandably, are up in arms about the lack of certainty in the Twins bullpen. There is no certainty that Joe Nathan will return to form in 2011. Jose Mijares is immensely talented, but he was up and down in 2010. Matt Capps is the given in the Twins bullpen, and he is what he is (a solid reliever). Beyond that, there are a lot of question marks.
Twins fans don't want to hear about someone like Glen Perkins being a bullpen option in 2011. There are also a lot of guys with little or no big league experience being mentioned as options. I understand that is scary. We want certainty in the bullpen, right? Certainty, in this case, would have been retaining Jesse Crain and Matt Guerrier because they are veterans, right? But if I read the comments here at the StarTribune.com blogs or many Twins blogs, most blog commenters were not big fans of Jesse Crain. Most blog commenters were not exactly confident when Matt Guerrier would come into games. But aside from Rafael Soriano, Brian Fuentes and Type A free agent and former Twins pitcher Grant Balfour, few relievers have been more reliable than Crain and Guerrier. And you didn't want them back. So, who would be out there at this stage that could be counted on more? I am a proponent of signing RHP Jose Veras and LHP Hideki Okajima, but in each case, there are reasons that their 2010 team non-tendered them. Certainly not guarantees.
Simply stated, there are very few reliable relief pitchers from year to year. Most (or at least many) relief pitchers are failed starters. There are a lot of injuries. It is in the bullpen where you can find diamonds in the rough. It's where guys (like Guerrier) who are out of options to get an opportunity, and a few take advantage of it. Look at the Yankees' David Robertson. In 2009, he was a question mark. In 2010, he was getting put into some pretty big situations for the pinstripes.
With that said, there are a lot of options for breakout types in the Twins bullpen. Remember that they only need three or four of these guys to produce for the Twins in 2011:
Are any of those big name acquisitions? No. They are internal options. Can any of them contribute to the Twins in 2011? Absolutely. Can three of four of them join Nathan, Capps and Mijares to form a solid bullpen? Defintely. Am I just trying to be positive here? Probably. But can the internal choices be equal or better than the external, high-cost free agents? Absolutely.
The Twins historically have relied upon their own players, on building from within. It's been a philosophy that has worked well for them. Even if their payroll has gone from $65 million to $100 million to $115 million, there is no reason to start spending foolishly on free agents or giving up the farm for players who might help. Can the Twins win the division with their current roster? I think so. It'd be tough, but I would not put it against them.
To be fair (and honest), I have been immensely frustrated with the Twins offseason. I expected them to wisely stay away from high-dollar free agents. I thought we might hear more about trades than we have. The Twins might soon spend a lot of money for two or three years on a guy who is already 35 years old. They could also give two years to a 40 year old one-dimensional player. I'm sure those moves will make a lot of fans happy. Maybe I'm strange. I figure there are six or seven weeks until pitchers and catchers report, so I still hold out that the team will add an impact player, the type of player who can make a difference without breaking the bank. But I don't know that the team is better. I also don't know what the Twins plans are, or their contingency plans are (if Pavano and/or Thome were to sign elsewhere). No one does because the Twins front office is great at not letting information leak We can't all be Jim Breen!
Finally, Twins fans need to remember one important thing... at least the Twins and their stability is a lot better than following the Vikings and their chaos this year!
Boy – it sure felt like a win. This was what you want. Actually, this is what you want any number of ways. Let’s count them, shall we?
The Twins regular season is nearing its completion, so it is time to start handing out some awards for the season. E-ballots were sent to many Twins bloggers and media types and they were asked to vote for Twins MVP, Twins Pitcher of the Year, and Twins Rookie of the Year. 24 responses were received. A huge Thank You to those who contributed to this:
| Total Points | Seth Stohs | John Bonnes | Parker Hageman | Nick Nelson | |
| Joe Mauer | 40 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Francisco Liriano | 25 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| Carl Pavano | 23 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 5 |
| Delmon Young | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | |
| Jim Thome | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| Justin Morneau | 15 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 3 |
| Brian Duensing | 8 | 4 | 4 | ||
| Jesse Crain | 5 | 3 | 2 | ||
| Michael Cuddyer | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Orlando Hudson | 3 | 3 | |||
| JJ Hardy | 2 | 2 |
|
|
Total Points
|
Seth Stohs
|
John Bonnes
|
Parker Hageman
|
Nick Nelson
|
Doogie Wolfson
|
Phil Mackey
|
Howard Sinker
|
Phil Miller
|
Anthony Maggio
|
Dan Hammer
|
Shawn Berg
|
Kirsten Brown
|
Cody Christie
|
Dan Wade
|
Betsy Bissen
|
John Meyer
|
Judd Spicer
|
Eric Johnson
|
Josh Johnson
|
Andrew Bryz-Gornia
|
Paul Allen
|
Topper Anton
|
Andrew Kneeland
|
Eric Olson
|
|
Joe Mauer
|
211
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
8
|
8
|
6
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
6
|
8
|
8
|
6
|
|
Delmon Young
|
145
|
8
|
5
|
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
4
|
1
|
8
|
8
|
6
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
4
|
|
4
|
|
Jim Thome
|
124
|
3
|
1
|
5
|
6
|
2
|
8
|
5
|
8
|
6
|
1
|
8
|
4
|
6
|
8
|
|
6
|
8
|
6
|
10
|
10
|
3
|
5
|
5
|
|
|
Francisco Liriano
|
103
|
5
|
6
|
6
|
8
|
8
|
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
5
|
5
|
|
2
|
5
|
3
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
|
|
10
|
10
|
10
|
1
|
|
Carl Pavano
|
91
|
6
|
8
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
|
6
|
6
|
|
8
|
4
|
|
4
|
|
6
|
4
|
5
|
|
|
|
4
|
6
|
4
|
5
|
|
Justin Morneau
|
70
|
2
|
2
|
8
|
3
|
1
|
|
2
|
1
|
1
|
|
6
|
6
|
|
2
|
2
|
5
|
|
1
|
6
|
6
|
2
|
|
6
|
8
|
|
Michael Cuddyer
|
44
|
1
|
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
4
|
6
|
|
5
|
5
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
5
|
3
|
|
|
|
Danny Valencia
|
35
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
2
|
2
|
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
|
|
2
|
2
|
|
Brian Duensing
|
33
|
4
|
4
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
5
|
|
|
|
1
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
1
|
|
10
|
|
Jesse Crain
|
23
|
|
3
|
|
2
|
3
|
|
|
|
3
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
Orlando Hudson
|
15
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
2
|
3
|
|
|
Jason Kubel
|
12
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
Denard Span
|
6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
Jon Rauch
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
JJ Hardy
|
3
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jason Repko
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total Points | Seth Stohs | John Bonnes | Parker Hageman | Nick Nelson | |
| Francisco Liriano | 19 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| Carl Pavano | 17 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Brian Duensing | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Jesse Crain | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Kevin Slowey | 2 | 1 | 1 | ||
| Jon Rauch | 1 | 1 | |||
| Nick Blackburn | 1 | 1 |
|
|
Total Points
|
Seth Stohs
|
Parker Hageman
|
Nick Nelson
|
Phil Mackey
|
Andrew Bryz-Gornia
|
Topper Anton
|
Phil Miller
|
Dan Wade
|
Anthony Maggio
|
Paul Allen
|
Andrew Kneeland
|
Shawn Berg
|
Kirsten Brown
|
Josh Johnson
|
Eric Johnson
|
Eric Olson
|
John Bonnes
|
Dan Hammer
|
John Meyer
|
Cody Christie
|
Judd Spicer
|
Howard Sinker
|
Betsy Bitsen
|
|
Francisco Liriano
|
106
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
2
|
|
Carl Pavano
|
93
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
2
|
2
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
4
|
|
Brian Duensing
|
66
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
4
|
4
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
5
|
|
Jesse Crain
|
51
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
2
|
|
1
|
2
|
2
|
2
|
4
|
2
|
3
|
2
|
2
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
|
Scott Baker
|
7
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
2
|
3
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jon Rauch
|
7
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
Kevin Slowey
|
7
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
2
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matt Guerrier
|
4
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
Nick Blackburn
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matt Capps
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Brian Fuentes
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
| Total Points | Seth Stohs | John Bonnes | Parker Hageman | Nick Nelson | |
| Danny Valencia | 20 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Alex Burnett | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | |
| Drew Butera | 6 | 3 | 3 | ||
| Matt Fox | 1 | 1 | |||
| Jeff Manship | 1 | 1 | |||
| Trevor Plouffe | 1 | 1 |
|
|
Total Points
|
Seth Stohs
|
John Bonnes
|
Parker Hageman
|
Nick Nelson
|
Doogie Wolfson
|
Phil Mackey
|
Andrew Bryz-Gornia
|
Topper Anton
|
Dan Hammer
|
Anthony Maggio
|
Paul Allen
|
Betsy Bissen
|
John Meyer
|
Judd Spicer
|
Andrew Kneeland
|
Shawn Berg
|
Kirsten Brown
|
Cody Christie
|
Josh Johnson
|
Eric Johnson
|
Eric Olson
|
Howard Sinker
|
Phil Miller
|
Dan Wade
|
|
Danny Valencia
|
120
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
5
|
|
Drew Butera
|
32
|
3
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
3
|
3
|
|
1
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
3
|
3
|
3
|
|
1
|
|
3
|
3
|
|
|
Alex Burnett
|
18
|
1
|
|
3
|
3
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
3
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
Matt Fox
|
14
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
3
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
1
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
Jeff Manship
|
6
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
3
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Wilson Ramos
|
5
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
3
|
|
Luke Hughes
|
2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
Trevor Plouffe
|
1
|
|
|
1
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
_______________________________________
The whole sports world was aflutter yesterday after reports arose that Brett Favre has been informing his teammates that he won't be returning for this season. It's yet another chapter in a seemingly endless drama, but I'm confident that when it's all said and done, Favre will be starting for the Vikings against the Saints in their season opener.
The matter that is weighing on my mind is a far more ominous and immediate concern, and that's the continued absence of Justin Morneau from the Twins' lineup. The slugging first baseman sustained a concussion in early July against the Blue Jays, and a month later his return to the lineup still is not in sight.
Morneau was a human wrecking ball over the first three months of the season, posting a stellar .345/.437/.618 hitting line to go along with 18 home runs and 56 RBI. While the Twins offense slumped at times early in the season, Morneau did not, as he kept on pounding the ball while looking more comfortable and disciplined at the plate than ever before. It seemed as though this might finally be the year that Morneau kept on hitting through the end of the campaign and clearly established himself as the American League's most dangerous offensive first baseman.
Then, on that July 7 game in Toronto, Morneau suffered a seemingly innocuous injury when he hit his head against the knee of Blue Jays shortstop Alex Gonzalez while trying to break up a double play. The woozy Morneau initially expected only to miss a couple games, but days have stretched to weeks and those weeks have now stretched to a month. How much longer will it be? No one seems to know, but one can't help but be alarmed at today's report via MLB.com that Morneau "was not feeling as good Monday as he did Sunday following a light workout back in Minneapolis."
This tells us that Morneau is not particularly close to returning, perhaps confirming a report by USA Today's Bob Nightengale from a couple days ago that the first baseman is "still likely weeks away from returning."
Concussions are the most tricky of injuries. They can confound even the most respected of physicians, and there is generally no treatment capable of curing the effects of the injury. Either Morneau's headaches will go away with rest or they won't, but either way it's something that will largely have to happen on its own.
In seeing Morneau's post-concussion effects continue to linger on, one can't help but be reminded of another former Canadian Twins slugger, Corey Koskie. After spending several outstanding (and, in my opinion, often underrated) seasons in a Twins' uniform, Koskie signed with the Blue Jays following the 2004 campaign. After the '05 season, the Jays traded Koskie to Milwaukee, where he sustained his fateful concussion in a July game against the Reds.
At first glance, Koskie's injury was as minor as Morneau's. Patrick Reusse recounted the situation in a 2007 Star Tribune column:
Koskie was chasing a looping fly ball that day in Miller Park. "My only chance to catch it was to put my head down and run to the spot," he said. "When I got there and looked, the ball was behind me. So, I bent back and reached, caught the ball, and hit the ground."
Koskie crashed onto his back. His head didn't clearly slam to the ground, but his neck whiplashed. The ball popped from his glove and Bill Hall caught it for the half-inning's final out.
"I thought I was OK, but when I went up to hit, the pitcher was out there somewhere ... like he was behind a TV screen," Koskie said. "I felt nauseous. I was woozy. I slapped at a couple of pitches and fouled them. I got to a 3-2 count and remember thinking, 'What happens if I draw a walk here and have to run the bases? I won't be able to do it.'
"As it turned out, I struck out. And when I got the dugout, I told the trainer, 'This isn't going to work,' and left the game. I assumed I would be back in the lineup the next day."
But he wasn't. In fact, that ended up being the last regular-season major-league game that Koskie would ever play in. At the age of 33, the third baseman's career as a baseball player was effectively done. But the effects of the injury stretched far beyond Koskie's career. For years after the concussion, he regularly dealt with headaches and nausea. I recall reading stories suggesting that at times Koskie couldn't even manage to play with his young children. The story was heartbreaking.
Now, plenty of other baseball players have experienced concussions and bounced back without issue. In fact, Morneau himself took a pretty nasty hit to the head early in the 2005 season, and it's now a distant and oft-forgotten memory. But post-concussion syndrome is very real and as Koskie's situation proved the effects can be long-lasting and extremely serious.
Baseball is a secondary concern for Morneau right now, but it's going to be a real shame if the Twins are forced to play through the final months of the season without him for a second straight year. When he was healthy, his bat was easily the best in the lineup. Being without Morneau's outstanding (and expensive) bat for the remainder of the season would be devastating. I don't even want to think about the complications that could arise if the issues stretch beyond September.
Hopefully, Morneau can eventually put this injury behind him return to the lineup at full strength down the stretch. The Twins will need him.
But, however long the recovery takes, please (PLEASE) don't accuse the Twins' first baseman of being "soft." Concussions are nasty business.
How was your Target Field Opening Day? What did you do? Did you go to the game? Did you play hookie from work or school to watch? I would love to hear your thoughts and observations on what will be a day that Twins fans will remember for years to come. To get things started, here are my observations:
My Monday morning started just like every other Monday morning. I didn't want to wake up, didn't want to open my eyes, just didn't want to do much of anything, but I finally gave in. What causes me to grudgingly roll out of bed? The reminder that Fox Sports North was beginning their live coverage bright and early. I wore a Twins pullover. I dressed my three year old daughter in her Francisco Liriano jersey and took her to daycare. Once I got to work, I tried really, really hard to focus throughout the morning, and I was actually quite successful. But my first observation of the day, as it relates to baseball, was that I needed to take in not only the game, but the pregame festivities. When asked, I said that the historical side of this game made it work taking a few hours off. So that's just what I did. I left work and went home. Here are more observations that I made, and again, I would love to read any others that you had from the day, especially if you were there in person:
Finally, condolences to John Gordon and his family on the loss of his 95-year old mother. Somehow Gordon was still able to call the game today.
What are your observations from Target Field's Opener? I would love to hear any an all thoughts whether you watched from home, listened on the radio or were at the game.
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