This is Amelia Rayno's third season on the Gophers men's basketball beat. She learned college basketball in North Carolina (Go Tar Heels!), where fanhood is not an option. In 2010, she joined the Star Tribune after graduating from Boston's Emerson College, which sadly had no exciting D-I college hoops to latch onto. Amelia has also worked on the sports desk at the Boston Globe and interned at the Detroit News.

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By the laws of probability, where the Gophers stand.

Posted by: Amelia Rayno under College basketball, Gophers players Updated: February 15, 2012 - 1:37 PM

 

Do the Gophers get in? If so, where will they fall?

Do the Gophers get in? If so, where will they fall?

 

After Tuesday night's loss to Ohio State, it’s interesting to look at the numbers. Where, realistically, do the Gophers stand? One web site has answers.

Here, playoffstatus.com looks at the probability of where each Big Ten team could finish in the conference based on continually updated data. 

Statistically, of course, the Gophers have played themselves out of any possibility of first place and would only finish second, third or fourth in less than 1 percent of possibilities. At this moment, according to this site, they’re most likely to finish 10th in the league, in 28 percent of possible scenarios.

Playoffstatus.com goes on to say that the Gophers have a 3 percent chance to win the Big Ten tournament, and while there is a 53 percent chance they’ll win their first game, there’s just a 19 percent chance they’ll make it past the second round.

As far as seeding in the NCAA tournament, the Gophers, according to this site are most likely a 12-seed if they make the Big Dance, but there’s a 52 percent chance they miss the tournament altogether.


** I thought these numbers were interesting and wanted to share them. As I cannot verify exactly how this site calculates their percentages, I can’t guarantee their accuracy.
 

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