Chris Jaffe over at The Hardball Times has had a pretty good run of success predicting the vote totals in recent elections into the baseball Hall of Fame. He says Roberto Alomar well get in with 87 percent of the vote (75 is the benchmark for election). More importantly locally, Jaffe has former Twins pitcher Bert Blyleven getting in pretty comfortably at 80 percent of the vote. While most people have generally assumed Blyleven's election would happen, Jaffe's methodology firms up that assumption. Of both Alomar and Blyleven (and their totals last year) he says:
More importantly, Roberto Alomar and Bert Blyleven both broke 70 percent. The odds on both making it are now overwhelmingly strong. To deny either would fly in the face of all precedent.
Here are last year's numbers and this year's predicted numbers for several key players.
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