Michael Rand started RandBall with hopes that he could convince the world to love jumpsuits as much as he does. So far, he's only succeeded in using the word "redacted" a lot. He welcomes suggestions, news tips, links of pure genius, and pictures of pets in Halloween costumes here, though he already knows he will regret that last part.

Follow Randball on Twitter

Monday (The complicated questions of a Glen Perkins trade) edition: Wha' Happened?

Posted by: Michael Rand under Professional baseball, Twins fans Updated: July 15, 2013 - 3:54 PM

 

Glen Perkins in younger, less-complicated times

Glen Perkins in younger, less-complicated times

The Twins are 13.5 games back in the wild card chase 12 games back in the AL Central race at the All Star break, and that latter gap figures to widen considerably once Detroit becomes truly interested in the 2013 regular season. These last few weeks -- two nice wins going into the break against the Yankees notwithstanding -- have reinforced what we all probably knew in our heart of hearts as soon as pitchers and catchers reported to spring training: the Twins, once again, will be sellers instead of buyers at the upcoming trade deadline.

 

For a while, much of the discussion centered on Josh Willingham and whether he would be good trade bait. Again, unfortunately, the Twins have missed on whatever chance there was to sell high on The Hammer. He is injured now, a season after his best in the majors, and it's a lingering kind of thing that makes his 2013 productivity far more questionable. Hence, his trade value is down even though his contract is still fairly friendly. Justin Morneau's name has been brought up often, as the once-MVP is entering the final year of a big-time deal that has fizzled in the back half of it because of his devastating 2010 concussion. Dirty secret: Morneau has rebounded somewhat from 2011, but his numbers in 2013 are actually worse than 2012 (RBI total notwithstanding). His OBP and slugging percentages are both lower than a year ago. Translation: He wouldn't fetch much in a trade even if there was a willing partner.

Indeed, if the Twins are going to be active sellers, they are probably going to have to swallow hard on some tough choices. Joe Mauer is probably out of the question because of his contract ($$ and no-trade clause). Their young outfielders and prospects should be off the table. Maybe someone would be interested in Mike Pelfrey or Kevin Correia, but the yield, again, would likely be minimal.

If they are serious about getting value, they have to give up value from their most solid area: the bullpen. And the biggest asset they have there is also a homegrown talent who has become one of the most popular players on the team.

Glen Perkins is a 2013 All-Star. This is his third consecutive season of very effective relief work in late-game situations. He gets strikeouts, his ERA is under 2, and his contract -- $3.75 million per year in 2014 and 2015 with a 2016 team option at $4.5 million -- affords Perk and his family a very nice life but is also considered very friendly by modern proven closer standards.

The market for pitchers tends to be good at the deadline (as opposed to position players, who tend to get moved more in the offseason). Granted, it was Bill Smith on the other end of the deal in 2010, but if Matt Capps is worth Wilson Ramos, a more dominant, money-friendly Perkins has to be worth even more -- maybe a high-level prospect in Class A/AA and a pretty good young player who is ready or close to ready for the bigs.

Having a very good closer on a 90-loss team doesn't make a ton of sense. Sentimentally and in terms of fan relations, however, trading a Minnesota native and one of the team's top players might be tugging at the Twins' brass. But if the Twins think they have another reliever who can be a closer -- much how Perkins evolved into that role -- and they think trading him can make them better in the long run, it's hard to let sentimentality stand in the way.

We're not sure how it will go, but we do know it will be an interesting next couple of weeks.

ADVERTISEMENT

Los Angeles - WP: C. Kershaw 14 FINAL
Chicago Cubs - LP: E. Jackson 5
Boston 0 Bottom 3rd Inning
Baltimore 0
Milwaukee 1 Bottom 3rd Inning
Pittsburgh 0
Toronto 2 Top 3rd Inning
NY Yankees 1
Washington 2 Top 3rd Inning
Miami 1
Chicago WSox 0 Bottom 2nd Inning
Tampa Bay 2
NY Mets 0 Bottom 1st Inning
Atlanta 0
Cleveland - T. Bauer 7:10 PM
Minnesota - P. Hughes
Detroit - J. Verlander 7:10 PM
Kansas City - J. Vargas
Seattle - T. Walker 7:10 PM
Houston - B. Peacock
Arizona - C. Anderson 7:10 PM
Colorado - J. Lyles
Cincinnati - D. Holmberg 7:15 PM
St. Louis - J. Lackey
Philadelphia - D. Buchanan 8:35 PM
Oakland - J. Lester
Texas - L. Bonilla 9:05 PM
LA Angels - H. Santiago
San Francisco - T. Hudson 9:10 PM
San Diego - O. Despaigne
San Diego 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Buffalo
Dallas 9/21/14 12:00 PM
St. Louis
Washington 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Philadelphia
Houston 9/21/14 12:00 PM
NY Giants
Minnesota 9/21/14 12:00 PM
New Orleans
Tennessee 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Cincinnati
Baltimore 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Cleveland
Green Bay 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Detroit
Indianapolis 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Jacksonville
Oakland 9/21/14 12:00 PM
New England
San Francisco 9/21/14 3:05 PM
Arizona
Denver 9/21/14 3:25 PM
Seattle
Kansas City 9/21/14 3:25 PM
Miami
Pittsburgh 9/21/14 7:30 PM
Carolina
Chicago 9/22/14 7:30 PM
NY Jets
NY Giants 9/25/14 7:25 PM
Washington
(5) Auburn 20 FINAL
(20) Kansas State 14
Connecticut 7:00 PM
So Florida
Old Dominion 9/20/14 11:00 AM
Rice
Troy 9/20/14 11:00 AM
(13) Georgia
Georgia Tech 9/20/14 11:00 AM
Virginia Tech
Eastern Mich 9/20/14 11:00 AM
(11) Michigan State
Iowa 9/20/14 11:00 AM
Pittsburgh
Bowling Green 9/20/14 11:00 AM
(19) Wisconsin
Maryland 9/20/14 11:30 AM
Syracuse
Tulane 9/20/14 11:30 AM
Duke
Hawaii 9/20/14 1:00 PM
Colorado
Marshall 9/20/14 1:00 PM
Akron
North Carolina 9/20/14 2:30 PM
East Carolina
Army 9/20/14 2:30 PM
Wake Forest
Virginia 9/20/14 2:30 PM
(21) BYU
(6) Texas A&M 9/20/14 2:30 PM
SMU
Rutgers 9/20/14 2:30 PM
Navy
Central Mich 9/20/14 2:30 PM
Kansas
Utah 9/20/14 2:30 PM
Michigan
Florida 9/20/14 2:30 PM
(3) Alabama
Louisville 9/20/14 2:30 PM
FIU
Fla Atlantic 9/20/14 3:00 PM
Wyoming
Indiana 9/20/14 3:00 PM
(18) Missouri
San Jose St 9/20/14 3:00 PM
Minnesota
Texas State 9/20/14 3:00 PM
Illinois
Massachusetts 9/20/14 3:00 PM
Penn State
Georgia State 9/20/14 5:00 PM
Washington
Appalachian St 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Southern Miss
Miss State 9/20/14 6:00 PM
(8) LSU
Northern Ill 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Arkansas
Middle Tennessee 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Memphis
Utah State 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Arkansas State
Miami-Ohio 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Cincinnati
Idaho 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Ohio U
Ball State 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Toledo
(14) So Carolina 9/20/14 6:30 PM
Vanderbilt
(4) Oklahoma 9/20/14 6:30 PM
West Virginia
Ga Southern 9/20/14 6:30 PM
South Alabama
UNLV 9/20/14 7:00 PM
Houston
(22) Clemson 9/20/14 7:00 PM
(1) Florida State
Miami-Florida 9/20/14 7:00 PM
(24) Nebraska
New Mexico 9/20/14 7:00 PM
New Mexico St
California 9/20/14 9:00 PM
Arizona
Louisiana 9/20/14 9:30 PM
Boise State
(2) Oregon 9/20/14 9:30 PM
Washington St
San Diego St 9/20/14 9:30 PM
Oregon State
Texas Tech 9/25/14 6:30 PM
(25) Oklahoma State
Appalachian St 9/25/14 6:30 PM
Ga Southern
(12) UCLA 9/25/14 9:00 PM
(15) Arizona State
Middle Tennessee 9/26/14 7:00 PM
Old Dominion
Fresno State 9/26/14 7:00 PM
New Mexico
(1) Florida State 9/27/14 2:00 AM
NC State
Duke 9/27/14 2:00 AM
Miami-Florida
North Carolina 9/27/14 2:00 AM
(22) Clemson
Colorado 9:00 PM
Real Salt Lake
Toronto 9:00 PM
Brt Columbia
Edmonton 9/20/14 6:00 PM
Hamilton
Calgary 9/21/14 12:00 PM
Montreal
Ottawa 9/21/14 3:00 PM
Saskatchewan
Montreal 9/26/14 6:00 PM
Ottawa
Saskatchewan 9/26/14 9:00 PM
Edmonton
Hamilton 9/27/14 5:30 PM
Winnipeg
Brt Columbia 9/27/14 8:30 PM
Calgary

ADVERTISEMENT

Advertisement
Golden Gavel by Star Tribune

Countdown to great deals

Bid Sept. 21-29

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

ADVERTISEMENT

question of the day

Poll: How will the Vikings and Gophers do this weekend?

Weekly Question

ADVERTISEMENT

Connect with twitterConnect with facebookConnect with Google+Connect with PinterestConnect with PinterestConnect with RssfeedConnect with email newsletters

ADVERTISEMENT