Johnny Love's Preakness picks

  • Updated: May 17, 2013 - 10:11 PM

I was asked a few times before the Kentucky Derby if I thought there was a chance a horse could win the Triple Crown since Affirmed last did it 35 years ago. Orb was my one and only choice and now he has a legitimate shot going into the second phase after his strong performance in the slop at Churchill Downs two weeks ago. His dominating victory by 2½ lengths in the Derby — while pulling away — makes it hard for me to believe that any of his rivals coming out of that same race can reverse the outcome of today’s race. The new shooters Orb will face today are entitled to move forward but still rank well below the favorite. I’ll be keying Orb in my exotic tickets while using some major players beneath him. Payoffs in the Preakness are not as attractive as they are in the Derby but still can pay handsomely. Over the past 15 years, the Exacta and Trifecta payouts are well above average.

ORB The nervous whispers started as soon as Orb was assigned the rail position for Saturday’s race. Folks, this is not a problem for him. He won the Fountain Of Youth Stakes starting from the rail with the same amount of runners as today’s race. He will sit closer to the pack but I expect jockey Joel Rosario to sit dead last before picking his rivals off one-by-one. Orb trained wonderfully this week. Trainer Shug McGaughey called it “breathtaking” and also said Orb was more impressive than the workout before the Derby.

DEPARTING Coming off the Illinois Derby victory by 3¼ lengths in closing fashion, Departing, when circling the field, is the most logical new threat to Orb. This well-rested 3-year-old has won four of five starts with his only loss in the Louisiana Derby finishing behind Revolutionary and Mylute. A concern would be that it was not the toughest of fields in Departing’s last victory in the Illinois Derby.

MYLUTE Another closer who finished fifth in the Derby, losing by 4 lengths after running into some minor traffic problems. I do like the fact that he seems to be improving each race and has been training well. Will have to make his closing kick sooner running a 1/16 of a mile shorter today but won’t have the congestion with the smaller field.

WILL TAKE CHARGE No runner had a worse trip in the Derby than Will Take Charge, who practically came to a traffic stop running alongside Orb in closing but was still able to finish eighth. Better trip puts him in the mix for Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas who last won this race in 1999 with Charismatic. Should get a nice price.

ITSMYLUCKYDAY

If I had to choose one runner who could rebound with a better performance it would have to be ITSMYLUCKYDAY, who finished 15th in the Derby. I’m hoping he didn’t like the slop and that the race didn’t take too much out of him. Should be near the front pressing the pace but will have to get out quickly coming from the outside post or he could end up running wide in the first turn.

My Tickets

$2 Trifecta (1 with 4,5,7,9 with All)

$1 Trifecta (1 with All with 4,5,7,9)

$4 Exacta (1 with 4,5,7,9)

Total Bets $100

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NY Yankees - LP: M. Pineda 0 FINAL
Toronto - WP: D. Hutchison 2
Detroit - LP: M. Scherzer 3 FINAL
Chicago WSox - WP: C. Sale 6
Chicago Cubs 5 Top 7th Inning
St. Louis 1
Cincinnati 0 Bottom 1st Inning
Pittsburgh 0
Minnesota - K. Gibson 6:05 PM
Baltimore - C. Tillman
Philadelphia - J. Williams 6:10 PM
NY Mets - B. Colon
Miami - J. Cosart 6:10 PM
Atlanta - A. Harang
Boston - A. Webster 6:10 PM
Tampa Bay - J. Odorizzi
Cleveland - T. Bauer 6:10 PM
Kansas City - J. Shields
Detroit - K. Ryan 6:10 PM
Chicago WSox - C. Bassitt
Texas - R. Ross Jr. 6:10 PM
Houston - S. Feldman
Colorado - T. Matzek 7:10 PM
Arizona - V. Nuno
Chicago Cubs - T. Wada 7:15 PM
St. Louis - M. Gonzales
Los Angeles - Z. Greinke 7:40 PM
San Diego - I. Kennedy
Milwaukee - M. Fiers 8:05 PM
San Francisco - J. Peavy
Oakland - J. Samardzija 8:05 PM
LA Angels - C. Rasmus
Washington - S. Strasburg 8:10 PM
Seattle - R. Elias
Green Bay 9/4/14 7:30 PM
Seattle
BYU 35 FINAL
Connecticut 10
(6) Jacksonville St 7 FINAL
(8) Michigan State 45
Bowling Green 31 FINAL
Western Ky 59
TX-San Antonio 27 FINAL
Houston 7
Colorado State 31 FINAL
Colorado 17
UNLV 13 FINAL
Arizona 58
Penn State 26 FINAL
UCF 24
Troy 10 FINAL
UAB 48
(7) UCLA 28 FINAL
Virginia 20
Western Mich 34 FINAL
Purdue 43
(5) Ohio State 34 FINAL
Navy 17
Appalachian St 14 FINAL
Michigan 52
Ga Southern 23 FINAL
NC State 24
Boston College 6 2nd Qtr 2:14
Massachusetts 0
West Virginia 3 1st Qtr 1:49
(2) Alabama 3
Rice 7 1st Qtr 2:13
(17) Notre Dame 7
(10) South Dakota St 7 1st Qtr 4:44
(24) Missouri 21
Fla Atlantic 7 1st Qtr 1:34
(22) Nebraska 7
California 14 1st Qtr 0:03
Northwestern 0
Marshall 14 1st Qtr 1:51
Miami-Ohio 0
UC Davis 0 1st Qtr 12:07
(11) Stanford 7
Arkansas 0 1st Qtr 9:58
(6) Auburn 7
(16) Clemson 4:30 PM
(12) Georgia
Liberty 5:00 PM
(23) North Carolina
Ohio U 5:00 PM
Kent State
Louisiana Tech 6:00 PM
(4) Oklahoma
Idaho 6:00 PM
Florida
Stephen F Austin 6:10 PM
(20) Kansas State
Fresno State 6:30 PM
(15) USC
Southern Miss 6:30 PM
Miss State
Texas-El Paso 7:00 PM
New Mexico
North Texas 7:00 PM
Texas
(1) Florida State 7:00 PM
Oklahoma State
(14) Wisconsin 8:00 PM
(13) LSU
South Dakota 9:30 PM
(3) Oregon
(25) Washington 9:30 PM
Hawaii
Utah State 8/31/14 6:00 PM
Tennessee
SMU 8/31/14 6:30 PM
(10) Baylor
Miami-Florida 9/1/14 7:00 PM
Louisville
Arizona 9/4/14 7:00 PM
TX-San Antonio
Pittsburgh 9/5/14 6:00 PM
Boston College
Washington St 9/5/14 9:30 PM
Nevada
SMU 9/6/14 11:00 AM
North Texas
Fla Atlantic 9/6/14 11:00 AM
(2) Alabama
Buffalo 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Army
(24) Missouri 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Toledo
Arkansas State 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Tennessee
(8) McNeese State 9/6/14 11:00 AM
(22) Nebraska
Central Mich 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Purdue
Akron 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Penn State
Western Ill 9/6/14 11:00 AM
(14) Wisconsin
(20) Kansas State 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Iowa State
(4) Oklahoma 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Tulsa
Western Ky 9/6/14 11:00 AM
Illinois
SC State 9/6/14 11:30 AM
(16) Clemson
Navy 9/6/14 12:00 PM
Temple
UAB 9/6/14 1:00 PM
Miss State
South Alabama 9/6/14 1:00 PM
Kent State
New Mexico St 9/6/14 1:00 PM
Georgia State
Colorado 9/6/14 2:00 PM
Massachusetts
Fresno State 9/6/14 2:00 PM
Utah
(1) Eastern Wash 9/6/14 2:00 PM
(25) Washington
(15) USC 9/6/14 2:30 PM
(11) Stanford
Ohio U 9/6/14 2:30 PM
Kentucky
Middle Tennessee 9/6/14 2:30 PM
Minnesota
Northern Ill 9/6/14 2:30 PM
Northwestern
Missouri State 9/6/14 2:30 PM
Oklahoma State
Ball State 9/6/14 2:30 PM
Iowa
Maryland 9/6/14 2:30 PM
So Florida
Eastern Mich 9/6/14 3:00 PM
Florida
Georgia Tech 9/6/14 3:00 PM
Tulane
(18) Ole Miss 9/6/14 3:30 PM
Vanderbilt
Old Dominion 9/6/14 5:00 PM
NC State
(8) Michigan State 9/6/14 5:30 PM
(3) Oregon
(19) Arizona State 9/6/14 6:00 PM
New Mexico
Louisiana Tech 9/6/14 6:00 PM
Louisiana
San Jose St 9/6/14 6:00 PM
(6) Auburn
East Carolina 9/6/14 6:00 PM
(9) So Carolina
Duke 9/6/14 6:00 PM
Troy
Idaho 9/6/14 6:00 PM
ULM
(17) Sam Houston St 9/6/14 6:30 PM
(13) LSU
Michigan 9/6/14 6:30 PM
(17) Notre Dame
Lamar 9/6/14 6:30 PM
(21) Texas A&M
Northwestern St 9/6/14 6:30 PM
(10) Baylor
BYU 9/6/14 6:30 PM
Texas
Citadel 9/6/14 6:30 PM
(1) Florida State
San Diego St 9/6/14 7:00 PM
(23) North Carolina
Virginia Tech 9/6/14 7:00 PM
(5) Ohio State
Memphis 9/6/14 9:00 PM
(7) UCLA
Colorado State 9/6/14 9:15 PM
Boise State
Air Force 9/6/14 9:15 PM
Wyoming
Oregon State 9/6/14 9:30 PM
Hawaii
Texas Tech 9/6/14 10:00 PM
Texas-El Paso
Colorado 0 1st Half 44:55
Seattle 0
New England 4:00 PM
Toronto FC
Columbus 6:30 PM
Montreal
FC Dallas 7:30 PM
Chicago
Real Salt Lake 9:30 PM
San Jose
Portland 9:30 PM
Vancouver FC
Ottawa 10 FINAL
Montreal 20
Winnipeg 8/31/14 3:00 PM
Saskatchewan
Toronto 9/1/14 12:00 PM
Hamilton
Edmonton 9/1/14 3:30 PM
Calgary
Brt Columbia 9/5/14 6:30 PM
Ottawa
Calgary 9/6/14 6:00 PM
Edmonton
Hamilton 9/7/14 12:00 PM
Montreal
Saskatchewan 9/7/14 3:00 PM
Winnipeg
Chicago 6:00 PM
Indiana

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