Johnny Love's Preakness picks

  • Updated: May 17, 2013 - 10:11 PM

I was asked a few times before the Kentucky Derby if I thought there was a chance a horse could win the Triple Crown since Affirmed last did it 35 years ago. Orb was my one and only choice and now he has a legitimate shot going into the second phase after his strong performance in the slop at Churchill Downs two weeks ago. His dominating victory by 2½ lengths in the Derby — while pulling away — makes it hard for me to believe that any of his rivals coming out of that same race can reverse the outcome of today’s race. The new shooters Orb will face today are entitled to move forward but still rank well below the favorite. I’ll be keying Orb in my exotic tickets while using some major players beneath him. Payoffs in the Preakness are not as attractive as they are in the Derby but still can pay handsomely. Over the past 15 years, the Exacta and Trifecta payouts are well above average.

ORB The nervous whispers started as soon as Orb was assigned the rail position for Saturday’s race. Folks, this is not a problem for him. He won the Fountain Of Youth Stakes starting from the rail with the same amount of runners as today’s race. He will sit closer to the pack but I expect jockey Joel Rosario to sit dead last before picking his rivals off one-by-one. Orb trained wonderfully this week. Trainer Shug McGaughey called it “breathtaking” and also said Orb was more impressive than the workout before the Derby.

DEPARTING Coming off the Illinois Derby victory by 3¼ lengths in closing fashion, Departing, when circling the field, is the most logical new threat to Orb. This well-rested 3-year-old has won four of five starts with his only loss in the Louisiana Derby finishing behind Revolutionary and Mylute. A concern would be that it was not the toughest of fields in Departing’s last victory in the Illinois Derby.

MYLUTE Another closer who finished fifth in the Derby, losing by 4 lengths after running into some minor traffic problems. I do like the fact that he seems to be improving each race and has been training well. Will have to make his closing kick sooner running a 1/16 of a mile shorter today but won’t have the congestion with the smaller field.

WILL TAKE CHARGE No runner had a worse trip in the Derby than Will Take Charge, who practically came to a traffic stop running alongside Orb in closing but was still able to finish eighth. Better trip puts him in the mix for Hall of Fame trainer D. Wayne Lukas who last won this race in 1999 with Charismatic. Should get a nice price.

ITSMYLUCKYDAY

If I had to choose one runner who could rebound with a better performance it would have to be ITSMYLUCKYDAY, who finished 15th in the Derby. I’m hoping he didn’t like the slop and that the race didn’t take too much out of him. Should be near the front pressing the pace but will have to get out quickly coming from the outside post or he could end up running wide in the first turn.

My Tickets

$2 Trifecta (1 with 4,5,7,9 with All)

$1 Trifecta (1 with All with 4,5,7,9)

$4 Exacta (1 with 4,5,7,9)

Total Bets $100

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Chicago 14 2nd Qtr 5:00
Detroit 10
Philadelphia 3:30 PM
Dallas
Seattle 7:30 PM
San Francisco
Cleveland 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Buffalo
Washington 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Indianapolis
Tennessee 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Houston
San Diego 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Baltimore
NY Giants 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Jacksonville
Cincinnati 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Tampa Bay
Oakland 11/30/14 12:00 PM
St. Louis
New Orleans 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Pittsburgh
Carolina 11/30/14 12:00 PM
Minnesota
Arizona 11/30/14 3:05 PM
Atlanta
New England 11/30/14 3:25 PM
Green Bay
Denver 11/30/14 7:30 PM
Kansas City
Miami 12/1/14 7:30 PM
NY Jets
Edmonton 7:00 PM
Nashville
ULM 54 2nd Half 2:27
Robert Morris 65
Santa Clara 38 2nd Half 6:34
Tennessee 50
Oklahoma 30 1st Half 4:34
Butler 14
Austin Peay 1:00 PM
Brown
Princeton 1:00 PM
Texas-El Paso
Coastal Carolina 1:30 PM
Chattanooga
Kansas 1:30 PM
Rhode Island
Wisconsin 2:30 PM
Georgetown
FIU 2:30 PM
USC Upstate
Long Island 3:00 PM
Stony Brook
San Diego 3:30 PM
Xavier
Illinois 4:00 PM
Indiana State
Western Ky 5:00 PM
Saint Josephs
Cal State Fullerton 5:00 PM
Wright State
Michigan State 5:30 PM
Rider
UCLA 6:00 PM
North Carolina
Marquette 7:30 PM
Georgia Tech
Long Beach State 7:30 PM
Western Mich
Stephen F Austin 8:00 PM
Prairie View
UAB 8:30 PM
Florida
Rice 8:30 PM
Mercer
San Jose St 10:00 PM
Washington
Washington St 10:59 PM
UC Santa Barbara
Baylor 10:59 PM
Memphis
Ohio U 24 FINAL
Miami-Ohio 21
LSU 6:30 PM
Texas A&M
(6) TCU 6:30 PM
Texas
Northern Ill 11/28/14 10:00 AM
Western Mich
Nebraska 11/28/14 11:00 AM
Iowa
Western Ky 11/28/14 11:00 AM
(19) Marshall
UCF 11/28/14 11:00 AM
So Florida
Houston 11/28/14 11:00 AM
SMU
Akron 11/28/14 12:00 PM
Kent State
Ball State 11/28/14 12:00 PM
Bowling Green
Buffalo 11/28/14 12:00 PM
Massachusetts
Toledo 11/28/14 12:00 PM
Eastern Mich
Arkansas 11/28/14 1:30 PM
(17) Missouri
Navy 11/28/14 2:00 PM
South Alabama
(13) Arizona State 11/28/14 2:30 PM
(12) Arizona
Stanford 11/28/14 2:30 PM
(9) UCLA
(21) Colorado State 11/28/14 2:30 PM
Air Force
Virginia 11/28/14 7:00 PM
Virginia Tech
East Carolina 11/28/14 7:30 PM
Tulsa
North Texas 11/29/14 11:00 AM
TX-San Antonio
Old Dominion 11/29/14 11:00 AM
Fla Atlantic
(16) Georgia Tech 11/29/14 11:00 AM
(8) Georgia
Kentucky 11/29/14 11:00 AM
(24) Louisville
So Carolina 11/29/14 11:00 AM
(23) Clemson
West Virginia 11/29/14 11:00 AM
Iowa State
Rice 11/29/14 11:00 AM
Louisiana Tech
Michigan 11/29/14 11:00 AM
(7) Ohio State
Purdue 11/29/14 11:00 AM
Indiana
Illinois 11/29/14 11:00 AM
Northwestern
Cincinnati 11/29/14 11:00 AM
Temple
NC State 11/29/14 11:30 AM
North Carolina
Syracuse 11/29/14 11:30 AM
Boston College
Louisiana 11/29/14 11:30 AM
Troy
Utah 11/29/14 12:00 PM
Colorado
Texas State 11/29/14 1:00 PM
Georgia State
Idaho 11/29/14 1:00 PM
Appalachian St
Wyoming 11/29/14 2:00 PM
New Mexico
New Mexico St 11/29/14 2:00 PM
Arkansas State
UAB 11/29/14 2:30 PM
Southern Miss
(4) Miss State 11/29/14 2:30 PM
(18) Ole Miss
Notre Dame 11/29/14 2:30 PM
USC
(10) Michigan State 11/29/14 2:30 PM
Penn State
(22) Minnesota 11/29/14 2:30 PM
(14) Wisconsin
(5) Baylor 11/29/14 2:30 PM
Texas Tech
Florida 11/29/14 2:30 PM
(1) Florida State
Rutgers 11/29/14 2:30 PM
Maryland
San Jose St 11/29/14 2:30 PM
San Diego St
Tennessee 11/29/14 3:00 PM
Vanderbilt
Kansas 11/29/14 3:00 PM
(11) Kansas State
Connecticut 11/29/14 3:00 PM
Memphis
BYU 11/29/14 3:30 PM
California
ULM 11/29/14 5:00 PM
Ga Southern
Middle Tennessee 11/29/14 6:00 PM
Texas-El Paso
Hawaii 11/29/14 6:00 PM
Fresno State
Wake Forest 11/29/14 6:00 PM
Duke
Pittsburgh 11/29/14 6:00 PM
Miami-Florida
(15) Auburn 11/29/14 6:45 PM
(2) Alabama
(3) Oregon 11/29/14 7:00 PM
Oregon State
Utah State 11/29/14 9:15 PM
(25) Boise State
Washington 11/29/14 9:30 PM
Washington St
Nevada 11/29/14 9:30 PM
UNLV
Hamilton 11/30/14 5:00 PM
Calgary
Hartford 25 2nd Half
Furman 27
Clemson 20 1st Half 7:28
Ohio State 28
Idaho State 1:00 PM
San Diego State
East Carolina 1:00 PM
(22) Syracuse
Santa Clara 2:30 PM
Texas-El Paso
Florida State 2:30 PM
Washington
Wichita State 2:30 PM
Fla Gulf Coast
Wisconsin 3:15 PM
(1) South Carolina
BYU 5:00 PM
BYU-Hawaii
Kansas State 5:00 PM
LSU
Charlotte 5:00 PM
Montana
Illinois 5:00 PM
(9) Kentucky
Central Michigan 7:00 PM
Richmond
Oklahoma 7:15 PM
South Florida
Princeton 7:30 PM
Wake Forest
(19) Oregon State 8:00 PM
Butler

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