Winter Weather Headlines
The Twin Cities Metro is under a Winter Weather Advisory until 12pm Sunday for the potential of 2" to 5". Winter Storm Warnings will continue until 12pm Sunday across southern Minnesota, where some 5" to 10" tallies can't be ruled out.
Weather Outlook For Sunday, December 2nd
High temps across the state on Sunday will be pretty close to normal for early December. Highs will range from the mid 20s across northern MN to the lower 30s across southeastern MN. Areas of snow will wrap up early Sunday, but will linger across far southeastern MN through about midday. 
Temperature Outlook
After a fairly mild weekend, temperatures will drop quite a bit through the first full week of December. Highs will only be in the 20s, which will be quite a bit below average. Friday looks like the coldest day with highs only in the teens.

"How To Tell If Your Symptoms Are The Flu Or Just A Cold"
"The flu and the common cold are nasty respiratory illnesses with some similar symptoms. Here’s how to tell the difference. In the winter literally everyone seems to be getting sick. Your coworker won’t stop coughing and your kid keeps coming home from school a snotty mess, and a box of tissues barely lasts you one day. Contrary to popular belief, cold weather does not make you sick — but respiratory viruses (namely, influenza) do tend to peak during the fall and winter. In the US, flu season typically lasts from October to March. However, a nasty case of sniffles and aches during the winter doesn’t always mean you have the flu. Often, it’s just a cold, which you can get any time of the year. The common cold and flu are both contagious respiratory illnesses that can make you feel miserable, but they are caused by different viruses. Some flu symptoms may mimic a cold, but the flu tends to be much more serious and deadly — so it’s important to know the difference between these two illnesses. Obviously, only a doctor can diagnose you, but knowing how to recognize symptoms is always helpful. So how can you tell if your symptoms mean you have a cold or the flu, and what is the best treatment? We spoke to Dr. Tania Elliott, an allergist and immunologist at NYU Langone Health in New York City, to find out."
Cold and Flu Forecast - Minneapolis
According to, the Cold and Flu forecast through early next week suggests that we will be running and medium to medium-high levels. 
"14 Ways to Avoid Colds and Flu"
"Are you avoiding your co-worker with that hacking cough, cold, or flu in the cubicle next to you? Do you draw your hand back from every doorknob? Have cold-and-flu phobia? Get a grip before the grippe gets you. Weve consulted dozens of medical experts to bring you 14 ways to avoid colds and flu this season. Every time you shake someones hand, wash yours: But dont stop there. Wash them as much as possible, says Mark Mengel, MD, chair of community and family medicine at Saint Louis University School of Medicine. Running lots of water over your hands will dilute any germs and send them down the drain. Keep your hands off: Touching your nose and your eyes may hurt you, Mengel says. Those are the most common places for germs to get in."
"Ice rescue prompts angler safety warning"
"Despite high winds, thin ice and wide swaths of open water, a handful of anglers decided to try their luck on Upper Red Lake Saturday afternoon. When two of those anglers didn't come home, search teams scoured the lake. According to the Red Lake Police Department, the anglers were found after midnight, stranded on a chunk of ice which had broken off and drifted out into open water. They were rescued safely and treated for hypothermia. These kind of rescues are pretty common on Upper Red Lake. It's a large, shallow body of water. That means it often freezes early, but the ice can be unstable. Waves build up quickly, cracking apart ice sheets, sometimes with anglers onboard. In 2015, 50 anglers had to be rescued. But this year's rescue is earlier than usual. DNR recreation safety coordinator Lisa Dugan, sees it as a cautionary tale. "Some lakes may have frozen early," she said. "But with temperatures in the 40s coming up this week, it might not be safe." She recommends anglers stay off the ice until it's at least 4 inches thick, and head for land if it seems unstable at all."
Recent Cold Weather Making Ice on Area Lakes and Ponds
Ok folks - I know there A LOT of eager anglers excited that the recent cold blast has been making ice on area lakes and ponds, BUT please make sure you aren't putting yourself in danger on newly formed ice! The MN DNR has some basic guidelines on how thick the ice should be before you even think about stepping out onto the ice! Also remember that ice is NEVER 100% SAFE!
Winter Storm Wraps Up Early Sunday

The storm system responsible for areas of heavy snow across southern MN will wrap up early Sunday. Much colder air will settle in behind the storm as we head into the first full week of December.
Snow Lovers Have Something To Smile About
By Paul Douglas
I have a speech in Grand Forks, North Dakota - the heart of "Blizzard Alley" - in January. Bold or just plain stupid? I've said it before, the weather does its thing. We get in the way. Imagine how much more fun the snow would be if we didn't have to drive anywhere? At least the wise ones in our midst slow down in the snow.
A recent study, based on data from the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, showed that most weather-related crashes happen on wet pavement (73 percent) and when it rains (46 percent). Probably because people are driving too fast for conditions.
Take it easy out there this morning. Our snowy faucet shuts off, with flurries and little additional accumulation. Air temperatures near 30F may allow MnDOT to keep metro freeways wet/slushy, but southern counties of Minnesota will remain snow-clogged and treacherous in spots.
Whatever new snow is in your yard should stick around awhile. Highs hold mostly in the 20s this week, but I see signs of moderation by mid-December (more 30s, even 40F?)
The first hint of a milder, El Nino signal kicking in? Maybe.

Extended Forecast

SUNDAY: 2" to 5" totals. Flurries. Winds: N 15-25. High: 32.

SUNDAY NIGHT: A few flakes early, otherwise mostly cloudy. Winds: N 10-15. Low: 20.

MONDAY: More clouds than sun. Better travel. Winds: NW 8-13. High: 28. 

TUESDAY: Patchy clouds. Still quiet out there. Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 15. High: 29.

WEDNESDAY: Sunny peeks. Happy commuters. Winds: W 8-13. Wake-up: 17. High: 31.

THURSDAY: Weak clipper. Few flakes. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 14. High: 23.

FRIDAY: Partly sunny and brisk. Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 7. High: 27.

SATURDAY: A few clouds. Storm-free. Winds: SW 8-13. Wake-up: 12. High: 29.

This Day in Weather History
December 2nd

1985: Record low highs are set in north and east central Minnesota with temperatures ranging from the single digits below zero to the singles digits above. Alexandria was the cold spot with a high of 4 degrees Fahrenheit below zero. Other record low high temperatures included Redwood Falls with 3 below, Long Prairie with zero, and Litchfield and Little Falls with 5 degrees above zero.

1982: A record high of 63 degrees is set at the Twin Cities.

Average High/Low for Minneapolis
December 2nd

Average High: 32F (Record: 63F set in 1982)
Average Low: 17F (Record: -17F set in 1886)

Record Rainfall: 0.30" set in 1933
Record Snowfall: 2.7" set in 1978

Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
December 2nd

Sunrise: 7:32am
Sunset: 4:32pm

Hours of Daylight: ~9 hours & 1 minute

Daylight LOST since yesterday: ~1 minute & 28 seconds
Daylight LOST since summer solstice (June 21st): 6 hours and 22 Minutes

Moon Phase for December 2nd at Midnight
3.3 Days After Last Quarter Moon


What's in the Night Sky?

According to this is what will be visible in the night sky over the next several nights: 

"In the coming mornings – December 2, 3 and 4, 2018 – look eastward before sunrise for the moon and Venus. If your sky is clear, you can’t miss them! They’re always the brightest and second-brightest celestial bodies, respectively, to light up the night sky. Plus – around now – Venus is at its maximum brightness for this morning apparition, with its greatest illuminated extent falling around December 2. The moon and Venus are so bright and beautiful that you’ll easily spot them at morning dawn. And, if you’re willing to get up an hour or two before sunrise, you can also see the bright star Arcturus to the north (left) of the moon and Venus, and the star Spica close to Venus. If you peered at Venus through a telescope now, you’d find it in a waxing crescent phase. That’s because Venus passed between us and the sun on October 26, and its lighted half – or day side – is still facing mostly away from us. In early December 2018, meanwhile, the moon is waning, and the phase of the waning crescent moon and waxing crescent Venus are almost identical. Both worlds are now showing us disks that are about one-quarter (25%) illuminated by sunshine. If you have a telescope, remember … you’ll get a crisper view of Venus’ phase at dawn, when this brilliant world has climbed higher above your horizon and its glare has been reduced by the breaking day."

Northern Minnesota Phenology Report - November 20th, 2018
I've always been interested the outdoors and how the change of seasons impacts the birds, plants and animals. I did a little research and found this great weekly segment by John Latimer (Phenologist), who reports on KAXE Radio out of Grand Rapids, MN. Great stuff John - keep up the good work!!

National High Temps - Sunday, December 2nd
Take a look at temps across the southern and eastern US on Sunday and note that readings will be nearly 10F to 15F above average! Meanwhile temps across the western US will be nearly -5F to -10F below average

National Weather Outlook

A strong storm system will continue to wrap up over the Great Lakes region on Sunday with areas of heavy snow tapering by Monday. Meanwhile, areas of heavy rain and storms will continue across the southeastern part of the country, some of which could be strong to severe. In fact, NOAA's SPC has issued a slight risk of severe weather fromt the eastern part of the Carolinas to Georgia.

Rain And Snowfall Potential

Here's the rain and snowfall potential through 7pm Monday, which shows areas of heavy snow wrapping up across the Midwest, while areas of heavy rain will continue across the Southeastern US.

"We spend a lot of time thinking about the near-term future. Will AIs start a nuclear war by 2040? Will we live on a hothouse Earth by 2100? But what about the way, way distant future — what will Earth be like in, say, 200 million years? For one thing, the geology certainly won’t be the same. According to an international team of researchers, our planet is about 200 to 250 million years away from the formation of a new supercontinent — a giant land mass consisting of the seven continents we currently know and love — and they think they have a pretty good idea what it will look like."

"Destructive 2018 Atlantic hurricane season draws to an end"
"NOAA services before, during, after storms saved lives and aided recovery. The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season officially concludes on November 30, and will be remembered most for hurricanes Florence and Michael, which caused significant damage in the southeastern U.S. In total, the season produced 15 named storms, including eight hurricanes of which two were “major” (Category 3, 4 or 5). An average season has 12 named storms, six hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. “From the start of the 2018 hurricane season to its conclusion, NOAA and its dedicated staff of scientists, researchers, and forecasters have remained on the frontlines, saving countless American lives with critical and accurate data,” said U.S. Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. “Time and again NOAA and NOAA resources have proven their value to the American people during the most urgent of circumstances.”

"Here’s how the Anchorage earthquake happened"
"A 7.0-magnitude earthquake struck eight miles north of downtown Anchorage on Friday. Hitting in the midst of the morning commute, at 8:29 a.m. local time, the seismic slip unleashed a destructive forceequaling that contained in 3.9 billion pounds of TNT. With the underground focus of the tremor just 25 miles below the surface, damaging waves reached the Alaska city of nearly 300,000 less than 13 seconds after the initial rupture. Seismic waves rippled out across the globe in the minutes after the quake. Compiling seismic traces from hundreds of seismometers around the world yields a “record section” (illustrated below), showing different wave phases propagating throughout the earth. P, or primary waves, arrive first, traveling several miles per second. Then come the more damaging S, or secondary waves and, finally, jarring surface waves."

Thanks for checking in and don't forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX

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Paul Douglas: Expect 1-2" north metro, 3-5" south suburbs by Sunday

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Weekend Snow Totals - Cold And Fairly Quiet Week Ahead