Slight Severe Risk (greatest wind/hail potential southeastern Minnesota)
July 22, 2013 — 9:41am
Slight Severe Threat. NOAA SPC has expanded the "slight risk" of severe storms later today, extending from the U.P. of Michigan across most of Wisconsin, east central and southeastern Minnesota to Des Moines and Kansas City. The greatest potential for severe weather comes in the form of large hail and 60 mph straight-line winds.
4 PM Today. The high-res HRRR model shows a developing squall line over southeastern Minnesota by late afternoon. My sense is that the severe risk is (much) higher for Albert Lea, Rochester and Winona than the immediate Twin Cities, but the metro area my see a passing shower or T-storm closer to 2-3 PM. Stay tuned...
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We may see these conditions over southwestern Minnesota later today, where a Blizzard Watch has been posted. Get your travel done early from Alexandria and Willmar to Mankato; the drive home from that Super Bowl party may be pretty rough. Check the Blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
20s didn't feel too bad out there yesterday; today and Sunday (morning) should feel even better as temperatures flirt with freezing. Enjoy the attempted thaw, because a week from now temperatures may be dipping below zero. A couple of clippers are brewing; Sunday's swirl of low pressure will whip up 30-35 mph gusts capable of white-out conditions, especially Red River Valley and western Minnesota.
Another coating of snow is expected today as a weak clipper drifts overhead. It may be considerably more than a coating late Sunday into Monday as colder air approaches. A few inches of snow coupled with 30+ mph winds will whip up the snow already on the ground, resulting in poor travel conditions, especially outside the metro area. It does turn colder next week, but nothing brutal, considering it's February in Minnesota...
A few nuisance snows are on the way; one today, another coating to 1" possible tomorrow, maybe some blowing and drifting on Super Bowl Sunday as colder air approaches. Enjoy a fleeting weekend thaw, because February chill returns next week. Long-range models still hint at a Pacific thaw the latter half of February, but winter isn't nearly done with us yet.
I know, imagine that: it actually snowed like they said it would, in fact a little more than they said it would. Most spots in the metro wound up with 5-10", as much as a foot in Oakdale. Nice to see it can still snow in the Twin Cities. A slow AM commute gives way to a much better drive home later today; moderate temperatures into Super Bowl Sunday. And then next week we all get a rude reminder that it's still February.