Slight Severe Risk (greatest wind/hail potential southeastern Minnesota)
July 22, 2013 — 9:41am
Slight Severe Threat. NOAA SPC has expanded the "slight risk" of severe storms later today, extending from the U.P. of Michigan across most of Wisconsin, east central and southeastern Minnesota to Des Moines and Kansas City. The greatest potential for severe weather comes in the form of large hail and 60 mph straight-line winds.
4 PM Today. The high-res HRRR model shows a developing squall line over southeastern Minnesota by late afternoon. My sense is that the severe risk is (much) higher for Albert Lea, Rochester and Winona than the immediate Twin Cities, but the metro area my see a passing shower or T-storm closer to 2-3 PM. Stay tuned...
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A nagging pool of unusually cold air aloft may spark a few passing showers today and Friday; the best chance of a little rain across Wisconsin. The weekend looks sunny and dry with a warming trend; Monday may feature a long overdue preview of summer to come.
Those chin-deep drifts are finally shrinking, the birds are chirping, and spring may stick around this time. A higher sun angle is finally thawing out the atmosphere, and 60s will be the rule into next week, with 70s by Sunday - an outside shot at 80F next Monday. Relatively dry weather lingers into Monday, but a front forecast to stall just south of Minnesota may increase the chance of showers and even a few heavier T-storms next week.
Monday was a sight for sore eyes alright; 71F has never felt better...without the bugs and obligatory humidity of summer. Spring will actually stick around into next week; no hot spikes (yet), although 80F is possible next Monday with a rumble of thunder. Looks like we've turned a corner....
Spring has finally sprung here across the region, and Monday is going to be a picture perfect day with highs in the 60s and 70s. In fact, we're pulling out a term not used recently: above average! We do have some rain chances this week - when? Click for details! - D.J. Kayser
I predict that many grills will be smoking this afternoon and possibly again for dinner tomorrow as a few optimistic thermometers tickle 70 degrees late in the afternoon! We still need more warmth to knock out that lake ice. The Fishing Opener is only 3 weekends away and some lakes still have feet of ice up north! Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson