Severe Storm Potential Mainly Wisconsin. NWS Doppler radar at 5:01 PM shows heavy showers and T-storms over southeastern Minnesota, but the greatest severe risk (hail and damaging straight-line winds) is from Durand to Eau Claire to Tomah, Wisconsin, deeper into the hot, sticky, 70-degree dew point air. Radar shows light showers over the southeast metro, but I expect a gradual clearing trend metro-wide by 7 PM or so. Here is the latest warning (Wisconsin):
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
453 PM CDT WED AUG 21 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL DUNN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 530 PM CDT
* AT 449 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
MENOMONIE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MENOMONIE...MENOMONIE AP...HOFFMAN HILLS REC AREA AND ELK MOUND.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
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Friday was hard to love, weatherwise. Then again, November is the cloudiest, dreariest month of the year in Minnesota. A quiet weekend is shaping up with highs in the 30s; the best chance of a rare sunshine sighting on Sunday. 50F is not out of the question next Monday; again Friday of next week (Black Friday). Yes, I'll be power-shopping for a not-as-cold-front. Still no big storms brewing looking out 1-2 weeks.
No weather drama between now and the weekend after Thanksgiving, not close to home. Stormy weather is likely over the Pacific Northwest and New England, but a stubborn ridge of high pressure keeps us storm-free with a series of cold frontal passages giving way to a warming trend late next week. 1 in 3 Thanksgivings have an inch or more of snow on the ground. This will not be one of those Thanksgivings...
There wasn't much to like about Wednesday, with the gray skies, tumbling temperatures and howling winds. Other than that it was quite lovely, I guess. Winds ease up today and 40s will feel better than they should tomorrow. Next week may bring a few more relatively mild days, and if you believe NOAA's climate model for December next month may try to make up for this cold spell. We'll see...
Tuesday was murky and soggy with temperatures stuck in the 40s. A drying northwest breeze cools us off a bit today as the sun tries to punch a few holes in a stubborn cloud layer. I still don't see any big storms between now and Thanksgiving - some good news for travelers within about 500 miles of MSP.
No big storms of any flavor are brewing, just a little drizzle and light rain today as temperatures rise through the 40s - more showery rains Friday. No accumulating snow looking out 2 weeks, in fact ECMWF guidance hints at 40s, even a few 50s late next week, just in time for Thanksgiving festivities. December looks mild too...