Severe Storm Potential Mainly Wisconsin. NWS Doppler radar at 5:01 PM shows heavy showers and T-storms over southeastern Minnesota, but the greatest severe risk (hail and damaging straight-line winds) is from Durand to Eau Claire to Tomah, Wisconsin, deeper into the hot, sticky, 70-degree dew point air. Radar shows light showers over the southeast metro, but I expect a gradual clearing trend metro-wide by 7 PM or so. Here is the latest warning (Wisconsin):
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
453 PM CDT WED AUG 21 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL DUNN COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 530 PM CDT
* AT 449 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
MENOMONIE...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HAZARD...HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MENOMONIE...MENOMONIE AP...HOFFMAN HILLS REC AREA AND ELK MOUND.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
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No serious drama cooking on the maps, just an inch or two of fresh snow Sunday - plowable amounts over southwestern Minnesota. Another clipper whips up a coating Tuesday, but the big weather story is a jolt of Pacific air, warming us to 40F by Friday with a few rain showers possible - vague hints of what's to come. We end the month on a relatively mild note which should spill into March. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
I had an aunt who was utterly convinced that I worked in Indianapolis.I think she honestly believed all the "apolis" towns were really one. OK. Not a brain surgeon but she meant well. After a numbing start the long climb begins, a streak of 30s next week, even a couple days in the 40s late next week. More like March than February. We could still squeeze out a couple inches of snow on Sunday, but right now I can't get too excited about amounts; maybe 1-2" for the metro, more closer to the Iowa line.
The next 36 hours will be a blunt reminder that Minnesota still gets cold from time to time. But this winter has been milder than average, not even close to a couple years ago. Despite a subzero Saturday morning the forecast calls for a thaw next week; 40 degrees possible one week from today. El Nino is still hanging on. Will spring of 2016 be as severe as the last big (fading) El Nino in '98? I think we should probably be prepared for a more active spring severe season.
It's February in Minnesota. And you're annoyed that it's cold? That's a little like a sushi lover turning up his nose at the smell of fresh fish. This is hardly atypical for midwinter, and yes, it's going to get colder by Saturday morning. But (all) long range models show a warming trend next week with a shot at 40s in 8 days. Won't that be a relief...
No, we won't be cleaning up the yard or barbecuing anytime soon, but after a run of colder than average weather 30s will feel like a meteorological bargain next week - some guidance even hinting at 40s by the end of next week. Snow? A little here and there, but no headline-grabbing storms are brewing just yet.