Severe Storms Mankato - St. Peter Area. The Twin Cities office of the NWS has issued a severe storm warning for some quarter-size hail. The storm cluster is moving north at 30 mph, and may impact the Twin Cities between 10 PM and Midnight. More strong to severe storms are lining up from Litchfield to Cambridge, capable of hail and enough rain for localized flash flooding. It looks like a long and noisy night.
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 858 PM CDT WED MAY 7 2014
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... CENTRAL BLUE EARTH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... WEST CENTRAL LE SUEUR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... EASTERN NICOLLET COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
* AT 855 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF MANKATO...AND MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.
HAZARD...QUARTER SIZE HAIL.
IMPACT...DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MANKATO AROUND 905 PM CDT. ST PETER AROUND 930 PM CDT.
OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE EAGLE LAKE...NORTH MANKATO... MANKATO AIRPORT...KASOTA AND OTTAWA.
FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A BUILDING.
TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
How did you cope with the (fake) Blizzard of '17? Residents of the metro are rolling their eyes, but 75 miles southeast of MSP it was a full-blown blizzard with a foot of snow, ice and high winds creating treacherous travel conditions. Which is vaguely interesting, but it didn't happen in my yard, so it doesn't matter, right? I get it: all weather, like politics, is local. The sun comes out today with less wind; temperatures moderating into the low 40s early next week.
Back on Monday I predicted "a couple of inches" for today. Then some of NOAA's models began showing crazy amounts of snow, as much as 12-15" in the immediate metro, so I ratcheted up expected snowfall amounts (you can't ignore the NAM model, right?) Turns out my initial instincts were closer to the mark. Heaviest snow bands set up south of the metro with a full-blown blizzard over southern Minnesota. Yet another example where the ECMWF (European) outperforms NOAA's models. Which doesn't make me happy, btw.
There's still a chance of 10 or 12" of snow in the metro, although the odds have dropped a bit as some of NOAA's models catch up with a southward shift in the ECWMF (European) guidance package. The Twin Cities are on the northern edge of plowable snow amounts with the one-foot-plus amounts south of the Minnesota River. Confidence levels are still low for a storm less than 18 hours away - models are all over the map. Literally. This is why meteorologists show up at the isobar some nights.
Yes, it was a bit...unnerving...to see a pouring rain almost the entire day on Monday. Any other February that would been 6-10" of snow. Not this winter. Our supernaturally mild signal lingers into Wednesday, and then winter takes a swipe at us on Friday - although latest guidance suggests the heaviest stripe of snow may set up south/east of MSP. How many times have you heard that over the years? Colder air follows the storm, but nothing Nanook or subzero. That said, it's a little early to stash your coat or parka into cold storage. We'll get smacked around a few times into March.