Severe Storm Watch Northern/Central Minnesota until 10 PM
June 20, 2014 — 3:34pm
Here We Go Again. Odds favor most of the T-storms passing north of MSP, with the best chance north of Alexandria and Little Falls, but a few stray T-storms can't be ruled as far south as the metro area. The blue-shaded area shows a Severe Storm Watch posted until 10 PM. NWS Doppler radar at 3:33 PM. Details from NOAA SPC:
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA FAR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA EXTREME NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF FARGO NORTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST OF BRAINERD MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR AND AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COOL FRONT CROSSING THE ND/MN BORDER REGION ATTM. LIMITED INSTABILITY IS INDICATED AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS SOMEWHAT LACKING. THAT SAID...STRONGER FLOW ALOFT IS YIELDING SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT LIKELY GIVEN STRENGTH OF FOCUSED UVV...HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND RISK SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
Soaking rains arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. Some lawns and gardens could get a healthy drink as models are suggesting nearly 1 inch of rain in a few spots. A few sputtery rain showers will be possible on Friday and Saturday, but it won't be a washout. Hot and sweaty weather looks to return by July 4th.
Yes, I know. It's too cool for the lake. I feel your pain - there were whitecaps on my lake too, and only the brave and foolish were in the water. This cool spell isn't sustainable. The sun is too high in the sky - there is too much overheated air over the southern USA. At some point it will warm up. Probably overnight. Like turning on a light switch. Might I recommend that you embrace the comfortable readings, because within 1-2 weeks young and old alike will be muttering about the heat and humidity. Wait for it.
Saturday was interesting, more early October than late June. Instability showers and T-storms dropped small hail, sparking wind gusts over 40 mph. Today should be a notch better with more sun and fewer showers popping by afternoon. Temperatures mellow a bit this week, but I don't see 80s until the latter half of next week. A lot of people are whining about the lack of lake-worthy heat, but I don't mind the free A/C one bit.
Just think of all the cold cash you're going to save on cold pop, ice cream and A/C this weekend! I know - not funny. Minnesotans get indignant when their summer weekends don't match what they were daydreaming about a few months ago. The weather won't be lake-worthy, but at least we're not suffering through a dangerous heatwave, like much of the southwestern USA and southern Plains. Be careful what you wish for...
We've been hearing so much about the debilitating heat gripping much of the USA, the epicenter of pain over the southwestern states. There is no sign of that heat sweeping into Minnesota anytime soon. In fact I see a continued cool bias for the next 2 weeks, no prolonged warming trend (80s or hotter for days on end) until maybe the second week of July at the earliest. We're making up for a very warm start to June, it seems. Details on Cindy, which has weakened, but continues to threaten much of the Mid South and Ohio Valley with flooding rains.