Severe Storm Watch Northern/Central Minnesota until 10 PM
June 20, 2014 — 3:34pm
Here We Go Again. Odds favor most of the T-storms passing north of MSP, with the best chance north of Alexandria and Little Falls, but a few stray T-storms can't be ruled as far south as the metro area. The blue-shaded area shows a Severe Storm Watch posted until 10 PM. NWS Doppler radar at 3:33 PM. Details from NOAA SPC:
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA FAR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA EXTREME NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF FARGO NORTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST OF BRAINERD MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR AND AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COOL FRONT CROSSING THE ND/MN BORDER REGION ATTM. LIMITED INSTABILITY IS INDICATED AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS SOMEWHAT LACKING. THAT SAID...STRONGER FLOW ALOFT IS YIELDING SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT LIKELY GIVEN STRENGTH OF FOCUSED UVV...HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND RISK SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
I'm happy to report that today will be even nicer than yesterday! That's a pretty low bar, granted, but we should top 80F today with some sunshine, higher humidity and a few stray T-storms. 80s will be the rule this week, with warmer than average weather spilling into Labor Day weekend. The risk of a Gulf Coast hurricane seems to be increasing again - water temperatures in the Gulf are very warm, which may fuel a big storm within a few days.
Thursday was a breath of fresh air and today will be another fine day with blue sky, light winds and no rain (amazing). Showers and T-storms return late tonight into Saturday as the atmosphere tries to warm up again - Sunday should be sunnier, warmer and drier. Summer comes rushing back next week with more 80s, even a few 90s possible by the end of next week. Hermine impacting Florida and the Gulf Coast? Still a definite maybe, but the storm is a sloppy mess; it's unclear if and when conditions will be ripe for strengthening.
So long heat index, at least for a few days. Agreeable air, courtesy of Canada, will be with us for the next few days. Clouds build up this afternoon; Friday should be sunnier with less wind and temperatures more typical of late September. After a close encounter with Saturday showers temperatures mellow Sunday and summer heat returns next week. No, we haven't seen the last 90-degree warmth.
Hard to believe it rained again last night with another fine display of thunder and lightning. At least we were spared severe storms this time around. Winds shifting to the west/northwest dry us out today with cooling temperatures into Friday (the nicest day in sight). You may need a Plan B for Saturday; with any luck we salvage a better day on Sunday. No storms with names - which is more than residents of Florida and the Gulf Coast can say. All eyes are on "Invest 99-L", which may ripen into "Hermine" in the days to come.
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