Severe Storm Watch Northern/Central Minnesota until 10 PM
June 20, 2014 — 3:34pm
Here We Go Again. Odds favor most of the T-storms passing north of MSP, with the best chance north of Alexandria and Little Falls, but a few stray T-storms can't be ruled as far south as the metro area. The blue-shaded area shows a Severe Storm Watch posted until 10 PM. NWS Doppler radar at 3:33 PM. Details from NOAA SPC:
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA FAR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA EXTREME NORTHEAST SOUTH DAKOTA * EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL 1000 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 115 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHWEST OF FARGO NORTH DAKOTA TO 45 MILES EAST OF BRAINERD MINNESOTA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP NEAR AND AHEAD OF AN ADVANCING COOL FRONT CROSSING THE ND/MN BORDER REGION ATTM. LIMITED INSTABILITY IS INDICATED AHEAD OF THE FRONT AS BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTURE REMAINS SOMEWHAT LACKING. THAT SAID...STRONGER FLOW ALOFT IS YIELDING SHEAR FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...AND WITH AT LEAST ISOLATED ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT LIKELY GIVEN STRENGTH OF FOCUSED UVV...HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND RISK SHOULD INCREASE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27035.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
Hey, for what it's worth I'm just as disgusted/frustrated as everyone else. I'm looking forward to an extended streak of 80s and sunshine. It's coming. I think. Not this weekend, mind you. We'll have to be content with 70s Friday and Saturday with a ration of sunshine both days. Sunday may be showery but some clearing is likely Memorial Day with highs holding in the 60s. Not exactly lake-worthy, but we've seen worse.
Monday was salve for the soul - yes, we all needed that. Today will be partly-bleak with showery rains and temperatures stuck in the 50s, but don't despair. We warm up later in the week with a few days in the 70s. Not exactly strip-down-to-your-swimsuit weather, but mild enough for most outdoor plans, especially Friday and Saturday. A real warm front (80s) may show up within a couple of weeks. Summer can arrive anytime now...
Well that sure was fun. Fun as a 5-alarm fire, a salad of poison ivy - maybe a tick in your ice-cream sundae? Sorry for those visuals, but the people I bumped into this weekend were NOT AMUSED. But here's the thing. The weather just is. The sky above your head was set in motion by forces beyond our control - beyond our comprehension. We just get in the way...
Well that was fun. A true monsoon rain - typical for October or March, but rare in May, when convection (showers and T-storms) should be the norm. Then again it didn't snow - things can always be worse. A shower or sprinkle is possible today, but no more heavy/soaking rains for awhile. We warm up later in the week - 70s possible by late week, closer to where we should be right now.
It's a little early to panic, but I'm starting to wonder (out loud) if Minnesota will experience a coolish, super-soggy summer. We've been in a blocking (holding) pattern which may break down in the coming weeks. Plenty of sweaty days ahead, in theory. But not this weekend. Today will be perfectly normal, for late March. Have a Plan B. Better weather returns next week; milder and drier.