Severe Storm Watch Central/Northern Minnesota until 1 AM
August 26, 2013 — 6:33pm
Ripe For Severe. The atmosphere over the Twin Cities is "capped", too much hot, dry air aloft for convection to fire close to home. But north of a weak frontal boundary strong/severe storms are likely, especially from Moorhead, Detroit Lakes and Park Rapids to Brainerd and Duluth. SPC has issued a Severe Storm Watch (within the orange outline) until 1 AM Tuesday.
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Hard to believe it rained again last night with another fine display of thunder and lightning. At least we were spared severe storms this time around. Winds shifting to the west/northwest dry us out today with cooling temperatures into Friday (the nicest day in sight). You may need a Plan B for Saturday; with any luck we salvage a better day on Sunday. No storms with names - which is more than residents of Florida and the Gulf Coast can say. All eyes are on "Invest 99-L", which may ripen into "Hermine" in the days to come.
We've lost 2 1/2 hours of daylight and about 4 degrees off our average high temperature; the sun now as high in the sky as it was in mid-April. No hot fronts are brewing, but today will feel like July; more 80s likely next week. The arrival of cooler air sets off a few T-storms late tonight, but Thursday there will be no doubt in your mind that the atmosphere is shifting gears. More downpours by Sunday? Well, at least the pattern is consistent...
After a less-than-optimal Saturday yesterday restored my faith in a Minnesota August. At the risk of editorializing, it was perfect. A gusty south wind tugs the mercury well into the 80s today and Tuesday; another squall line of heavy T-storms late Tuesday night into early Wednesday marks the leading edge of cooler, drier air. A few T-showers may sprout again by the weekend. I know, what a shock.
Good news on the weather front: today will be even nicer than yesterday! At least we salvage one day of the weekend. With any luck we can dry out a little as we head into the Minnesota State Fair and Labor Day. The maps still look more like June than August.
If you liked Friday you will adore today with gusty northwest winds, off and on showers and temperatures stranded in the 60s. Not a great lake day, but it won't slow too many of us down. Sunday looks brighter, drier and milder after a chilly start. No, it's not quite time to dig out the jackets, not yet. Meanwhile the GFS is pulling a big hurricane into the southeastern USA by late August. We'll see.