Severe Storm Warning. NWS Doppler radar at 5 pm shows a swirl of strong/severe storms pushing toward the north northwest; a significant risk of penny size hail, winds topping 60 mph, frequent lightning, and flash flooding. Details:
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
454 PM CDT SUN MAY 19 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
WESTERN PIERCE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
SOUTHWESTERN ST. CROIX COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...
* UNTIL 530 PM CDT
* AT 450 PM CDT...A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF EAGAN TO 11 MILES
NORTHWEST OF RED WING TO 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RED WING...AND MOVING
NORTH AT 50 MPH.
HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.
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There's still a chance of 10 or 12" of snow in the metro, although the odds have dropped a bit as some of NOAA's models catch up with a southward shift in the ECWMF (European) guidance package. The Twin Cities are on the northern edge of plowable snow amounts with the one-foot-plus amounts south of the Minnesota River. Confidence levels are still low for a storm less than 18 hours away - models are all over the map. Literally. This is why meteorologists show up at the isobar some nights.
Yes, it was a bit...unnerving...to see a pouring rain almost the entire day on Monday. Any other February that would been 6-10" of snow. Not this winter. Our supernaturally mild signal lingers into Wednesday, and then winter takes a swipe at us on Friday - although latest guidance suggests the heaviest stripe of snow may set up south/east of MSP. How many times have you heard that over the years? Colder air follows the storm, but nothing Nanook or subzero. That said, it's a little early to stash your coat or parka into cold storage. We'll get smacked around a few times into March.
Widely scattered showers and rare February thunderstorms move through on Monday. Sunshine returns Tuesday and record warmth continues through Wednesday. Big changes arrive late this week with a potential snow event. Stay tuned and check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Sunday will be another extremely mild day with highs bumping up close to 60 degrees across much of southern Minnesota. Record highs will likely fall again for many locations through early next week, before big changes arrive late next week. Long range weather models are still trying to latch onto plowable snowfall across parts of the Upper Midwest Thursday into Friday. It's still way too early to tell what the powerful Pacific storm will do when it plows through, but stay tuned. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Enjoy the mild weather while you can. Long range forecast models are suggesting the potential of accumulating snow across parts of the Upper Midwest late next week. Talk about weather whiplash. Good grief. Stay tuned for more on that. Happy grilling. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson