Severe Storm Risk Lessens - Southern Minnesota Not Out of the Woods Yet
June 3, 2016 — 12:45pm
Slight Severe Storm Risk Shifts South. The Twin Cities metro is on the edge of the "slight risk", as defined by NOAA SPC. Hail and damaging winds are still possible, mainly south of I-94 and the Minnesota River, but the showers pushing through now have stabilized the atmosphere - it's unclear whether we'll see enough PM sunshine for instability capable of supporting severe cells. Low-level moisture and wind shear are marginal as well. The threat isn't over yet, especially south and west of the Twin Cities.
Future Radar. NOAA's 4 KM NAM guidance shows a few popcorn T-storm cells redeveloping across southern Minnesota later this afternoon and evening, but no evidence (yet) of an organized squall line forming. Conditions are marginal for severe activity, but it would be premature to let our guard down.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix. Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, imagery and API’s via Aeris Weather. He is co-host of a radio program, weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on WCCO Radio. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
With a sun angle as high in the sky as it was on March 19, coupled with longer nights, chilled Canadian air will become emboldened in the days to come. The approach of a cooler front ignites a band of showers and storms later today. A reinforcing cool front sparks more showers Thursday with late week highs in the 50s. Saturday looks iffy, with Sunday the wetter day. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
A fine Sunday gives way to T-storms late Monday; another round of rain Thursday, and next weekend may be sloppy and wet. The brunt of Canadian air stays north of the border; the Twin Cities should be frost-free into the first week of October. See the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
After severe storms Thursday evening, the rough weather gets pushed to our east Friday as a cooling, drying northwest wind kicks in. Gusts to 30 mph Friday morning give way to slow PM clearing, and a partly sunny sky greets us over the weekend. Click for details. - D.J. Kayser
Thursday may wind up being one of the wettest days of 2018. Weather models print out 3-4 inches of rain (about 6 week's worth) in the next 12-18 hours. There is also an "enhanced risk" of severe T-storms by midday and afternoon, with an unusually unstable airmass overhead. Click for details. - D.J. Kayser