Severe Storm Risk Lessens - Southern Minnesota Not Out of the Woods Yet
June 3, 2016 — 12:45pm
Slight Severe Storm Risk Shifts South. The Twin Cities metro is on the edge of the "slight risk", as defined by NOAA SPC. Hail and damaging winds are still possible, mainly south of I-94 and the Minnesota River, but the showers pushing through now have stabilized the atmosphere - it's unclear whether we'll see enough PM sunshine for instability capable of supporting severe cells. Low-level moisture and wind shear are marginal as well. The threat isn't over yet, especially south and west of the Twin Cities.
Future Radar. NOAA's 4 KM NAM guidance shows a few popcorn T-storm cells redeveloping across southern Minnesota later this afternoon and evening, but no evidence (yet) of an organized squall line forming. Conditions are marginal for severe activity, but it would be premature to let our guard down.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists provide weather services for various media and corporate interests at Praedictix. Developers and engineers create unique streams of weather data, imagery and API’s via Aeris Weather. He is co-host of a radio program, weekdays from 3 to 6 p.m. on WCCO Radio. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
No question: we've earned our summer this year, more than most years. It was the coldest winter season in 4 years, with the most snow since 2010-2011. La Nina flavored our winter with a cold, wet bias, but I'd still bet a stale bagel next winter won't be as forbidding. Time will tell, but the headline is warmth, reluctant warmth is finally showing signs of paying Minnesota a visit. About time.
I'm as ready as you are to turn the page and celebrate the (very late) arrival of spring. We're almost there. Today's system may brush the metro with a coating of slush - maybe plowable for Rochester and Albert Lea but probably not in the metro area. Next week may restore some measure of faith in a fickle Minnesota spring.
Any moment now we're going to turn the corner. I suspect a "light-switch spring". Like turning on a light switch: slush to 60s in the meteorological blink of an eye. Maybe that's wishful thinking, but with a sun angle as high in the sky as it was in late August - at some point it HAS to warm up. Right? Right?
The weekend was an atmospheric freak show: the first Blizzard Warning at MSP since 13.6 inches fell on April 14, 1983. Hey, it gave us something to talk about. A common bond of shared weather-misery. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
As of Saturday evening, a foot or more of snow had already fallen across parts of the Twin Cities. Snow will continue across the region Saturday Night until Sunday, with the Blizzard Warning in effect until 7 AM Sunday. When does spring arrive? - D.J. Kayser