Slight Severe Storm Risk Shifts South. The Twin Cities metro is on the edge of the "slight risk", as defined by NOAA SPC. Hail and damaging winds are still possible, mainly south of I-94 and the Minnesota River, but the showers pushing through now have stabilized the atmosphere - it's unclear whether we'll see enough PM sunshine for instability capable of supporting severe cells. Low-level moisture and wind shear are marginal as well. The threat isn't over yet, especially south and west of the Twin Cities.

Future Radar. NOAA's 4 KM NAM guidance shows a few popcorn T-storm cells redeveloping across southern Minnesota later this afternoon and evening, but no evidence (yet) of an organized squall line  forming. Conditions are marginal for severe activity, but it would be premature to let our guard down.

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