Don't Forget - Daylight Saving Time Begins!

Here's your last reminder! Daylight Saving Time begins at 2 AM Sunday, so don't forget to set your clock ahead one hour!

The clock change is also a good time to check and replace batteries in your smoke and carbon monoxide alarms.

While we don't have equal day/night (that doesn't arrive until the 17th), we do see what Daylight Saving Time will do to our sunrise and sunset times. The sun will be up later in the evening... but also come up later in the morning as well. Don't fret too much, though, as sunrises will be back before 7 AM by the end of the month.

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Relatively Quiet Pattern - Slow Thaw Hangs On
By Paul Douglas

I'm peering out my window at what appears to be a glacier - permanently lodged in my back yard. Spring feels like a cruel mirage, a hollow promise, but a higher sun angle will melt snow and ice in coming weeks.

A few thoughts floating around my muddled mind: La Nina kept us cooler this winter, but this cooling phase of the Pacific is fading. I'd bet a (stale) bagel that next winter will be milder. Low confidence level - just a gut call.

As annoying as this nagging chill is, think of it as flood insurance. Insurance AGAINST major river flooding. Right now a worst-case scenario would be persistent 50s and a string of heavy rain storms. I don't see any risk of that looking out 2 weeks.

Flurries taper this morning and 40F will feel pretty good later today. The late-week warming trend doesn't look quite as impressive, but the mercury at MSP may brush 50F later this week.

The lowest mile of the atmosphere should be warm enough for rain on Friday in the metro, but slushy up north. It could be worse: coastal New England will see the 3rd major coastal storm in 2 weeks on Tuesday.

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Extended Twin Cities Forecast

SUNDAY: Flurries taper. Gray skies. High 39. Low 22. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind NW 7-12 mph.

MONDAY: More clouds than sun, breezy. High 37. Low 20 . Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind NW 10-15 mph.

TUESDAY: Plenty of sun, still quiet. High 36. Low 23. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind NW 5-10 mph.

WEDNESDAY: Partly sunny and milder. High 42. Low 30. Chance of precipitation 10%. Wind  SW 8-13 mph.

THURSDAY: Clouds increase, feels like late March. High 51. Low 36. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind E 7-12 mph.

FRIDAY: Metro rain showers, slushy up north? High 49. Low 39. Chance of precipitation 70%. Wind E 10-15 mph.

SATURDAY: Drier with peeks of sun possible. High 50. Low 35. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind W 8-13 mph.

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This Day in Weather History
March 11th

2009: Cold conditions arrive, with a new record for the lowest maximum temperature in St. Cloud for this date. The high temperature in St. Cloud was only 4 degrees, which broke the previous record lowest maximum temperature of 5 degrees that was set in 1948.

1878: Lake Minnetonka becomes ice-free due to one of the warmest winters on record.

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Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
March 11th

Average High: 39F (Record: 66F set in 2016)
Average Low: 22F (Record: -27F set in 1948)
Average Precipitation: 0.05" (Record: 1.30" set in 1990)
Average Snow: 0.4" (Record: 8.2" set in 1962)

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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
March 11th

Sunrise: 7:32 AM
Sunset: 7:13 PM

*Length Of Day: 11 hours, 41 minutes and 8 seconds
*Daylight Gained Since Yesterday: ~3 minutes and 9 seconds

*Next Sunrise Before 7:30 AM: March 13th (7:29 AM)
*Next Sunset Of 7:30 PM Or Later: March 24th (7:30 PM)
*When Do We Hit 12 Hours Of Daylight? March 17th (Daylight Length: 12:00:03)

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Minnesota Weather Outlook

While we will see the potential of some lingering morning snow showers Sunday, a mix of clouds and sun is expected by the afternoon hours, with highs mainly in the 30s across the state.

Highs across northern Minnesota will be above average on Sunday, in some areas up to about 5 degrees above average. Across southern Minnesota, highs will be mainly below average.

Highs will be in the 30s for the second half of the weekend into the beginning of the week, before we warm into the 40s starting Wednesday. We'll even see the potential of our first 50 of the year next Thursday and/or Friday before we see slightly cooler temperatures heading into next weekend.

Light snow will continue to be possible Saturday Night into early Sunday across the region, but totals are expected to mainly be under an inch during this time frame.

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National Weather Forecast

Some lingering snow is possible to begin the day Sunday across parts of the upper Midwest, and a lingering low will help produce some light snow across New England. A low pressure center moving through southern United States will bring showers and a few thunderstorms from the Ohio Valley into the Deep South and Southeast, with a few strong storms possible along the Gulf Coast. Rain and snow will be possible across the Four Corners region with an area of low pressure.

Heavy precipitation is possible Saturday Night into Sunday across the Southeast to Mid-Atlantic, with 2"+ possible in spots. A couple systems for the beginning and middle of the week will help bring precipitation to the West Coast.

A few areas of mainly lighter snow are expected across the country through the middle of the week. Some of the heaviest is expected in the Roanoke, VA, area, where a Winter Storm Watch is in effect from Sunday evening to Monday afternoon for the potential of 2-5" of snow. Heavy snow is also possible in portions of the Northeast, in part due to a potential Nor'easter.

Here's a look at that potential third Nor'easter that could impact parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Monday-Wednesday. There are still a few lingering questions with this system - including how close this system will move toward the coast (which will help determine the impacts across the region).

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Drought Keeps Expanding

Drought continues to expand across the Southern Plains. More from AgWeb: "The latest U.S. Drought Monitor remains relatively unchanged in areas like Kansas and Texas that are currently experiencing D3 or extreme drought, or parts of northwestern Oklahoma in the D4 or exceptional drought stage.  Roughly half of the country is experiencing some level of drought or dryness.  Some parts of Texas and Oklahoma haven’t seen precipitation in more than 100 days, setting an all-time record in some places."

More Coastal Flooding Expected Due To Climate Change

According to a new report from NOAA, Miami could see more days each year with flooding due to high-tide (potentially 10) by the 2030s. More from Inside Climate News: "Coastal communities should expect much more frequent flooding in coming decades as sea levels rise, according to a new federal report. Many places that are dry now could flood every day by the end of the century.  The report, published by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, projects the impact of sea level rise on coastal flooding along the nation's shorelines and says it's already having an effect, particularly on the East Coast. In the Southeast, the average number of days with high-tide floods has more than doubled since 2000, to three per year, while the number in the Northeast has increased by about 75 percent, to six per year."

Drought Causing Conflict In Somalia

Drought is cauing conflict over fertile land in Somalia. More from the PBS Newshour: "The African nation of Somalia has long had a forbidding climate, searing heat and dry desert conditions.  Now relentless droughts have stripped millions of rural herders of their animals, their only real wealth, and driven humans closer to the scarce water supplies.  It is a living example of the effects of climate change."

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Thanks for checking in and have a great Sunday! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!

 - D.J. Kayser

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