Record 96F High Sunday - Growing Severe Risk Central & Northern MN
August 25, 2013 — 8:04pm
Starting To Fire. The 8 pm visible satellite loop shows strong/severe storms popping along a weak frontal boundary draped over northern MInnesota. More storms are pushing east out of the Dakotas - the chance of T-storms increases as the night goes on, the best chance of severe storms (hail and gusty winds) north/west of MSP.
Greatest Severe Storm Potential. With tropical levels of moisture, a deep layer of water vapor (nearly 2" of precipitatable water in the 12z MSP and INL soundings) conditions are ripe for not only severe storms, but flash flooding, especially north of the boundary stretching from Wadena to Brainerd to Sandstone and Spooner, WI. A watch may be issued by SPC.
Slight Severe Risk. SPC has much of central and northern MInnesota and Wisconsin in a "slight risk", spilling over into much of MOnday as well.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
No serious drama cooking on the maps, just an inch or two of fresh snow Sunday - plowable amounts over southwestern Minnesota. Another clipper whips up a coating Tuesday, but the big weather story is a jolt of Pacific air, warming us to 40F by Friday with a few rain showers possible - vague hints of what's to come. We end the month on a relatively mild note which should spill into March. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
I had an aunt who was utterly convinced that I worked in Indianapolis.I think she honestly believed all the "apolis" towns were really one. OK. Not a brain surgeon but she meant well. After a numbing start the long climb begins, a streak of 30s next week, even a couple days in the 40s late next week. More like March than February. We could still squeeze out a couple inches of snow on Sunday, but right now I can't get too excited about amounts; maybe 1-2" for the metro, more closer to the Iowa line.
The next 36 hours will be a blunt reminder that Minnesota still gets cold from time to time. But this winter has been milder than average, not even close to a couple years ago. Despite a subzero Saturday morning the forecast calls for a thaw next week; 40 degrees possible one week from today. El Nino is still hanging on. Will spring of 2016 be as severe as the last big (fading) El Nino in '98? I think we should probably be prepared for a more active spring severe season.
It's February in Minnesota. And you're annoyed that it's cold? That's a little like a sushi lover turning up his nose at the smell of fresh fish. This is hardly atypical for midwinter, and yes, it's going to get colder by Saturday morning. But (all) long range models show a warming trend next week with a shot at 40s in 8 days. Won't that be a relief...
No, we won't be cleaning up the yard or barbecuing anytime soon, but after a run of colder than average weather 30s will feel like a meteorological bargain next week - some guidance even hinting at 40s by the end of next week. Snow? A little here and there, but no headline-grabbing storms are brewing just yet.