Record 96F High Sunday - Growing Severe Risk Central & Northern MN
August 25, 2013 — 8:04pm
Starting To Fire. The 8 pm visible satellite loop shows strong/severe storms popping along a weak frontal boundary draped over northern MInnesota. More storms are pushing east out of the Dakotas - the chance of T-storms increases as the night goes on, the best chance of severe storms (hail and gusty winds) north/west of MSP.
Greatest Severe Storm Potential. With tropical levels of moisture, a deep layer of water vapor (nearly 2" of precipitatable water in the 12z MSP and INL soundings) conditions are ripe for not only severe storms, but flash flooding, especially north of the boundary stretching from Wadena to Brainerd to Sandstone and Spooner, WI. A watch may be issued by SPC.
Slight Severe Risk. SPC has much of central and northern MInnesota and Wisconsin in a "slight risk", spilling over into much of MOnday as well.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
Unfortunately, we're off to a soggy start this holiday weekend. Have a plan b today as scads of showers and storms swirl through the Upper Midwest. The good news is that the weekend won't be a washout, weather improves a little tomorrow with only a few stray PM T-storms and perhaps even a little better on Memorial Day. Check the blog for more. -Todd Nelson
Studying the models I still think Sunday and Monday will be the best outdoor-days of the holiday weekend, with enough hazy sun for 80 degrees. Showers and T-storms will be heaviest and most widespread today and Saturday as a weak, slow-moving trough of low pressure pushes across the Plains. No all-day washouts, but you would be well-advised to have a Plan B later Friday and Saturday. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Skies brighten Thursday, a brief break before the next swirl of showers and T-storms arrives Friday into Saturday. Have a Plan B (indoors) for Saturday, but models hint at some sun on Sunday with low 80s. ECMWF guidance brings in more T-storms on Memorial Day. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
More showers & heavy T-storms rumble into Minnesota Wednesday; the drive home another slow-motion slog. After a brief break from puddles Thursday the next stormy swirl pushes more storms into town late Friday into Saturday; another 1-2 inches of rain may trigger minor flooding. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Enjoy the warmth and sunny skies Tuesday for as long as you can. Unfortunately, more storms look to work back in by the middle of the week, and chances exist right through the Memorial Day weekend. More on the rainy forecast, as well as making vodka from fog, in the blog! - D.J. Kayser