Lingering showers, T-Showers (severe storm risk mainly over Wisconsin)
May 29, 2013 — 4:54pm
Dodging A Bullet. The greatest potential for hail and damaging winds will come south and east of a line from Owatonna to Hastings, deeper into the moist, unstable air. Showers are weakening around the metro area - with a little planning and luck you may be able to salvage a ball game or walk around the lake close to MSP as the strongest storms race across Wisconsin. NWS Doppler radar at 4:48 pm.
Severe Storm Watch. NOAA SPC has issued a Storm Watch for much of Wisconsin and far southeastern Minnesota until 10 pm. This is where the most intense T-storms should materialize, with a possibilty of a bow-echo capable of damaging straight-line winds. Storms may approach severe limits in the Twin Cities, but I'm more concerned about flash flooding than tornadoes and damaging winds.
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I know. I know. The drumbeat of media hype is getting louder and snow lovers are understandably skeptical. It doesn't snow here anymore! We always find a way to get cheated. "Take the predicted snowfall amounts and divide by two - that'll be closer to reality." Perhaps. Models trends suggest that significant snow is increasingly likely, and this may fall between plowable and crippling. Where the zone of crippling snow (1-2 feet + winds stirring up near-blizzard conditions Thursday night into Friday morning) is still unclear, but there's little doubt that Friday commutes will be disrupted. You just new that after a run of 60s in mid-February the weather would turn on us. I'm hardly surprised.
Yes, it was a bit...unnerving...to see a pouring rain almost the entire day on Monday. Any other February that would been 6-10" of snow. Not this winter. Our supernaturally mild signal lingers into Wednesday, and then winter takes a swipe at us on Friday - although latest guidance suggests the heaviest stripe of snow may set up south/east of MSP. How many times have you heard that over the years? Colder air follows the storm, but nothing Nanook or subzero. That said, it's a little early to stash your coat or parka into cold storage. We'll get smacked around a few times into March.
Widely scattered showers and rare February thunderstorms move through on Monday. Sunshine returns Tuesday and record warmth continues through Wednesday. Big changes arrive late this week with a potential snow event. Stay tuned and check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Sunday will be another extremely mild day with highs bumping up close to 60 degrees across much of southern Minnesota. Record highs will likely fall again for many locations through early next week, before big changes arrive late next week. Long range weather models are still trying to latch onto plowable snowfall across parts of the Upper Midwest Thursday into Friday. It's still way too early to tell what the powerful Pacific storm will do when it plows through, but stay tuned. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
Enjoy the mild weather while you can. Long range forecast models are suggesting the potential of accumulating snow across parts of the Upper Midwest late next week. Talk about weather whiplash. Good grief. Stay tuned for more on that. Happy grilling. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson