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Chart: AL Central midseason analysis

  • July 16, 2014 - 9:58 PM

AL Central at the All-Star break

Detroit Tigers

Record: 53-38

Why they’ll reach postseason: The Tigers already have a 6½-game lead and have a starting rotation as solid as any in baseball.

Why they won’t: Too many defensive mistakes, an overworked Al Alburquerque and a struggling Joe Nathan.

Kansas City Royals

Record: 48-46

Why they’ll reach postseason: The offense will become reliable and James Shields will lead the rotation to a second-half surge.

Why they won’t: Down years by Mike Moustakas, Eric Hosmer and Billy Butler will cost them.

Cleveland Indians

Record: 47-47

Why they’ll reach postseason: Justin Masterson gets healthy and pitches like the staff ace he should be.

Why they won’t: Defensive mistakes — and there have been many — keep them around .500.

Chicago White Sox

Record: 45-51

Why they’ll reach postseason: Rotation behind Chris Sale steps up and Gordon Beckham has big second half.

Why they won’t: They waste big seasons by Sale and Jose Abreu because of a weak roster.

Twins

Record: 44-50

Why they’ll reach postseason: Joe Mauer and Danny Santana come off DL to spark the offense.

Why they won’t: The lack of depth in the starting rotation will take its toll during the second half.

LA VELLE E. NEAL III

© 2014 Star Tribune