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This March has less snow than usual so far

  • Blog Post by: Paul Douglas
  • March 18, 2014 - 6:13 AM

March in Minnesota is never an 'out of the woods' kind of a month. For goodness sake, it's tourney time and we always seem to get something, don't we? Our current winter storm will be responsible for several inches of snow across parts of the state into Wisconsin. Interestingly, as of Monday, we were running nearly 6" below average snowfall for the month of March in a month that typically sees nearly 11" in Minneapolis. In fact, according to NWS NOWData, March is actually the 3rd snowiest month during the winter season. Duluth typically sees a little more than 13" in the month of March, which is the 4th snowiest month during the season.

I'm hoping this particular winter event will be equivalent to pulling off a Band-Aid. Your commutes Tuesday and early Wednesday will be rough, but sun is just a couple of days from the Equinox, so it's intensity will help in the melting process over the next several days. The snow we have at this time of the year doesn't usually stick around too much longer.

By the way, average April snow in Minneapolis is only 2.8". The average high by April 1st is also 50F!

Yes, I'm selling hope.

Hang in there, it's almost over.

-Todd Nelson

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MONDAY NIGHT: Light wintry mix begins to fill in across the state. Low: 27. Winds: ESE 5-15.

TUESDAY: Wintry mix possible early, then changing to all snow later. Best chance for accumulating snow in central and northeastern MN Significant accumulations possible through Northwest Wisconsin. Snow: Less than 1". High: 36. Winds: ENE 10-15

TUESDAY NIGHT: Snow continues. 2" to 5" possible by AM Wednesday. Snowfall amounts quickly rise as you head into western/central/northeastern Minnesota Low: 26. Winds: NNE 10-25.

WEDNESDAY: Storm slides east. Breezy and cooler with lingering light snow showers and flurries early. High: 35. Winds: WNW 15-30.

THURSDAY: Happy Spring! Less wind. Sun early, then fading late. Wake-up: 20. High: 38

FRIDAY: Clouds thicken, chance of rain/snow? Wake-up: 25. High: 38.

SATURDAY: Partly sunny, another brisk March day. Wake-up: 18. High: 27.

SUNDAY: More sun, still quite chilly. Wake-up: 10. High: 25.

MONDAY: Chance of snow. Wake-up: 10. High: 34.

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This Day in Weather History

March 18th

1968: The earliest tornado to hit Minnesota. No one was hurt when it hit Watonwan County.

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Winter Weather Headlines **UPDATED AM TUESDAY**

The National Weather Service has issued several winter weather headlines from the Plains to the Great Lakes Region.


...MULTI STAGE LATE SEASON WINTER STORM NOW UNDERWAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GRANITE FALLS TO NEW LONDON...SAINT CLOUD...AND PINE CITY MINNESOTA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING EAST OF THE WINTER STORM WARNING AND ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM BLUE EARTH...OWATONNA...RED WING MINNESOTA...AND MENOMONIE TO CHIPPEWA FALLS WISCONSIN.

MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAS DEVELOPED OVER CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS MORNING WHICH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OR SLOWLY LIFT NORTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. THE SNOW WILL DEVELOP FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST LATE THIS AFTERNOON...REACHING SOUTHERN AND EASTERN MINNESOTA AND FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN BY THE EARLY EVENING. SNOW WILL DECREASE IN INTENSITY TONIGHT AND TAPER OFF FROM WEST TO EAST EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA...WITH 3 TO 6 INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THE AXIS OF HEAVIEST SNOW WILL LIKELY FALL ALONG A LINE FROM ALEXANDRIA...LITTLE FALLS...TO LAKE MILLE LACS.

Winter Weather Advisory for Twin Cities Metro


...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT WEDNESDAY.

* TIMING...MOST OF TODAY WILL BE DRY WITH A MIX OF RAIN...SNOW... AND SLEET DEVELOPING LATE THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL TURN TO ALL SNOW LATE THIS EVENING...THEN TAPER OFF LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT TUESDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY NIGHT.


 

Future Radar

Here's the messy storm setup through Wednesday evening. A mess of rain, freezing rain, sleet and snow will all be possible across parts of the Midwest.

Model Data

The raw numbers from Monday for the Minneapolis area suggested snowfall accumulations of 1.5" to as much as 4.5". The model average suggested around 2" to 3" of sloppy snow through the event.

Snow Potential **UPDATED AM TUESDAY**

This is what the National Weather Service out of the Twin Cities had to say about the snow potential for the Twin Cities CWA.

A major winter storm will impact the region today and tonight. Moderate to heavy snow will continue across central Minnesota, developing south and eastward this evening. Total accumulations of 6 to 12 inches are expected in the Winter Storm Warning area, with 3 to 6 inches in the Winter Weather Advisory area.

 

Duluth Snow Potential **UPDATED AM TUESDAY**

This is what the National Weather Service out of Duluth posted on their Facebook page about the storm.

Light snow will continue over northern Wisconsin this afternoon, and should bring a couple of inches of snow. Tonight, a potent winter storm will move into the area, and continue to impact the area through Tuesday and most of Wednesday. Heavy snowfall amounts of 8 to 12 inches are possible in a band from the Brainerd lakes up the North Shore to Grand Marais, as well as across the lake effect snow regions of northwest Wisconsin. Keep updated on the latest information on this developing winter storm.

Storm Track

The storm system that we're dealing with here takes a dip in the Midwest on Tuesday before lifting back north into the Great Lakes Region. The best snowfall potential will fall on the northern side of the low track. Interestingly, the storm will draw up warmer air on it's eastern edge, so precipitation will initially start as a wintry mix for some in the Upper Mississippi Valley.

Probability of at Least 4" Snow

The probability of at least 4" or snow or more snow a very good chance of that occurrence from central Minnesota into the northeastern part of the state to northern Wisconsin and the U.P. of Michigan.

Probability of at least 8" of Snow

The probability of at least 8" of snow or more still shows a fairly good chance of that happening in the same swath listed above.

 

St. Patty's Day Snow

Thanks to Mag Maroney-Bowen via WUSA9 out of Coles Point, VA for this very festive image below. It was a very snowy start to a St. Patrick's 

More D.C. Snow

Thanks to my good friend Aaron Mertig for the picture below out of Washington D.C. where another fresh blanket of snow came down early Monday morning. There was enough snow to close federal offices and public offices around D.C.. They even closed the Zoo!

Snowfall Analysis

Here's the snowfall analysis from Sunday & Monday, which shows some of the most significant tallies across parts of WV, VA and MD. The largest tally I could fine was 13.7" out of Haywood, VA.

Here's a BIG list of all the snow tallies from this system from NOAA's WPC:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc5.html

March Temperature Anomaly

So far this March has been running quite a bit below average for the eastern two-thirds of the nation. This map doesn't look much different from the temperature anomaly for meteorological winter (December-February).

Temperature Outlook

According to NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, the temperature outlook through the end of March looks to stay colder than average for the eastern two-thirds of the nation.

St. Patty's Day Earthquake

Did you hear about the earthquake near Los Angeles, CA on Monday morning? the 4.4 magnitude earthquake didn't do much other than gives folks a quick jolt. It happened early in the morning and was even caught live during a morning news program! Check out this video from KTLA HERE:

Shake Map

Here's the shake map from USGS, which shows where the earthquake was felt. Note that there are a light of light blue colors, which inidicates quite a bit of light/moderate shaking.

ThunderShirt

Now this is interesting and the first time I even heard of something like this. Is your pet afraid of thunderstorms? This products claims to help your furry friend relax during storms... it's the ThunderShirt!

See more from ThunderShirt.com HERE:


Thanks for checking in and have a great rest of your week! Don't forget to check me out on Twitter @TNelsonWNTV

 

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