StarTribune.com
watchfor111908

Home | Politically Connected | National Politics | U.S. Senate

Who's winning recount? Watch for these clues

Last update: November 20, 2008 - 12:09 PM

Fifty counties and cities began the U.S. Senate recount Wednesday, today, and nearly 30 more joined the fray today. While these early results won't decide the winner of the contest, it's possible that some clues will emerge.

Here's what to keep an eye on.

First, mind the gap.

The margin between Republican Sen. Norm Coleman and Democrat Al Franken begans at 215 votes in Coleman's favor.

If that gap starts moving consistently in one direction, it could be an indication of things to come. Perhaps just as important, watch the number of challenged ballots -- and who has challenged them.

If a Coleman or a Franken representative challenges the recount official's ruling on a ballot, then the ballot will be sent to the state Canvassing Board for a final review. The challenged ballots will be kept in two piles -- one for ballots challenged by Coleman's team and one for ballots challenged by Franken's team.

Watch who's challenging more ballots -- and whether the total number of challenges, and the challenges by each candidate, exceeds the gap. If the number of challenged ballots falls short of the size of the gap when all of the recount sites have finished their work, then even when they're reviewed by the Canvassing Board they won't change the outcome.

Another thing to watch is where the recount vote is coming from. All of the heaviest Democratic areas of the state -- Minneapolis, St. Paul and St. Louis County -- began the recount Wednesday. That means that the counties that will start Thursday, on Monday or later will be more Republican.

And the last ones to count -- Dodge and Le Sueur on Dec. 1; Rock, Scott, Winona and Wright on Dec. 3 -- went strongly for Coleman, with the exception of Winona, which backed Franken.

Finally, the wild card is the question of absentee ballots. Franken is seeking to have rejected absentee ballots reviewed to see if they were properly or improperly rejected. If he prevails, that could add thousands of potential votes into the mix.

 

Recent U.S. Senate stories

Franken defends his win - November 20, 2008
Franken defends his win - In a response to arguments filed by Norm Coleman, Franken tells high court all is fair, square. More

Comment on this story   |   Read all 67 comments   |  Hide reader comments


Subscribe

The Whistleblower blog has moved

The Star Tribune is still blowing the whistle, but our look and location have changed. Click here to get to the new blog. If you want the actual URL, it’s www.startribune.com/blogs/whistleblower.html. Our blog posts will now be easier to search on the web site, but you’ll need to register to post a comment. In the [...]

Recent posts

Shopping + Classifieds
Yellow Pages

Get A Professional

Find home maintenance, car repair, legal advice, cleaning, and more in the Yellow Pages. Go now!
Place an ad

Sell It Fast

Try the online ordering systems or call (612) 673-7000. Learn more about other options.

Win tickets to Vita.mn's second annual Snowball: An Old School Funk and Rollerdisco at St. Louis Park's Roller Gardens.

Vita.mn and Ragstock present the second annual Snowball: An Old School Funk and Rollerdisco at St. Louis Park's Roller Gardens on Dec. 11.

See all contests