YOUR GUIDE TO THE TWIN CITIES
politics
With an insider’s eye, Hot Dish tracks the tastiest bits of Minnesota’s political scene and keep you up-to-date on those elected to serve you.
Contributors in Minnesota: Jennifer Brooks, Baird Helgeson, Mike Kaszuba, Patricia Lopez, Jim Ragsdale, Brad Schrade and Rachel E. Stassen-Berger. Contributor in D.C.: Kevin Diaz.
Contributors in Minnesota: Jennifer Brooks, Baird Helgeson, Mike Kaszuba, Patricia Lopez, Jim Ragsdale, Brad Schrade and Rachel E. Stassen-Berger. Contributor in D.C.: Kevin Diaz.
resize text 
subscribe via RSS
Sabato predicts big GOP gains; says MN gov race is a "toss-up"
Posted by: Rachel E. Stassen-Berger under 1st District, 6th District, Minnesota campaigns, Minnesota congressional, Minnesota governor Updated: September 2, 2010 - 10:41 AM
University of Virginia's Larry Sabato Thursday wrote that "conditions have deteriorated badly for Democrats over the summer" and "likely voters" have "moved increasingly in the GOP direction."
The result, according to his analysis:
- "Given what we can see at this moment , Republicans have a good chance to win the House by picking up as many as 47 seats, net."
- "Republicans have an outside shot at winning full control (+10), but are more likely to end up with +8 (or maybe +9, at which point it will be interesting to see how senators such as Joseph Lieberman of Connecticut, Ben Nelson of Nebraska, and others react)"
- "The statehouses will provide the third leg of the Republicans’ 2010 victory. ... We now believe they will win +8."
He also says the Minnesota 6th congressional race (between GOP Rep. Michele Bachmann and DFLer Tarryl Clark) will likely stay Republican and the Minnesota 1st congressional race (between Democratic Rep. Tim Walz and GOP state Rep. Randy Demmer) will likely stay in Democratic hands.
Sabato's less sure about the outcome of the Minnesota governor's race. That contest, he says, could go either way:
- "The 9 toss-ups for Governor are in California, Florida, Georgia, Maine, Maryland, Minnesota, Ohio, Rhode Island, and Vermont—six currently held by GOP chief executives and three by Democrats."
Click here to see the multi-colored charts of his predictions.
ADVERTISEMENT
recent posts
- Ramsey County won't investigate GOP recount company
- Obama signs pay benefits for Minnesota 'Red Bulls'
- Obama to address economy during Minnesota visit
- State Senate's bill for sex scandal legal work: $46,000 so far
- Dayton issues pocket veto of child custody bill
- Republican Hegseth is out of U.S. Senate race for good
- MN commemorates Civil War this Memorial Day
- $50 million doesn't go as far as you might expect
- Senate billed for legal services to deal with ex-employee Brodkorb
- Seniors chop up AARP cards in Voter ID protest
- Rep. Joyce Peppin pulls all-nighter to file first for re-election
- Back to school for Bills
- Kriesel pens fundraising letter for Minnesotans United
- Kline leads Congressional delegation to Asia
- Johnson to GOP activists upset with Ron Paul supporters: 'Get over it'
- Paul supporters nearly sweep all national delegate slots
- GOP Senate candidate Bills still supporting Ron Paul
- Ron Paul supporters turn out in force in St. Cloud
- Bachmann can't make GOP convention
Post By Category
ADVERTISEMENT
inside the StarTribune
-
425 Portland Av. S.
Minneapolis, MN 55488
(612) 673-4000
- Company
- Subscriber Services
- Website
- Buy Ads
- Store
- Connect with Us
© 2012 StarTribune. All rights reserved.
StarTribune.com is powered by Limelight Networks
Newspaper Subscriptions
eEdition
RSS
Newsletters