Breakdown of poll findings on presidential race

  • By: STAR TRIBUNE
  • Updated: October 28, 2012 - 5:36 AM

The Star Tribune Minnesota Poll surveyed 800 likely Minnesota voters Oct. 23-25. Respondents were reached on both landlines and cell phones. The poll has a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points, plus or minus.

Question: Do you recognize the name ________?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

 
RECOGNIZE
FAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
UNFAVORABLE
RECOGNIZE
NEUTRAL
DON'T
RECOGNIZE
Barack Obama46%38%16%-
Mitt Romney41%34%25%-

QUESTION: If the 2012 general election for president and vice president were held today, which one of the following tickets would get your vote?

  • The Democratic ticket of Barack Obama & Joe Biden
  • The Republican ticket of Mitt Romney & Paul Ryan
  • The Libertarian ticket of Gary Johnson & Jim Gray
  • One of the other party tickets
OBAMAROMNEYJOHNSONUNDECIDED
STATE47%44%2%7%
REGION
Hennepin/Ramsey57%35%2%6%
Rest of Metro Suburbs39%51%3%7%
Rest of State44%46%2%8%
SEX
Men40%51%3%6%
Women53%37%2%8%
AGE
18-3453%36%4%7%
35-4937%52%3%8%
50-6448%43%1%8%
65+54%40%1%5%
INCOME
<$50,00051%44%1%4%
$50,000+48%43%2%7%
PARTY
Democrat89%6%1%4%
Republican1%93%1%5%
Independent43%37%713%

QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job performance as president?

APPROVEDISAPPROVEUNDECIDED
STATE48%44%8%
REGION
Hennepin/Ramsey55%35%10%
Rest of Metro Suburbs41%53%6%
Rest of State46%45%9%
SEX
Men41%50%9%
Women54%39%7%
AGE
18-3452%41%7%
35-4940%52%8%
50-6449%41%10%
65+53%39%8%
INCOME
<$50,00048%43%9%
$50,000+50%43%7%
PARTY ID
Democrat83%6%11%
Republican6%91%3%
Independent49%41%10%

QUESTION: Would you say that things in the country are heading in the right direction or would you say they are on the wrong track?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
RIGHT43%37%48%76%4%43%
WRONG50%56%45%14%93%50%
NOT SURE7%7%7%10%3%7%

QUESTION: Based on what you saw or heard about the presidential debates, did they lead you to change or make up your mind about who to vote for?

YES11%
NO89%

(IF YES) QUESTION: Did you change from

  • 20% - Leaning toward Obama to leaning toward Romney
  • 1% - Leaning toward Romney to leaning toward Obama
  • 12% - Undecided to leaning toward Obama
  • 61% - Undecided to leaning toward Romney
  • 6% – Other/Not Sure

QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job improving the economy and creating jobs - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
ROMNEY48%55%41%10%93%45%
OBAMA44%38%49%83%2%40%
NOT SURE8%7%10%7%5%15%

QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job handling foreign policy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
OBAMA55%48%61%88%15%57%
ROMNEY37%42%33%7%75%34%
NOT SURE8%10%6%5%10%9%

QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job protecting Social Security and Medicare - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
OBAMA50%44%55%86%7%50%
ROMNEY41%46%36%8%83%36%
NOT SURE9%10%9%6%10%14%

QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job handling taxes and the federal budget - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
ROMNEY52%58%47%15%96%50%
OBAMA41%36%46%79%2%37%
NOT SURE7%6%7%6%2%13%

QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job of handling issues affecting women – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
OBAMA54%51%57%86%14%57%
ROMNEY34%38%31%6%73%28%
NOT SURE12%11%12%8%13%15%

QUESTION: How would you rate the way President Obama has responded to the attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya: excellent, good, fair or poor?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
EXCELLENT10%9%10%16%-13%
GOOD26%23%30%50%5%20%
FAIR23%24%21%19%20%29%
POOR36%41%32%7%72%34%
NOT SURE5%3%7%8%3%4%

QUESTION: How would you rate the way Mitt Romney has responded to the attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya: excellent, good, fair or poor?

STATEMENWOMENDEMSREPSINDS
EXCELLENT6%7%5%-12%6%
GOOD21%23%19%10%37%18%
FAIR27%28%27%23%31%28%
POOR28%26%29%49%3%30%
NOT SURE18%16%20%18%17%18%

DEMOGRAPHICS OF RESPONDENTS:

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself DFL or Democrat, Republican or an independent?
DFL/Democrat303(38%)
Republican264(33%)
Independent/Other233(29%)
AGE:
18-34121(15%)
35-49250(31%)
50-64222(28%)
65+205(26%)
Refused2
INCOME:
<$25,000 62(8%)
$25,000-$49,999173(22%)
$50,000-$74,999145(18%)
$75,000-$99,999127(16%)
$100,000+158(20%)
Refused135(17%)
SEX:
Male385(48%)
Female415(52%)
REGION:
Hennepin/Ramsey260(33%)
Rest of Metro Suburbs225(28%)
Rochester/Southeast90(11%)
Southwest Minnesota65(8%)
Northwest Minnesota80(10%)
Duluth/Northeast80(10%)

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