The Star Tribune Minnesota Poll surveyed 800 likely Minnesota voters Oct. 23-25. Respondents were reached on both landlines and cell phones. The poll has a margin of sampling error of 3.5 percentage points, plus or minus.
Question: Do you recognize the name ________?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
| RECOGNIZE FAVORABLE | RECOGNIZE UNFAVORABLE | RECOGNIZE NEUTRAL | DON'T RECOGNIZE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barack Obama | 46% | 38% | 16% | - |
| Mitt Romney | 41% | 34% | 25% | - |
QUESTION: If the 2012 general election for president and vice president were held today, which one of the following tickets would get your vote?
| OBAMA | ROMNEY | JOHNSON | UNDECIDED | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| STATE | 47% | 44% | 2% | 7% |
| REGION | ||||
| Hennepin/Ramsey | 57% | 35% | 2% | 6% |
| Rest of Metro Suburbs | 39% | 51% | 3% | 7% |
| Rest of State | 44% | 46% | 2% | 8% |
| SEX | ||||
| Men | 40% | 51% | 3% | 6% |
| Women | 53% | 37% | 2% | 8% |
| AGE | ||||
| 18-34 | 53% | 36% | 4% | 7% |
| 35-49 | 37% | 52% | 3% | 8% |
| 50-64 | 48% | 43% | 1% | 8% |
| 65+ | 54% | 40% | 1% | 5% |
| INCOME | ||||
| <$50,000 | 51% | 44% | 1% | 4% |
| $50,000+ | 48% | 43% | 2% | 7% |
| PARTY | ||||
| Democrat | 89% | 6% | 1% | 4% |
| Republican | 1% | 93% | 1% | 5% |
| Independent | 43% | 37% | 7 | 13% |
QUESTION: Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job performance as president?
| APPROVE | DISAPPROVE | UNDECIDED | |
|---|---|---|---|
| STATE | 48% | 44% | 8% |
| REGION | |||
| Hennepin/Ramsey | 55% | 35% | 10% |
| Rest of Metro Suburbs | 41% | 53% | 6% |
| Rest of State | 46% | 45% | 9% |
| SEX | |||
| Men | 41% | 50% | 9% |
| Women | 54% | 39% | 7% |
| AGE | |||
| 18-34 | 52% | 41% | 7% |
| 35-49 | 40% | 52% | 8% |
| 50-64 | 49% | 41% | 10% |
| 65+ | 53% | 39% | 8% |
| INCOME | |||
| <$50,000 | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| $50,000+ | 50% | 43% | 7% |
| PARTY ID | |||
| Democrat | 83% | 6% | 11% |
| Republican | 6% | 91% | 3% |
| Independent | 49% | 41% | 10% |
QUESTION: Would you say that things in the country are heading in the right direction or would you say they are on the wrong track?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RIGHT | 43% | 37% | 48% | 76% | 4% | 43% |
| WRONG | 50% | 56% | 45% | 14% | 93% | 50% |
| NOT SURE | 7% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 3% | 7% |
QUESTION: Based on what you saw or heard about the presidential debates, did they lead you to change or make up your mind about who to vote for?
| YES | 11% |
| NO | 89% |
(IF YES) QUESTION: Did you change from
QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job improving the economy and creating jobs - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROMNEY | 48% | 55% | 41% | 10% | 93% | 45% |
| OBAMA | 44% | 38% | 49% | 83% | 2% | 40% |
| NOT SURE | 8% | 7% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 15% |
QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job handling foreign policy - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBAMA | 55% | 48% | 61% | 88% | 15% | 57% |
| ROMNEY | 37% | 42% | 33% | 7% | 75% | 34% |
| NOT SURE | 8% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 10% | 9% |
QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job protecting Social Security and Medicare - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBAMA | 50% | 44% | 55% | 86% | 7% | 50% |
| ROMNEY | 41% | 46% | 36% | 8% | 83% | 36% |
| NOT SURE | 9% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 10% | 14% |
QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job handling taxes and the federal budget - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROMNEY | 52% | 58% | 47% | 15% | 96% | 50% |
| OBAMA | 41% | 36% | 46% | 79% | 2% | 37% |
| NOT SURE | 7% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 2% | 13% |
QUESTION: Who do you think would do a better job of handling issues affecting women – Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OBAMA | 54% | 51% | 57% | 86% | 14% | 57% |
| ROMNEY | 34% | 38% | 31% | 6% | 73% | 28% |
| NOT SURE | 12% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 13% | 15% |
QUESTION: How would you rate the way President Obama has responded to the attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya: excellent, good, fair or poor?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXCELLENT | 10% | 9% | 10% | 16% | - | 13% |
| GOOD | 26% | 23% | 30% | 50% | 5% | 20% |
| FAIR | 23% | 24% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 29% |
| POOR | 36% | 41% | 32% | 7% | 72% | 34% |
| NOT SURE | 5% | 3% | 7% | 8% | 3% | 4% |
QUESTION: How would you rate the way Mitt Romney has responded to the attack on the U.S. consulate in Benghazi, Libya: excellent, good, fair or poor?
| STATE | MEN | WOMEN | DEMS | REPS | INDS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EXCELLENT | 6% | 7% | 5% | - | 12% | 6% |
| GOOD | 21% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 37% | 18% |
| FAIR | 27% | 28% | 27% | 23% | 31% | 28% |
| POOR | 28% | 26% | 29% | 49% | 3% | 30% |
| NOT SURE | 18% | 16% | 20% | 18% | 17% | 18% |
DEMOGRAPHICS OF RESPONDENTS:
| In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself DFL or Democrat, Republican or an independent? | ||
| DFL/Democrat | 303 | (38%) |
| Republican | 264 | (33%) |
| Independent/Other | 233 | (29%) |
| AGE: | ||
| 18-34 | 121 | (15%) |
| 35-49 | 250 | (31%) |
| 50-64 | 222 | (28%) |
| 65+ | 205 | (26%) |
| Refused | 2 | |
| INCOME: | ||
| <$25,000 | 62 | (8%) |
| $25,000-$49,999 | 173 | (22%) |
| $50,000-$74,999 | 145 | (18%) |
| $75,000-$99,999 | 127 | (16%) |
| $100,000+ | 158 | (20%) |
| Refused | 135 | (17%) |
| SEX: | ||
| Male | 385 | (48%) |
| Female | 415 | (52%) |
| REGION: | ||
| Hennepin/Ramsey | 260 | (33%) |
| Rest of Metro Suburbs | 225 | (28%) |
| Rochester/Southeast | 90 | (11%) |
| Southwest Minnesota | 65 | (8%) |
| Northwest Minnesota | 80 | (10%) |
| Duluth/Northeast | 80 | (10%) |
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