Recap Of Monday's Rainy And Windy Day


Dissipating Thunderstorms over Maplewood. Credit: MNDNR State Climatology Office.

The Minnesota State Climatology Department put together a recap of the heavy rain and gusty winds that central and southern Minnesota saw on Monday: "Strong thunderstorms moved slowly to the east and brought heavy rains across western and central Minnesota during the daylight hours of June 11. As these thunderstorms dissipated in the evening, strong gusty winds caused tree damage in the west metro, specifically around the Lake Minnetonka area. The highest wind gust reported was 60mph at the St. Cloud Airport. The highest rainfall total found so far was 3.87 at an automated gauge near Cosmos in Meeker County."

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Minnesota Crop Update

The weekly crop update was released Monday from the USDA, and it showed 4.8 days suitable for fieldwork last week across the state. The report said that "Warm temperatures allowed for good crop growth during the week while field activities included planting, spraying, and cutting hay." 93% of both topsoil and subsoil moisture was rated either in the adequate or surplus categories. 90% of the corn crop and 86% of the soybean crop were rated good to excellent.

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Pleasant Wednesday - Heat & Storms Return This Weekend
By D.J. Kayser, filling in for Paul Douglas

One of the dangers of every thunderstorm - severe or not - is lightning. NOAA statistics show that in the United States an average of 47 people die each year from lightning strikes. Sadly, we are already up to five lightning deaths across the nation this year, as a 27-year-old male was killed in Arkansas Friday while working in a yard. It is important to remember that there is nowhere safe outside during a storm.

I bring this up because back on this date in 1991, a thunderstorm hit the U.S. Open at Hazeltine. One spectator was unfortunately killed and another five were injured as they were seeking shelter under a tree on the 16th fairway.

A pleasant Wednesday is expected in the Twin Cities, with sunny skies, lower dewpoints and highs around 80F. A few isolated storms are possible tonight across the region, but we should clear those out in time for Thursday. The weather turns stormy, though, as we head into the Father’s Day weekend with several rounds of heavy rain possible. The heat will return as well, with highs near 90F expected.

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Extended Twin Cities Forecast

WEDNESDAY: Sunny. Overnight storm? High 80. Low 61. Chance of precipitation 20%. Wind NW 5-10 mph.
THURSDAY: Mix of clouds & sun. Late night storms. High 82. Low 66. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind SE 5-15 mph.
FRIDAY: Storms linger through the AM. Cloudy. High 89. Low 72. Chance of precipitation 40%. Wind SE 10-15 mph.
SATURDAY: Scattered storms and humid. High 91. Low 72. Chance of precipitation 30%. Wind S 10-15 mph.
SUNDAY: Storms for Father's Day. High 91. Low 67. Chance of precipitation 40%. Wind SW 5-10 mph.
MONDAY: Heavy rain possible. High 82. Low 62. Chance of precipitation 40%. Wind NE 5-10 mph.
TUESDAY: Drier day. More clouds than sun. High 80. Low 60. Chance of precipitation 0%. Wind NE 5-10 mph.

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This Day in Weather History
June 13th

1991: One fatality and 5 injuries occur when lightning strikes a tree at Hazeltine Golf Course during the US Open.

1930: A tornado hits the Northfield area, and causes heavy damage at Randolph.

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Average Temperatures & Precipitation for Minneapolis
June 13th

Average High: 78F (Record: 100F set in 1956)
Average Low: 58F (Record: 37F set in 1969)
Average Precipitation: 0.15" (Record: 2.37" set in 2001)

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Sunrise/Sunset Times for Minneapolis
June 13th

Sunrise: 5:25 AM
Sunset: 9:00 PM

*Length Of Day: 15 hours, 34 minutes and 39 seconds
*Daylight Gained Since Yesterday: ~35 seconds

*Earliest Sunrise: June 13th-17th (5:25 AM)
*Latest Sunset: June 20th-July 1st (9:03 PM)
*Day With Most Daylight? June 21st (Daylight Length: 15:36:49)

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Minnesota Weather Outlook

A fairly nice day is expected across the state Wednesday, with a mix of clouds and sun and highs climbing into the 70s and 80s. A few storms will be possible Wednesday Night mainly over southern Minnesota.

Temperatures will be within a few degrees around average across most areas of the state Wednesday.
 
 
Dewpoints will be in the comfortable range across the state Wednesday - mainly in the 40s and 50s.
 

Temperatures will remain around 80 Wednesday and Thursday before starting to trend upward into the Father's Day weekend. Highs on Friday through Sunday will be around - if not topping - 90F each day. We do see a little bit of a cool down as we head into next week.

We do see rain chances start to increase as we head toward the end of the week and into Father's Day weekend. These storms will be capable of heavy rain, especially Sunday into Monday, and some models are indicating the potential of 1-3"+ of rain in the Twin Cities through early next week.

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National Weather Forecast

A cold front will continue to move east as we head into Wednesday, stretching from the Great Lakes into the Central and Southern Plains, with a warm front ahead of it in parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. These fronts will help spark showers and storms throughout the day ahead of their movement. A front approaching the Pacific Northwest will bring some light rain to the region. Meanwhile, excessive heat will continue across parts of the Southwest, with Phoenix reaching a high of 112F and Death Valley sweating through a 120F high.

A few areas of heavy rain are likely through Sunday morning. Round of storms during the end of the week could allow 1-2"+ of rain to accumulate across parts of the upper Midwest. Moisture coming in off the Gulf will allow for heavy rain the next couple days along parts of the northern Gulf Coast. We will also be watching the potential of heavier areas of rain in the Southwest due to moisture streaming in from Bud.

Speaking of Bud, the system reached Category 4 strength early Tuesday morning before we started to see it weaken throughout the rest of the day. As of 3 PM MT Tuesday, Bud had winds of 115 mph and was moving to the NW at 3 mph.

Bud will continue to weaken as the system moves toward Baja California Sur, where it is expected to make landfall as a tropical storm Thursday Night.

We are also watching an area in the Caribbean that has a low chance of becoming a tropical system as it continues to move northwest over the next several days, eventually ending up in the Gulf of Mexico. What this system is likely to bring, however, is widespread rain across the Texas and Louisiana coasts as we head into the weekend and early next week.

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Huge Dust Storm on Mars Hits NASA's Opportunity Rover

More from Space.com: " A massive dust storm on Mars has sidelined NASA's Opportunity rover, stalling the robot's science work as it waits out the still-growing tempest.  The Martian dust storm was first spotted from space by NASA's Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter, NASA officials said.  "As soon as the orbiter team saw how close the storm was to Opportunity, they notified the rover's team to begin preparing contingency plans," NASA officials said in a statement. "In a matter of days, the storm had ballooned.""

Few Southeast Cities Have Climate Targets, but That’s Slowly Changing

More from InsideClimate News: "Fueled by coal-burning power plants and heavy industry, seven southeastern states produce enough carbon dioxide combined to rank as the world's sixth-largest climate polluter, but few of the region's larger cities are setting measurable goals for cleaning up, a new report concludes.  A stellar performer was West Palm Beach, Florida. Among the worst laggards was Mobile, Alabama.  Chris Ann Lunghino and her Nashville nonprofit advocacy group, Community Sustainability USA, published the report as a way to encourage more cities to reduce their carbon footprints. She worked with researchers from Vanderbilt University and South Korea's Yonsei University."

Climate Change Could Lead to Major Crop Failures in World’s Biggest Corn Regions

More From InsideClimate News: "Climate change will increase the risk of simultaneous crop failures across the world's biggest corn-growing regions and lead to less of the nutritionally critical vegetables that health experts say people aren't getting enough of already, scientists warn.  Two new studies published Monday in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences look at different aspects of the global food supply but arrive at similarly worrisome conclusions that reiterate the prospects of food shocks and malnutrition with unchecked global warming. While developing tropical countries would likely be hardest hit, the destabilizing financial effects could reach all corners of the globe, the authors say."

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Thanks for checking in and have a great Wednesday! Don't forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist D.J. Kayser)!

 - D.J. Kayser

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