Strong Storms Rumbling Through Metro (wind gusts to 50 - small hail and urban flooding risk)
September 19, 2013 — 11:36am
Much-Needed Lawn Watering. NWS Doppler radar at 11:04 AM shows a line of strong storms pushing across the metro, whipping up 50 mph winds and small pea-size hail. The most severe storms are over the far north metro, NWS Doppler estimating 2.75" diameter hail east of Cambridge. The severe threat will shift into southeastern Minnesota and much of Wisconsin into the afternoon hours. Remember that a Severe Storm Watch is in effect until 4 PM, including the metro, but the severe threat for the immediate Twin Cities should ease after noon or 1 pm as the most unstable conditions shift south and east of the metro.
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I had an aunt who was utterly convinced that I worked in Indianapolis.I think she honestly believed all the "apolis" towns were really one. OK. Not a brain surgeon but she meant well. After a numbing start the long climb begins, a streak of 30s next week, even a couple days in the 40s late next week. More like March than February. We could still squeeze out a couple inches of snow on Sunday, but right now I can't get too excited about amounts; maybe 1-2" for the metro, more closer to the Iowa line.
The next 36 hours will be a blunt reminder that Minnesota still gets cold from time to time. But this winter has been milder than average, not even close to a couple years ago. Despite a subzero Saturday morning the forecast calls for a thaw next week; 40 degrees possible one week from today. El Nino is still hanging on. Will spring of 2016 be as severe as the last big (fading) El Nino in '98? I think we should probably be prepared for a more active spring severe season.
It's February in Minnesota. And you're annoyed that it's cold? That's a little like a sushi lover turning up his nose at the smell of fresh fish. This is hardly atypical for midwinter, and yes, it's going to get colder by Saturday morning. But (all) long range models show a warming trend next week with a shot at 40s in 8 days. Won't that be a relief...
No, we won't be cleaning up the yard or barbecuing anytime soon, but after a run of colder than average weather 30s will feel like a meteorological bargain next week - some guidance even hinting at 40s by the end of next week. Snow? A little here and there, but no headline-grabbing storms are brewing just yet.
I may be grasping at straws (or icicles) but there are numerous advantages to the chill. As annoying as it can be, there are benefits. Repeat that like a well-worn mantra in the coming days because we enjoy a dearth of warmth into Saturday - not as cold as mid-January, but cold enough for most of us. No big snows, no drama, just a noticeable lack of kinetic energy.