Rain Tapers (over 4" reported Eden Prairie, Chanhassen, Prior Lake and Shakopee - 5 weeks worth of rain overnight)
July 13, 2013 — 3:51pm
Rainfall Estimates. Here is a rough estimate of how much rain fell overnight, based on MPX (Twin Cities) Doppler overlaid over GR3: an impressive swath of 2-5" from Elk River across the western suburbs into the Minneapolis area. The far southwestern suburbs experienced the most rain; over 4" estimated from Eden Prairie and Chanhassen to Lakeville, Shakopee and Prior Lake.
A Month's Worth Of Rain. Both Eden Prairie and Chanhassen are reporting 4.5" of rain from the MCS system that came through early this morning, about 5 week's worth of rain. Serious flash flooding was also reported in Shakopee and Prior Lake, with numerous roads closed. A complete list of storm damage from NOAA is here.
Diminishing Storms. NWS Doppler radar at 8:30 AM shows the back edge of the heaviest rain (and lightning) over the south metro, moving steadily east-southeast. Most areas in downtown Minneapolis and St. Paul, as well as close-in suburbs, should be dry by 8:30 AM or so. It will take longer for floodwaters to recede. Here is the latest Flash Flood Warning:
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
635 AM CDT SAT JUL 13 2013
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EASTERN SCOTT COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
SOUTHEASTERN HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
WESTERN DAKOTA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
WESTERN RICE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
* UNTIL 1030 AM CDT
* AT 633 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA. TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN THE PAST
* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
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So long heat index, at least for a few days. Agreeable air, courtesy of Canada, will be with us for the next few days. Clouds build up this afternoon; Friday should be sunnier with less wind and temperatures more typical of late September. After a close encounter with Saturday showers temperatures mellow Sunday and summer heat returns next week. No, we haven't seen the last 90-degree warmth.
Hard to believe it rained again last night with another fine display of thunder and lightning. At least we were spared severe storms this time around. Winds shifting to the west/northwest dry us out today with cooling temperatures into Friday (the nicest day in sight). You may need a Plan B for Saturday; with any luck we salvage a better day on Sunday. No storms with names - which is more than residents of Florida and the Gulf Coast can say. All eyes are on "Invest 99-L", which may ripen into "Hermine" in the days to come.
We've lost 2 1/2 hours of daylight and about 4 degrees off our average high temperature; the sun now as high in the sky as it was in mid-April. No hot fronts are brewing, but today will feel like July; more 80s likely next week. The arrival of cooler air sets off a few T-storms late tonight, but Thursday there will be no doubt in your mind that the atmosphere is shifting gears. More downpours by Sunday? Well, at least the pattern is consistent...
After a less-than-optimal Saturday yesterday restored my faith in a Minnesota August. At the risk of editorializing, it was perfect. A gusty south wind tugs the mercury well into the 80s today and Tuesday; another squall line of heavy T-storms late Tuesday night into early Wednesday marks the leading edge of cooler, drier air. A few T-showers may sprout again by the weekend. I know, what a shock.
Good news on the weather front: today will be even nicer than yesterday! At least we salvage one day of the weekend. With any luck we can dry out a little as we head into the Minnesota State Fair and Labor Day. The maps still look more like June than August.
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