Not Exactly Snowmageddon: Quick Burst of Slush Overnight (1-2" north metro; 3-4" south metro)
November 5, 2013 — 4:16pm
Not Exactly Snowmageddon. Temperatures (air and ground) are simply too warm for a huge, snowy dumping. It's not going to happen. Here's 4 km NAM data with our own algorithms for conversion from rain to snow, showing a sharp north-south gradient in snowfall amounts across the area. I expect an inch or so from Willmar to Medina and Anoka, maybe 2" from Chaska and Minnetonka to Minneapolis and Shoreview, as much as 3" of slush for St. Paul and Mendota Heights, maybe 3-4" from Lakeville to Woodbury and Cottage Grove. A few spots in Scott and Dakota county could wind up with 5" of sloppy snow, but after melting and compaction of this (heavy/wet) snow it may wind up being closer to 3" actually on your lawn. I expect wake-up temperatures around 31-32F early Wednesday, so there may be some slushy/slick roads, but I expect MnDOT to keep the freeways mostly-wet overnight. Slow, yes, but hardly a worst-case scenario. Again, road conditions will get trickier as you head south of the Minnesota River later tonight and early Wednesday, but even there it will be borderline "plowable". Any snow in your yard should be gone by Thursday, Friday at the latest as temperatures rise into the mid-40s.
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Hurry up summer. We're still paying for that flash of 60s back in February, it seems. Temperatures will warm up in the coming days; not quite warm enough for a dip in the lake (unless you're exceptionally brave) but the weather should cooperate over the weekend, at least most of the time. There will be showery exceptions, and Monday won't win any awards. And yes, it can always be worse.
Hey, for what it's worth I'm just as disgusted/frustrated as everyone else. I'm looking forward to an extended streak of 80s and sunshine. It's coming. I think. Not this weekend, mind you. We'll have to be content with 70s Friday and Saturday with a ration of sunshine both days. Sunday may be showery but some clearing is likely Memorial Day with highs holding in the 60s. Not exactly lake-worthy, but we've seen worse.
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Well that sure was fun. Fun as a 5-alarm fire, a salad of poison ivy - maybe a tick in your ice-cream sundae? Sorry for those visuals, but the people I bumped into this weekend were NOT AMUSED. But here's the thing. The weather just is. The sky above your head was set in motion by forces beyond our control - beyond our comprehension. We just get in the way...
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