Not Exactly Snowmageddon: Quick Burst of Slush Overnight (1-2" north metro; 3-4" south metro)
November 5, 2013 — 4:16pm
Not Exactly Snowmageddon. Temperatures (air and ground) are simply too warm for a huge, snowy dumping. It's not going to happen. Here's 4 km NAM data with our own algorithms for conversion from rain to snow, showing a sharp north-south gradient in snowfall amounts across the area. I expect an inch or so from Willmar to Medina and Anoka, maybe 2" from Chaska and Minnetonka to Minneapolis and Shoreview, as much as 3" of slush for St. Paul and Mendota Heights, maybe 3-4" from Lakeville to Woodbury and Cottage Grove. A few spots in Scott and Dakota county could wind up with 5" of sloppy snow, but after melting and compaction of this (heavy/wet) snow it may wind up being closer to 3" actually on your lawn. I expect wake-up temperatures around 31-32F early Wednesday, so there may be some slushy/slick roads, but I expect MnDOT to keep the freeways mostly-wet overnight. Slow, yes, but hardly a worst-case scenario. Again, road conditions will get trickier as you head south of the Minnesota River later tonight and early Wednesday, but even there it will be borderline "plowable". Any snow in your yard should be gone by Thursday, Friday at the latest as temperatures rise into the mid-40s.
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No, we won't be cleaning up the yard or barbecuing anytime soon, but after a run of colder than average weather 30s will feel like a meteorological bargain next week - some guidance even hinting at 40s by the end of next week. Snow? A little here and there, but no headline-grabbing storms are brewing just yet.
I may be grasping at straws (or icicles) but there are numerous advantages to the chill. As annoying as it can be, there are benefits. Repeat that like a well-worn mantra in the coming days because we enjoy a dearth of warmth into Saturday - not as cold as mid-January, but cold enough for most of us. No big snows, no drama, just a noticeable lack of kinetic energy.
It was another mild, partly cloudy, partly-drizzly February weekend with highs near 40F, but reality sets in today - in fact this may be the second coldest week of winter. Nothing excessive, not even close to record territory, but neighbors will be grumbling about the wind chill by midweek.
We may see these conditions over southwestern Minnesota later today, where a Blizzard Watch has been posted. Get your travel done early from Alexandria and Willmar to Mankato; the drive home from that Super Bowl party may be pretty rough. Check the Blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
20s didn't feel too bad out there yesterday; today and Sunday (morning) should feel even better as temperatures flirt with freezing. Enjoy the attempted thaw, because a week from now temperatures may be dipping below zero. A couple of clippers are brewing; Sunday's swirl of low pressure will whip up 30-35 mph gusts capable of white-out conditions, especially Red River Valley and western Minnesota.