Not Exactly Snowmageddon: Quick Burst of Slush Overnight (1-2" north metro; 3-4" south metro)
November 5, 2013 — 4:16pm
Not Exactly Snowmageddon. Temperatures (air and ground) are simply too warm for a huge, snowy dumping. It's not going to happen. Here's 4 km NAM data with our own algorithms for conversion from rain to snow, showing a sharp north-south gradient in snowfall amounts across the area. I expect an inch or so from Willmar to Medina and Anoka, maybe 2" from Chaska and Minnetonka to Minneapolis and Shoreview, as much as 3" of slush for St. Paul and Mendota Heights, maybe 3-4" from Lakeville to Woodbury and Cottage Grove. A few spots in Scott and Dakota county could wind up with 5" of sloppy snow, but after melting and compaction of this (heavy/wet) snow it may wind up being closer to 3" actually on your lawn. I expect wake-up temperatures around 31-32F early Wednesday, so there may be some slushy/slick roads, but I expect MnDOT to keep the freeways mostly-wet overnight. Slow, yes, but hardly a worst-case scenario. Again, road conditions will get trickier as you head south of the Minnesota River later tonight and early Wednesday, but even there it will be borderline "plowable". Any snow in your yard should be gone by Thursday, Friday at the latest as temperatures rise into the mid-40s.
Paul Douglas is a nationally respected meteorologist with 35 years of television and radio experience. A serial entrepreneur, Douglas is Senior Meteorologist and Founder of Media Logic Group. Douglas and a team of meteorologists, engineers and developers provide weather services for various media at Broadcast Weather, high-tech alerting and briefing services for companies via Alerts Broadcaster and weather data, apps and API’s from Aeris Weather. His speaking engagements take him around the Midwest with a message of continuous experimentation and reinvention, no matter what business you’re in. He is the public face of “SAVE”, Suicide Awareness, Voices of Education, based in Bloomington. Send Paul a question.
When the sun comes out and stays out most of the day actual temperatures tend to be warmer than model predictions. Once again today we should enjoy enough blue sky for highs near 60 F, well above average for late March. Speaking of sunshine the solution to climate change is shining down on us, a clean energy revolution now well underway. Today's blog focuses on one county where they're putting their money where their convictions are, a county that voted for Donald Trump, but very much believes in clean, renewable, American energy. Yesterday's talk in Lindstrom renewed by sense of optimism that we are going to figure this out, and clean air, water and land should absolutely be a bipartisan goal. Our kids deserve nothing less.
If you liked yesterday you'll love today and adore tomorrow. Our weekend weather was an acquired taste, but at least it didn't snow - or tornado. The pattern is ripe for more severe storm outbreaks over the southern half of the USA but big storms track south of Minnesota. Temperatures slowly mellow into next week; highs mostly in the 50s.
We stare out the window at a smear of stratus clouds Sunday, some thick enough to leak drizzle and light rain showers. Temperatures mellow later this week with a streak of 50s and relatively dry, quiet weather into next weekend as significant storms sail south of Minnesota. Check the blog for more details. -Todd Nelson
It could be worse. It can always be worse. We're not being chased from our homes by a wall of flames. Wildfires are racing across Oklahoma and much of the southern Plains. No severe weather (it's too cool and stable overhead for anything wild anytime soon). And we're not dreading the 7-Day the way residents of Seattle area, where rain is a given, but the last few months have been excessively wet, even by soggy Seattle standards. Skies brighten today before drizzle and light showers return Sunday. The sun makes a cameo appearance next week with a shot at 60F by Tuesday. That would be nice.
We go from muttering about slush to whining about puddles slowing down our commute. Complaining (out loud) is part of the human condition. Showery rains linger today, although probably no hail like the St. Cloud area saw yesterday. We dry out Saturday and models show 50s next week - a few degrees above average. Hey, you could be in Denver.